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05-23-2010 , 08:51 PM
Has nobody mentioned we can check turn to slowplay? According to OP's analysis, he thinks AA and KK were part of villain's range. We can easily rep a 10 8 type hand turning into a bluff on the river when we check back turn. And yes it is good for pot control as well because what type of hands are going to proceed this turn that we have beat? A straight will, but probably will fold the river so we'll get one more street of value regardless.
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05-24-2010 , 12:28 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by riverboatking
it depends a ton on opponent but vs most people its prolly a fold.
would be a ton of attempted soul reading going down.
it depends? once OP calls the 5k turn, with his image, villain knows what OP has, and villain will never try to fold out a full house on river. If villain bets river after OP calls turn, can we agree that there is 0.0% chance villain is bluffing? easy turn call river fold imo. The better question is what you would do if you were villain and hit quads? you lead or check turn?
05-24-2010 , 12:51 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by AAismyfriend
RBK, bikini wax, ansky, LSDEEEE.....are you calling a river shove after calling the turn? I agree with your analysis, and can't see doing anything other than calling the turn, but how often to you think he continues his bluffs after we call 5k on the turn?
never

Last edited by lsdeee; 05-24-2010 at 12:54 AM. Reason: he could have 78 1% of the time
05-24-2010 , 01:01 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by riverboatking
ya +100.

i love all the responses in this thread about how we're obv crushed but no one is trying to figure out what range villian can reasonably have in this spot.

i think its super unlikely he 3bets the flop with 89/97
so his range is basically 88/99/draw/air.

if he's good and has 99 he's leading the turn as it makes it way more likely you're checking back the turn and he can't build the pot, and while its more likely you can have a 9 if he has 88 he still has to consider the fact that if you chk the turn it really sucks for his chances of stacking you.

him going for a check raise on the turn gives you the most chance to get away from your hand for the minimum, and on average he's going to make a ton more money by just leading turn/river and either getting 2 streets of value or sometimes getting you to spazz jam etc.

i think his line is going to be some ******ed FPS with air just trying to desperately out play you way more often then he actually has a monster.

if he is taking this line with a monster he's either not very good or really really good, depending on how much history you two have.

but once again i fall back on my default (and i'm not entirely sure who coined this first me or raptor) which is when something doesn't make sense i tend to call.

best post about this hand yet.
05-24-2010 , 02:17 AM
effective stack sizes are $16,700 left going to the river if we call the 5k check raise. There will be $12,600 in the pot going to the river. he definetly during his 2 minute time thinking figure out how much to check raise as he would have definetly raised more than 5k going into the river to make a pot size bet all in on the river.

$6500 check raise would have made the pot $15,600 with $15,200 behind.

Seems like an all in is not going to occur with the pot size and stack sizes here, and if it did, i have no clue how to justify calling $16,200 here without some kind of soul read. Definetly poor line to get all the money in.
05-24-2010 , 02:49 PM
can we get results? or did i miss them?
05-24-2010 , 08:05 PM
he called turn c/r and folded to riverbet, guess he doesnt know villians hand
05-24-2010 , 11:31 PM
fwiw i would never ever be folding turn when villian takes this line
05-25-2010 , 03:52 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Fresh_Oo_D
he called turn c/r and folded to riverbet, guess he doesnt know villians hand
and where do u get this shenanigan information from?
05-25-2010 , 10:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Howdoiplayxx
and where do u get this shenanigan information from?
i assume hes guessing since the guy hasnt said anything about the river play
05-27-2010 , 06:44 AM
Might as well post results here. I tanked and called the turn.

The river was an offs Queen and after little pause he shoved. I thought about it for several minutes and decided I couldn't fold against this opponent. After putting the chips in he sheepishly turned over A10hh. Kindda sick move by him which didn't work out this time.
05-27-2010 , 06:46 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Stranger123
Might as well post results here. I tanked and called the turn.

The river was an offs Queen and after little pause he shoved. I thought about it for several minutes and decided I couldn't fold against this opponent. After putting the chips in he sheepishly turned over A10hh. Kindda sick move by him which didn't work out this time.
kinda obv
05-27-2010 , 02:05 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Stranger123
Might as well post results here. I tanked and called the turn.

The river was an offs Queen and after little pause he shoved. I thought about it for several minutes and decided I couldn't fold against this opponent. After putting the chips in he sheepishly turned over A10hh. Kindda sick move by him which didn't work out this time.
gg.
05-27-2010 , 02:06 PM
sheeeeit. nice call OTR, friggin crazy scandis.
05-27-2010 , 04:05 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jcmoussa
Whos going to bluff someone who called 5k on that turn?
**** norwegians
05-28-2010 , 03:10 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by quAAdzillAA
A dude from Norway JC... a dude from Norway. The euro is very weak though and the scandies have been playing a little more snug online vs me lately. I still think he expects us to call turn with 9Tish and fold to a 3rd barrel
i think this was a very good read of the villians thoughts about the heros hand except the hero didnt fold.
05-28-2010 , 07:47 AM
WP OP!

RBK and BW surely boiled this down to the absolute essence with regards to the turn play, but I do think that the river play is only for OP to answer; hence you had to be at the table.
05-28-2010 , 07:51 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bugman68
i think this was a very good read of the villians thoughts about the heros hand except the hero didnt fold.
I dont think it was a good read at all. How do you put someone on "the underest of underboats"? Euros never cease to amaze me.
05-28-2010 , 11:07 PM
i was quoting quAAdzillAA as the villian's thinking. I didnt say the villian made a good read. I said quAAdzillAA made a good read as to why villian did what he did before the results were posted.

Also this was a 400bb shove on the river and a 46k pot at $20/$40. Hero only beats a bluff with the underboat
05-29-2010 , 04:35 AM
I really wish you hadn't posted results yet. The discussion was getting v good. V sick hand , wp played by both. I really do like his bluff though. I think your call is a very difficult one. Reasons for calling river have to be determined based on many factors that you can't really explain that happen throughout the hand. Like when he 3 balled you on the flop how quickly did he do it. Someone mentioned something about the chips that he used on the turn when he raised, body language, etc.
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