So I made a pretty deep run in the APPT Seoul while running pretty good. Lost with AKo<Q6s with about 20 left but cashed for 5.7k while selling off a decent chunk.

Took most of the week off and played today. Very frustrating day

17th in the Supersonic
10th (final table bubble) in the 888 100k challenge
17th in 3r 2x with 2327 runners
29th in the 55 2x Turbo on Stars
32 in a 44 Turbo with 1k runners
9th in the 5 2R1A (30k prize pool)

Cashed the Million and a 215 on iPoker.

Frustrating!

Got 8 130+ TLB point scores today but none of them big enough to make it onto the list unfortunately.

My results aren't really showing right now since I only win up to $5k in tournaments apparently but I think I've really turned a corner and have been working on different elements a lot.

Each session I still get really frustrated because I'm not sure on a lot of different spots and wish I could just pause time and bust out SNG Wizard/equity calculations at that time. With 20+ tables up, this kind of wistful desire tends to make my brain hurt.

Got 3rd in a 55 cent tournament with 10k runners for like $300 dollars but 500 TLB points. Must have used all my run good in that tournament..

It was super frustrating because I was basically only playing for TLB (pay jumps were less than a $60 18m) and one of the players came from 0.5bb 3-handed to becoming the chipleader. Chip and a chair I guess.

Today I got 7th in a 5q with $4250 up top and 4th in a 22R with a small field. Losing a lot of flips late in tournaments and getting coolered. But I really can't complain. I still feel like my game is super strong and results will come.

I will post some interesting hands. I notice a disturbing trend of goals posters asking for hand advice but some threads are so entertaining I think they deserve something.

So I hope opponents won't take this info and use it against me but I have started getting a lot more hood but trying to scale back on my responses to 3b's (which were all out nuclear wars before). I updated my HUD stats to show positional 3-betting because I was looking at blanket 3b numbers and not really adjusting for when people were 3-betting my EP opens. I also always assume players are playing back at my super laggy style but they always have the stones .

Poker Stars $5.00+$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t20000/t40000 Blinds + t5000 - 8 players - View hand 1698942
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

UTG: t1510069 M = 15.10
UTG+1: t686142 M = 6.86
MP1: t441019 M = 4.41
MP2: t4556223 M = 45.56
Hero (CO): t1170635 M = 11.71
BTN: t2029969 M = 20.30
SB: t518946 M = 5.19
BB: t919497 M = 9.19

Pre Flop: (t100000) Hero is CO with 9 7
4 folds, Hero raises to t80000, 2 folds, BB calls t40000

Flop: (t220000) 3 8 J (2 players)
BB bets t81400, Hero calls t81400

Turn: (t382800) 5 (2 players)
BB bets t141636, Hero calls t141636

River: (t666072) 9 (2 players)
BB bets t246446, Hero calls t246446

Final Pot: t1158964
Hero mucks 9 7
BB shows 7 6 (a straight, Five to Nine)
BB wins t1158964

The most tilting hand of the year for me. So here is an absurd hand where some drooler in the 5Q final table (probably playing for more money than he has ever played for) donks 67o on that flop. Completely mind boggling.

I make a really thin river call (probably bad in retrospect since most of his range is weak J's and he's probably giving up with spades). I have to be good in 1 out of every 3.7 times.

I was chipping up so nicely this was a really thin call but it's so frustrating losing pots like this to 67o donkbets on J83 at huge final tables. My HEM shows 14% equity for him on the turn.

Subscribed, gl dude, liked your DC videos!

So he only has 14% on the turn but are you calling a river bomb with 9 high? I really dislike your play to be honest. Stacks aren't terrible for floating the donk bet, however, once we pick up that equity on the turn I feel it's a jam 100% of the time.

We obviously aren't calling 9 high and for him to donk flop and continue on turn makes it pretty likely impo that we will face a river barrel and have to fold the ~70% of the time we miss. Additionally, the majority of his range that checks the river is his Jx that is intending to check call a bet from a busted draw.

I also feel that jamming this supposedly brick of a turn would look really strong to anyone with half a brain. Most spade draws are raising the flop, so a turn raise here looses more like a nutted made hand than a draw.

Hey BAE, thanks for reading this thread so I guess it'll be fun talking strategy.

I actually float a lot with equity vs leads. I think the turn call is fine. Turn shove is also obviously fine versus thinking players and possibly vs this guy but this guy is more of a level 0 fish who will see a J and snap call regardless of what I'm representing.

If you think he has a J, that means I can bluff any Spade or Q-A river and jam all hands that hit me for value. That's like more than half the deck. I also think if he most blanks on the river I can stab as well.

His sizing on all streets is weak and consistent with a very weak hand. At any point if he checks I assume based on experience I can just bet and take it down.

I think you're assuming he is a good player who is going to c/c with a J on the river to get value from busted draws (I disagree I think he is going to block bet 100% which means he shouldn't have a c/c range on this final table) and you're assuming he is going to bet rivers with his bluffs (which I might agree with who knows which is why I called the river).

I have position so there's no real need to shove over his weak bet getting like 3.5:1 on the turn if I can outplay him on rivers. Also on pot+implied odds alone my turn call would be more than fine. He had 67o here but I think the most likely part of his range are J's so I should probably fold river and definitely not shove turn.

Reading a few of those hands was pretty interesting, mandatory glgl too.
I also think fish lead that board a lot with draws, hoping to get a cheap showdown, often they don't fire the third tho. I think I prefer shoving river to calling, since even fish will sometimes fold Jx this deep. Also I would be super tilted when they have T9 which I think plays like this too sometimes lol

''2/269 $109 Turbo for 348.05 ''
Come on dude use that brain! lol

Yesterday was the day of hypers for me. Got 2nd in an $82 Hyper for about 4k, 9th in a $51 Hyper (not sure if I misplayed the final table honestly) and made a few deep runs in some $25 Hypers as well.

It's been 3 months now so I figured I'd post a small update.

Here are my SNG stats for the year. But you can kind of see in this sample how much a little short term luck can skew things up. I want to stress these are insignificant samples (just illustrating a point about variance). I haven't done CEV calculations on these but I'm running very far under EV so far for single table tournaments.




My 6m ROI is 2% and my finish distributions (1-2 paid with 3 bubbling) are

1st- 74
2nd- 67
3rd- 75

Reasonably balanced but I can improve on this. I think my true 6m ROI is 5%+ for the games I select.
***********************************

My 9m ROI is -6% over 530 games for $-830. $801 of these losses are from 44 $100+ BI SNG's. Here are my very unlucky distributions (1-2-3 paid, 4th is the bubble).

1st- 65
2nd- 57
3rd- 52
4th- 80
******************************************

My 18m ROI is 10% but here are my finish distributions (1-2-3-4 all same payouts and 5th is the bubble).

1st- 81
2nd- 67
3rd- 75
4th- 77
5th- 55
************************************

So the conclusion (rather obvious) is I'm running rather good in 18 man's and rather bad in 9 man's. I don't think there's some magic power that lets me bubble so infrequently in 18 man's but bubble so much in 9 man's.

The good thing is if the luck balanced out, I would be pretty stable in both games. I still consider myself very +ev in all forms of SNG's I play.

I've sort of shelved the idea of winning the $16-35 leaderboards for anything (the grinders at those levels have too much heart to take over). So I'll just keep playing $30-300 SNG's all year though I haven't had a chance to play many $200-300's with how reg-filled and tough they are. I seriously respect the grinders who hit SNE every year playing in such reg-infested games.

I'm doing well in 45's and 180's. Maybe I should just stop playing 180's for the rest of the year so I can say I was profitable for one year :P. Haven't touched a $60/180 yet due to reg-filled games.

Will update on my scheduled stats in a day or so.

So in terms of MTT goals, my Global Alias shows

2596 games played, 69% Av. ROI, -$16,076. Playing a $46 ABI.

Over 176 games at $150+ BI levels, I'm down $25605. So I think most of the losses can be attributed to that.

Honestly these results kind of suck since I've never had a losing year in MTT's (small sample of 3 years though). It's ironic because I feel like I'm playing my best tournament poker and have learned a lot.

But I was kind of in a blissfully unaware state of variance (running good early will do that to you). I'm still working on my game and trying to get better though. Not trying to focus on results in the big buy-ins so much.

As for yearly goals, I only have like 11/100 of the TLB 350+ scores posted (this goal might have been too steep but I'll keep grinding it out).

I'm Rank 238 in the Stars Yearly TLB so far and 408 in the P5's Rankings. Still within striking range though I took about a month off from mid January to February.

Today I won my first $35/180 of all time. Got 4th in a $54 turbo on Ongame (AK<Q7o and ATo for all the chips), 14 in a $75 Turbo with 860 runners, 28th in the 55R on Stars. Same stories of not closing.

hey man ,really like your vids on DC. do more !!

gl for challenge

Just put in a session with a lot of heart. Was down quite a bit then shipped a 50 Turbo on Ongame for about 4.6k. Then came the hand of the year for me (and not in a good way).

For chiplead in the 2nd Chance with 14 left..


Poker Stars $200+$15 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t8000/t16000 Blinds + t1600 - 7 players - View hand 1711332
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

Hero (UTG+1): t718273 M = 20.41
MP: t584474 M = 16.60
CO: t546106 M = 15.51
BTN: t156700 M = 4.45
SB: t276102 M = 7.84
BB: t680243 M = 19.33
UTG: t446425 M = 12.68

Pre Flop: (t35200) Hero is UTG+1 with A A
1 fold, Hero raises to t32000, 1 fold, CO raises to t65100, 3 folds, Hero raises to t139999, CO raises to t544506 all in, Hero calls t404507

Flop: (t1124212) K T 6 (2 players - 1 is all in)

Turn: (t1124212) J (2 players - 1 is all in)

River: (t1124212) 5 (2 players - 1 is all in)

Final Pot: t1124212
Hero shows A A (a pair of Aces)
CO shows K K (three of a kind, Kings)
CO wins t1124212

I ran very well to get to that point and even getting AA vs KK is running quite fortunate. I think I took the beat pretty well (was on call with a friend and didn't even curse) but yeah it kind of sucks.

Will be back on the horse next weekend.

puuuuuke, sorry to hear this man, keep up the good work tho

oh even though it's a cooler eitherway when i saw you typing that hand i thought it was your kk < aa, but this sucks even more
grats for the day regardless

Yeah it's super brutal but can't really act like it's skill to get AA vs KK or anything and I had to have run pretty damn over EV to get to that point. So it's okay I'll just FT the million next week like my hero OMGClayDol yo!

So I want to post the worst played hand of the year for me (by far) as a cautionary tale to any who are reading this thread.

WARNING: The following contains very, very horrific play.

So 9 left in the $44 6m. Pretty stacked field remaining and payouts are super flat. It's a small tournament (thank God I didn't punt a 6 figure prize pool). I have this perception that this very good regular, bigoots, is opening vs my blind a lot. But he is only 2 for 3. He was just very active in other spots so I kind of converted it to BvB.

So pre we have a few options. The more optimal ones are flat and jam. Another decent one is 3b/f. Another is fold. The only option missing from this list is 3b/c, where he would have to jam a lot of hands like suited connectors and broadway to make it a call. He could be doing so, but I'd rather just jam my stack rather than deal with the headache.

So at first I'm like "hmmmm this guy is really good, I can't really feel too thrilled about flatting. Let's 3b/fold!" And then he takes his time and 4b jams. And I'm kind of pissed off like "wtf how can I 3b/f an Ace versus a 40 VPIP."

So then I kind of just spite call. But really I ended up spiting myself because he had me dominated. Huge ICM punt/spew. I would almost apologize to him if his 4b wasn't actually crushing my range.

Poker Stars $40+$4 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t800/t1600 Blinds + t150 - 5 players - View hand 1714185
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

dpgj (UTG): t126198 M = 40.06
joforg (CO): t44096 M = 14.00
Agent Bear (BTN): t44673 M = 14.18
bigoots (SB): t86542 M = 27.47
Hero (BB): t51461 M = 16.34

Pre Flop: (t3150) Hero is BB with A 5
3 folds, bigoots raises to t4255, Hero raises to t9999, bigoots raises to t86392 all in, Hero calls t41312 all in

Flop: (t103372) 8 K 5 (2 players - 2 are all in)

Turn: (t103372) Q (2 players - 2 are all in)

River: (t103372) 7 (2 players - 2 are all in)

Final Pot: t103372
bigoots shows A K (a pair of Kings)
Hero shows A 5 (a pair of Fives)
bigoots wins t103372

BvB seems to be a spot where a lot of players punt off stacks very light. Some players get a little funky bvb. Maybe it would be a good topic for a DC shorts.

lol, we've all done it,

make a plan, eeeeeeerrrrrrr urmmmmm, change it, BLEH

enjoy the thread, more graphs!

I had a very similar spot yesterday deep in the big 22 and there is some discussion on it here: http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/18.../#post32407881

I actually had a plan, but still, apparently not a very good one.

glgl

Looks like a trivial call of the first raise to me.

Glgl

Ugh A5 punttttt

Gl this month, turn it around!

cant believe ive just seen this thread lol glglgl


and i hope your recording this run in the milly will be awesome to see it on dc if you are.

shiiiiiiiiip it gl

Had a pretty good day today. Busted the Million in 45th to some absurd overcall of my 20bb MP jam with 77 (I had QJs and lost). Won a $27 turbo for 2k or so. And got 2nd in the Nightly 50 Grand to cap the day off. Was a monster 14 hour so session.

I made a few adjustments to the yearly goals. From now on, I'm going to track events with 300 or more TLB points. This makes it slightly more than a win in a $15/180 (worth 288 points). I feel each 300 point score is significant because the higher 500+ ones at the top will average out and I can make top 100 easily with 40k target.

So here is an updated list.

300+ TLB Scores: 17/100 4/9

8/2823 $16.50 Turbo 410.13
1/500 $8 Turbo 428.53
2/269 $109 Turbo 348.05
1/385 $16.50 8-max 428.39
1/5794 $2.70 Turbo 1095.60
1/631 $44 Turbo 654.31
1/1636 $8C 775.16
3/1520 $5 Hyper 387.20
3/1310 $33 518.39
1/148 $33C 301.79
3/10124 $.50c 508.34
2/330 $82 Hyper 373.36
1/180 $35 336.79
12/1444 $215 362.17
1/592 $25 584.50
41/8225 $215 467.62
2/715 $55 510.72