Sticking It In
I've been doing a lot of this lately. Off the felt is more fun.
Was really unsure about this one at the time. Actually felt sort of demoralized about it afterwords (even though I won) because I thought I made a deepstack mistake, I didn't. If my opponent ever folds the flop my line is correct in a hypothetical sense.
Folds to me in the CO with 9
7
in a straddle pot. I raise to 35, get called by the BTN and by the straddler (obviously).
My reads- He's in his 40s, he's fat, he looks angry, he straddled, he likely sucks.
(105) 3
4
6
I have a flush draw and a gutter. Against a range of only sets I am a 2-1 dog.
Straddler checks to me, I cbet 80, button folds, straddler makes it 220 with 800 behind. I make it about 600 total and call off his shove.
This is more of a math equation than some sort of soulread/player dependant. My play is profitable folds some small percentage of the time. I make it 600 instead of just shoving myself because it looks less bluffy/drawy even though we are effectively all in. He should only continue with sets, I think he folds flush draws and also folds overpairs in this spot because this is a lot of money to stick in without a set.
People always complain about how hard it is to stick 200bb in the middle in live poker because the dynamic is such (in most cases) that it has to be a massive cooler.
If this logic is true (it is imo), then an adjustment would be to maximize fold equity in spots like this. I spoke (
texted) with my favorite
(semi) nit reg cushlash regarding this hand because he was at the table and at first glance I think he thought I was crazy sticking in 1k+ with nine high. I was actually starting to reconsider what I had just done afterwords but the stack sizes are such that I can apply so much pressure that turns my opponent's continuation range into only sets when I b/3b it. A hand like 45 might checkraise/fold that flop as well. Although I have no reads at the time, going by appearance and demeanor I believe he folds enough to make my 3bet profitable. Let's not forgot the straddle is on so this pot is bloated from the get-go.
Anyways, I shoveled it in and got there on the river as a 2-1 underdog against a set. Although I did not actually see the set but my opponent's verbal declaration of "your so lucky", combined with him tilt re-buying above the cap, demonstrated his frustration.
Let's do some 4betting now.
I raise utg+1 with A
K
and get called in 3 spots. The big blind who is a young internetty looking lad decides to make it 120. He transfered to our table with a mound of chips and the way they are stacked is annoying me. We start the hand around 2300 (460bb) effective. It gets back to me and since I am in position and think I can muster a fold enough percentage of the time to justify 4betting. I make it 310 to go and it gets back to him after cushlash tanks for a minute to get some TV time (backraise me in a 4bet pot who are you).
He makes it 580 total (270 more to me).
At first instinct I am like !@#$%%$%^$ing omg. But then I think things through.
We are 2300 effective. If this kid really has aces here is he going to basically min-5bet me out of position? Leaving 1700 behind or so? So very doubtful. The problem is that I really don't want to 6bet/fold (this was not a typical 2/5 game) because he might shove AK on me and then I lose because I really can't call it off there.
I really hate folding to his minraise also. I have position.
This spot kind of tilts me also because I flopped a flush draw on low cards, he checked, I bet like 850 or so and he folded rather quickly. I got really lucky to flop that draw there but I was thinking that my flat of his 5bet looks so strong that he won't cbet very many hands. Had the board come 3 low without my draw, he checks I bet and I still win. Fortunately it hit my really hard that I almost
wanted him to have kings there and cbet so I could shove over it. Or for me to brick and steal it when he checks. The only real problem I face is if I flop king high and he bets. That is probably a fold in that spot and I am really not happy with it. I'm still kind of torn between flatting and 6'ing.
Bad beat story-
Transfer to new game with about 4k, sit down. People make jokes that the 5-10 games are over there. People ask me how much I'm in for. People ask me how long I've been playing. Etc.
First orbit. 7 handed or so UTG raises 20, called by the world. I make it 130 in the BB with A
A
(I have it). UTG calls. Small blind tanks for a minute to get his TV time and folds.
9
4
5
Cbet 210, guy shove 700 more, I snap call. He verbalizes "ugh, I guess I lose". I say "I have aces", he shakes his head
When the Q
hits the turn I can feel my net worth decreasing as he says "oh my god sorry" and fastrolls QQ. Then he spends the next 10 minutes telling me he is sorry and how that usually happens to him (I'm sure). I smile as usual, let him know I don't really like black chips that much anyway as I ship 9 of them right to him in a direct deposit style because he is on my immediate left. He then asks me for restaurant recommendations in Vegas and explains to me how much him and his wife love Vegas. I tell him where to go eat, inform him that he should buy his wife a gift from the crystal shops with my money and then I leave because our table breaks.
Eventful day. Won 2k. Should of been 4.
All my friends and people I know seem to be doing very well in the main event which is obviously good, but also makes me sort of sick to my stomach that I am at Venetian playing 2/5 again and again instead of getting 4bet by Justin Bonomo with cameras in my face. Next year.
Good night.