Quote:
Originally Posted by enzet
you understand how difficult is to deal 8 hole cards for the other 4 dudes to heavily block the ******s 43o and noone having some trash high card like K5o? there is no better indicator for real EV than the one in use, and standard in trackers.
It's still a proxy though. As I pointed out, in shortstack situations in bvb spots in tourneys for example, you'd rather have AK than a low pair. Another example is collusion in PLO - if 2 or more players on the table are making decisions based on shared hole card info, you will always seem to run under AIEV. It's the best proxy we have, sure, but it doesn't mean it's infallible, and your dismissive tone of the guy's post was unwarranted.
In a 9-handed game, if Paisting shoves 23o UTG and gets called by AK in the bb, you can be pretty sure that AK has much better true odds than tracker AIEV, since the remaining deck is statistically much richer in kings and aces than it is in 2s and 3s. Would need to run sims to quantify this effect, though.