***Official "It Lives, It Lives" Chat Thread***
10-23-2012
, 06:57 PM
Quote:
Maybe I am just jaded but I think the winrates here are during rungood or w/e. I had like a 200 hour stretch where I was ~100 $/hr but I have had a huge break even streak. However, it could be a statistical outlier or just me being a ****ty player. I put in my current winrate/standard deviation into the variance calculator and over 100 runs like it only occurs 5% of the time over 100k hands which leads me to believe that my current stats are either inaccurate or that I am running really really badly.
Obviously over the past 200 hours I have some "bad plays" but I have had weird **** happen like last session this passive player does this:
nit limps UTG few other limpers, I complete SB with 87cc, passive player raises BB to 25 with like 350 behind, nit calls, I call.
Flop is 6
5
T pot is 100
I check, passive player bets 45, nit calls, I call
Turn is the 9
I check, passive player checks, nit checks
River is the K
I bet 65 or 85, passive player like immediately ships, the nit folds
I wanted to bet/fold the river to try to get value from AK or some weird 2 pair and I mean the passive player is repping solely AQ and I should have called since statistically he is probably over playing KK/AK the ~5% of the time he needs to but I folded like a donkey and he flips over AK.
My biggest leak right now is playing OOP vs lags, I need to stop bet/calling and start check/calling.
Obviously over the past 200 hours I have some "bad plays" but I have had weird **** happen like last session this passive player does this:
nit limps UTG few other limpers, I complete SB with 87cc, passive player raises BB to 25 with like 350 behind, nit calls, I call.
Flop is 6
5T pot is 100I check, passive player bets 45, nit calls, I call
Turn is the 9
I check, passive player checks, nit checks
River is the K
I bet 65 or 85, passive player like immediately ships, the nit folds
I wanted to bet/fold the river to try to get value from AK or some weird 2 pair and I mean the passive player is repping solely A
Q and I should have called since statistically he is probably over playing KK/AK the ~5% of the time he needs to but I folded like a donkey and he flips over AK.My biggest leak right now is playing OOP vs lags, I need to stop bet/calling and start check/calling.
10-23-2012
, 08:28 PM
10-23-2012
, 09:00 PM
Highlights:
2 limps to me AK otb I raise to 45 lagtard calls. Flop AK8
Vil checks, I check back knowing I never get more than 2 streets of value and I want to keep air weak aces in his range. Turn 3 he bets 90 I call again no value in raising. River 7 He bets 320. Snap snap doesn't show and mucks.
After about 2 hours 2.5k eff stacks
Tag that I've played with in lower games straddles. Folds to me in CO I raise 75 to 45 folds to TAG he re-raises 150. I feel like his 3b from straddle is 99+ AJo+ ATs+ I figure he folds everything but QQ+ and maybe AK I 4b to 400, he tank calls. AK QQ or KK imo. Flop 73Q he checks I bet 580 he folds, so either AK or folded KK putting me on QQ or AA. Or he was spazzing pre who knows.
Old man raises in EP to 40 gets 4 callers I call in LP ironically enough with 75.
Flop 864 Old man bets 200 (1k eff) one caller I ship old man calls other guy folds. Turn Q River 2 Old man tables QQ like it's the nuts. Ship it.
Nothing else very cool, Had to get Aces in on a 98J against a shorty, didn't feel too good about it but he had TT and missed.
2 limps to me A
K otb I raise to 45 lagtard calls. Flop AK8 Vil checks, I check back knowing I never get more than 2 streets of value and I want to keep air weak aces in his range. Turn 3 he bets 90 I call again no value in raising. River 7 He bets 320. Snap snap doesn't show and mucks. After about 2 hours 2.5k eff stacks
Tag that I've played with in lower games straddles. Folds to me in CO I raise 7
5 to 45 folds to TAG he re-raises 150. I feel like his 3b from straddle is 99+ AJo+ ATs+ I figure he folds everything but QQ+ and maybe AK I 4b to 400, he tank calls. AK QQ or KK imo. Flop 73Q he checks I bet 580 he folds, so either AK or folded KK putting me on QQ or AA. Or he was spazzing pre who knows.Old man raises in EP to 40 gets 4 callers I call in LP ironically enough with 7
5. Flop 8
64 Old man bets 200 (1k eff) one caller I ship old man calls other guy folds. Turn Q River 2 Old man tables QQ like it's the nuts. Ship it. Nothing else very cool, Had to get Aces in on a 9
8J against a shorty, didn't feel too good about it but he had TT and missed.
10-23-2012
, 09:22 PM
10-23-2012
, 10:04 PM
