Quote:
Originally Posted by johnny_on_the_spot
you might want to reevaluate what "a better hand" is...
we are ahead of all 1 pair hands that are not AA/KK or A7/A5/A2/K7/K5/K2...
why are we trying to get worse hands to fold?
I assume you aren't trolling, but yeah I am trying to get worse hands like 88 to fold here. Assuming he has no spades, we are a monster 55 percenter to win!
Lets talk about what happens when we 3bet that hand. Forget about when that hand turns a small pp into a weirdo bluff and 4 bets/shoves, lets just consider the more likely call/fold scenario.
First, she folds. Awesome, we just won a 200 dollar pot when we were basically flipping a coin.
Second, she calls. Awesome, she put more money in and we are the favorite! She is likely to check OOP, we can bluff certain scary over cards, we can bet again when the board pairs like we have an overpair, we can turn the nuts, we can improve with an A or a K.
Assuming she has one of those hands I described as the majority of her range (we can argue whether that is or isn't true separately) isn't my play massively +EV compared to calling?