I just don't understand these morons going home with an idol week after week after week.

Q getting voted out wasn't even a blindside. He knew he was the other option who would be getting votes aside from Charlie. So he basically banked his game on Liz and Kenzie not lying to him - 2 people who he had to know basically hated him, and had wanted him gone forever.

Just play the idol. Even if you ended up not needing to play it, you can only use it for one more tribal - and you might not even need it then. There are like 20 scenarios where Q makes F4 without needing an idol next time.

Ok I was down to one table on the night so I put together where I think the votes stand if it gets to FTC. Bolded are the ones I'm >75% sure of.

Kenzie has a better shot than I was thinking. She definitely has Tiff. I think she has Venus. If Ben or Liz lose at fire, I think she gets their vote. That leaves one vote and she's at worst going to tie. Can she swing one of Tevi/Hunter/Soda?!

Weirdly, Charlie's best bet may be to take Maria. I think he's solidly over her with Q, Tiff, and Kenzie. I think after last night, it's easier for get him to get two more of vs Maria than Kenzie.


Still think it's Charlies game to lose even vs Kenzie, but it's tighter than my gut was saying.

A Kenzie tie vs charlie/Maria surely means a loss as the tiebreaker will pick charlie/Maria rather than Kenzie.

The last 4 or so weeks have in my mind definitely established Kenzie as the winner and Charlie as the decoy winner/end boss.

However compared to S44 and S45 where Yamyam and Dee were my ginormous front runners from as far back as the mid pre merge, this season has been a much better edited one.

and i'm still less confident about Kenzie winning at 5 than I was about Yamyam or Dee winning at like 12.

No way Q plays idol for anyone but himself at F5

I would say that arguably Q and Venus's aren't quite as egregious as Tiffany and Hunter as both had next to no jury win equity.

But even then, you literally get more money the higher you finish.

-Play the idol at six
-At five either win immunity, find another idol or just not be the vote and youre in the final four
-At four either win immunity, get taken or win fire and you're in the final 3
-At three even if you are drawing dead to win youre not drawing dead to sneak a runners up money of 100k

It's such a financial no brainer to always play your idol at six if you have one.

You also get win equity with a successful idol play.

They need to put out another idol with a twist so we can see another person pocket it and go home.

HII usable at F5, or can be used as an extra vote at F4. Or 20 second head start at fire making.

But hey, Liz pooped!

I wonder if Liz and Ben know they're drawing dead or do they think "if I can just make it to the jury I have a compelling case."

Ben probably knows

Liz is delusional

I haven't watched enough seasons to know.

What is the tiebreaker pick?

Boston Rob was asked if he would go back on survivor if asked for season 50

the other person in f3

Liz is enough of a clueless snowflake that she probably thinks her actions have shown her in a positive light and is shipping this. For perspective, my wife is someone who goes well out of her way to find the good in everyone, and I mean EVERYONE. But when Charlie picked Liz for the reward my wife screamed "NO!" at the TV at the top of her lungs. That says a lot, or it should.

Fun fact - Bhanu who finished in 15th place still has more confessionals than Ben and the same amount as Liz

I think both of them have been playing just to make it to the end from pretty early on. If they had any actual thought of winning, they would have at least tried to work with Venus.

US Survivor maybe. It's not as good as the Aussie seasons in 2023 and 2024 though.

Now that Maria and Q are the darkest people there, we gotsta get this dynamic duo out