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Originally Posted by lkasigh
You were the one talking about Occam's razor earlier right?
Yes, someone was claiming the mountains of assumptions regarding the prosecution case was 'simple' and I was pointing out many unstated and unsubstantiated assumptions therein.
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So which theory has fewer unproven assumptions?
Known: Avery had a cut, his blood was in the car.
Theory 1: he bled in the car.
Theory 2: he bled somewhere else, someone else took that blood stain and planted it in the car.
Assuming this cut was obtained on the 31st - unproven.
Assuming he left blood somewhere from the cut, which is an unproven assumption.
Assuming he drove the car. Unproven.
Assuming he left blood from his wounded finger without leaving fingerprints in the car.
I guess we assume he was wearing gloves.
Then we have to assume the gloves had a hole or leaked blood somehow.
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Halbach was reported missing on the evening of the 3rd - the car was found on the morning of the 5th.
Assuming the car was actually 'found' on the 5th (contra Colburn's calling in the license plate and police documentation of the car being seized as evidence on the 3rd).
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So in a period of about 36 hours,
someone would have had to find her car,
See above.
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establish who the real killer was,
Why assume this was a necessary step?
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clear away all the evidence of the real killer
Who says all evidence of 'the real killer' was cleared away?
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(I guess maybe if she committed suicide or died of natural causes you can omit these two steps),
True, we don't know how she died, where she died, or when she died. All matters of unstated assumption.
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hatch a plan to frame Avery,
Since we have good evidence that the Manitowoc crew already hatched a conspiracy against Steven in the past (hence the lawsuit) this is not as unrealistic as it might seem.
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recruit a bunch of conspirators to come on board with the plan,
You are assuming a 'bunch' would need to be
recruited. We already know that police are all too often willing to 'go along to get along' with the questionable activities of their 'brothers in blue'.
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obtain information that Avery had a cut on his hand,
That would be very difficult, wouldn't it? It's not like anyone actually observed Steven or held a conversation with him during the relevant time period...
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sneak into Avery's cottage and obtain blood stains,
Police were already in Steven's home on November 5th - not even sneaking!
Assuming the blood came from inside his home.
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test them to make sure they are his,
Not sure why you are assuming this is a necessary step - I guess to make it seem more complex?
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plant them in Halbach's car, and plant the car.
Assuming blood smears said to belong to Steven were in the car before car was 'found'. Not reported by anyone on the scene on Nov 5th.
Mysteriously, when lab techs examine the car after it's arrival at the garage the door is unlocked.
The key isn't supposedly 'found' until Nov 8th.
Who unlocked the car between its 'discovery' on Saturday and examination on Sunday?
I suppose we'll have to assume overnight someone had a key made and helpfully unlocked the door? Quite innocently, no doubt?
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All without anyone noticing anything suspicious.
Which cops are going to 'rat' on their fellow cops (even if they are observed)?
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Frankly, I don't think someone who comes up with this type of theory should be insulting anyone else's level of intelligence.
Obviously, this is
your theory and includes elements which I've never heard anyone claim.