Idiotic Jeopardy wagers (no spoilers before 6 EST) - Page 299

Pretty sure thinking had nothing to do with it. Wow. I didn't think anyone could possibly eclipse the champ's stupidity in the episode, thinking Playboy Magazine had stopped using photographs and then skipping down to the 1600 clue on Depp with time running down when the 2k clue was what he needed to prevent a lock game. Or did he!

Quote

03-09-2016 , 12:04 AM

#7452

Dacriz

journeyman

Join Date: Oct 2008 Posts: 291

I'm not home tonight and she is probably being inundated with questions from everyone. She is super book smart..

Quote

03-09-2016 , 01:50 AM

#7453

shrewsbury91

adept

Join Date: Oct 2010 Posts: 781

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dacriz

Annie is my neighbor. I was sweating her hard. It will be interesting to ask her what she was thinking betting a runaway.

I was in the same graduating class as her, she was class valedictorian. Clearly our school failed on street smarts with that wagering amount.

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03-09-2016 , 11:00 AM

#7454

danspartan

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 3,851

This was linked on the Jboard. Now idea as to veracity. Trying to figure out what math error makes that wager make sense.

https://twitter.com/ejmaroun/status/707559316841046019

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03-09-2016 , 12:20 PM

#7455

El Diablo

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 70,770

Dan,

Seems pretty obvious what the mistake was.

She calculated 7200x2=14400, and 14600-14400=200, so she could bet 200 and guarantee at least a tie. With new tie rules, she had to subtract 1 to guarantee a win, but accidentally added 7500 instead.

Quote

03-09-2016 , 12:46 PM

#7456

thedinergetsby

veteran

Join Date: Jan 2011 Posts: 3,154

Does anyone know the last time someone risked a runaway? I can't remember any.

Binked a super easy FJ tho so yolo

Quote

03-09-2016 , 02:05 PM

#7457

Kurn, son of Mogh

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Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 16,263

I'm guessing this thought process.

1. I love this category, I'm almost never going to miss.
2. If I do miss, the question will be so tough, so will they.
3. If they're rational, 2nd shoves and 3rd bets $0
4. I'll bet enough to beat 3rd's $0 bet on a triple stumper.

Now that's serious 5th level thinking.

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03-09-2016 , 02:53 PM

#7458

danspartan

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 3,851

Quote:

Originally Posted by El Diablo

Awesome. I approve.

Quote

03-09-2016 , 03:09 PM

#7459

thedinergetsby

veteran

Join Date: Jan 2011 Posts: 3,154

I thought about the "this is my F category I want more monies" thought process, but the category was "Western Hemisphere". The clue could've been something ****ing like "this endangered snail has been losing population since the year 1995 due to deforesting policy in Brazil"

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03-09-2016 , 03:26 PM

#7460

Kurn, son of Mogh

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Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 16,263

Quote:

Originally Posted by thedinergetsby

FWIW, I didn't say I agreed with the logic I postulated, I just worked backwards from the number she chose.

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03-09-2016 , 04:01 PM

#7461

El Diablo

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Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 70,770

Kurn, Dan:

Something like Kurn's explanation makes sense, but she prob actually meant to win vs both in a triple stumper no matter what they bet.

So my guess is she meant to wager something less than 7400 but screwed up the math and bet 7700.

Quote

03-09-2016 , 04:48 PM

#7462

DrChesspain

Guest

Posts: n/a

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kurn, son of Mogh

I'm guessing this thought process.

1. I love this category, I'm almost never going to miss.
2. If I do miss, the question will be so tough, so will they.

These were my first thoughts as well.

Quote

03-09-2016 , 05:56 PM

#7463

danspartan

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 3,851

Hopefully Dacriz can illuminate us with specifics.

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03-09-2016 , 07:14 PM

#7464

Gaddy

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 4,379

Quote:

Originally Posted by thedinergetsby

Does anyone know the last time someone risked a runaway? I can't remember any.

Binked a super easy FJ tho so yolo

That poster's obsession Julia during her long run accidentally risked $100 too much once.

Quote

03-09-2016 , 08:08 PM

#7465

El Diablo

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Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 70,770

Chess,

Quote:

Originally Posted by DrChesspain

These were my first thoughts as well.

Which leads me to think she meant to do something less than 7400 and accidentally added a little to that instead of subtracting a little.

Quote

03-09-2016 , 08:14 PM

#7466

NuklearWinter

veteran

Join Date: Nov 2004 Posts: 2,735

Quote:

Originally Posted by danspartan

OMG OMG OMG

Spoiler:

Here's what I believe she was thinking:

1) 2nd place (7200) can tie me if he bets it all, so I have to bet something to win.
2) I'll bet enough to be 100 ahead of 3rd place (6800) if myself and 2nd place get it wrong, because 3rd will clearly risk 0.
3) Thus, 14600-7700=6900.

Quote

03-09-2016 , 08:56 PM

#7467

El Diablo

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Join Date: Sep 2002 Posts: 70,770

Nuk,

Oooohhh that would make a lot of sense.

And if he had 7300 instead of 7200, 7700 seems like a pretty optimal wager for her if she likes the category.

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03-09-2016 , 08:57 PM

#7468

ntnBO

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Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 7,677

Annie's FJ wager tonight cements the fact she has no strategic clue. The new champ's wager further cements LOL women wagering.

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03-09-2016 , 08:59 PM

#7469

Chippa58

veteran

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 2,259

Good Lord. That woman again. And the winner's bet made zero sense too.

Quote

03-09-2016 , 09:12 PM

#7470

danspartan

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 3,851

Ugh. It was even the situation where I think there is merit for 3rd to wager 0 on the assumption Annie was going to go big incorrectly from 2nd. Which happened but didn't see that 1st place wager. There are rational non-cover wagers. That wasn't one. Brought 3rd double up in range and was more than twice the difference of first and 2nd in case 2nd went for a cover 0 wager.

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03-09-2016 , 10:35 PM

#7471

thedinergetsby

veteran

Join Date: Jan 2011 Posts: 3,154

Quote:

Originally Posted by ntnBO

Annie's FJ wager tonight cements the fact she has no strategic clue. The new champ's wager further cements LOL women wagering.

Right because men never make stupid wagers

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03-09-2016 , 10:42 PM

#7472

ntnBO

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Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 7,677

Quote:

Originally Posted by thedinergetsby

Right because men never make stupid wagers

Of course they do, women just make them with far greater frequency.

Quote

03-09-2016 , 10:51 PM

#7473

thedinergetsby

veteran

Join Date: Jan 2011 Posts: 3,154

I'm sure you've crunched the numbers on that

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03-09-2016 , 11:59 PM

#7474

ntnBO

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Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 7,677

Quote:

Originally Posted by thedinergetsby

I'm sure you've crunched the numbers on that

I crunched several seasons about 5 years back. Women made bad wagers twice as often as men in FJ.

Shouldn't be a surprise if you watch even on a semi-regular basis.