Quote:
Originally Posted by Lawnmower Man
You sort of answered your own question. The sample required for large field gpps would be pretty astronomical if the goal is to make even ballpark confidence limits for ROI. I've seen people throw all kinds of different numbers but have no idea what they were based on (probably independently verified by thinking about?). You'd need to amass data for a cohort of players, but I have no idea where to get that data. Doesn't DK provide tournament history files or something?
Thanks. I only started playing two months ago on DK and started off well so been sort of pressing. So far I have a sample of 1,750 GPPs for 39% win rate and 21% ROI. I usually only play 1-2 line-ups, never more than 5. Lot of people have been telling me that it's just beginner's luck so I should just start betting less. Gambler in me wants to keep putting 10% of roll in play every night. Friends tell me I should only be betting 2-3% max. Appreciate any advice from more seasoned players that have been through big swings. Worst downswing thus far was losing 11 of 12 days.