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Old 07-31-2015, 04:02 PM   #4851
TheNonPareil
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

But I've watched him guys and he looks so locked in!
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Old 07-31-2015, 04:54 PM   #4852
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

Harvey PvB play. 14-14 7 K vs Harper.
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Old 07-31-2015, 05:00 PM   #4853
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

To much Salazar value on fd tho. Kind of overpriced on dk
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Old 07-31-2015, 06:03 PM   #4854
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

Sorry in advance if this question has been asked before but I couldn't find an answer. I realize it takes a very large sample for GPP win rates and ROI to stabilize but has anyone see or have an estimated guess at what sustainable win rates are for GPPs? Thank you.
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Old 07-31-2015, 06:17 PM   #4855
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

FYI - Kershaw start pushed to tomorrow
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Old 07-31-2015, 06:28 PM   #4856
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

Wow Greinke at 9400 on DK.
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Old 07-31-2015, 06:29 PM   #4857
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

too bad he's > 12k on fd

Last edited by fkjlhfdkjhkj.; 07-31-2015 at 06:36 PM.
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Old 07-31-2015, 06:32 PM   #4858
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley View Post
yea was just gonna post that. great price

too bad he's > 12k on fd
Anyone know how he's done previously on 4 day's rest?
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Old 07-31-2015, 06:42 PM   #4859
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by kingkang27 View Post
Wow Greinke at 9400 on DK.
yep all aboard greinke. too cheap and should be lower owned with the late news
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Old 07-31-2015, 06:48 PM   #4860
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

dk has late swap and game is late, think he'll be high owned

isn't 4 days rest normal rest?

only downside is angels don't strike out much anymore so he prolly makes no sense on fD @ that price
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Old 07-31-2015, 06:54 PM   #4861
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

whats fantasy labs saying?
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Old 07-31-2015, 06:57 PM   #4862
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by kingkang27 View Post
Anyone know how he's done previously on 4 day's rest?
You're right. Thought it was 5 for some reason. Thanks
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Old 07-31-2015, 07:00 PM   #4863
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

so whats the kershaw ownership looking like tonight
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Old 07-31-2015, 07:02 PM   #4864
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

fantasdy labs costs like 2k/day now since its out of beta

i'm on salazar tho so they probably aren't and have some weird stat that like when a pitchers salary was divisible by 27 he's produced 1.4 more points than expected

i saw they had an article on using vegas lines to determine the flow of the nfl game. wanted to laugh at it but premium only unfortunately
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Old 07-31-2015, 07:08 PM   #4865
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

greinke is ~9% owned in the grand slam so kershaw prolly low
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Old 07-31-2015, 07:08 PM   #4866
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

emptied the chamber on greinke.
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Old 07-31-2015, 07:28 PM   #4867
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley View Post
i'm on salazar tho so they probably aren't and have some weird stat that like when a pitchers salary was divisible by 27 he's produced 1.4 more points than expected
27
2*7 = 14
14 + more points = 1.4

sounds legit
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Old 07-31-2015, 09:39 PM   #4868
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

sano going deep

what a stud. must start everyday
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Old 07-31-2015, 11:06 PM   #4869
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by DefNotRsigley View Post
sano going deep

what a stud. must start everyday

Cheap middle of the order guys with HR upside are like porn to me anymore.
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Old 07-31-2015, 11:10 PM   #4870
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

No sano and I'm looking like I'll break 65 with this wacha W
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Old 07-31-2015, 11:11 PM   #4871
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

Actually if i go carpenter instead of Frazier I probably win all the money tonight but who leaves 1k+ on the table??
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Old 07-31-2015, 11:29 PM   #4872
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by TheNonPareil View Post
Actually if i go carpenter instead of Frazier I probably win all the money tonight but who leaves 1k+ on the table??
I have been told that leaving 500 to 800 on the table is a good tournament strategy cause it will make your lineup more different then the average one. I don't play enough tournaments to know. Does anyone know if there's any truth in this?
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Old 07-31-2015, 11:33 PM   #4873
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

I actually do it quite often if I play tournaments. I feel like it's a good strategy but have no proof to back it up.

Didn't do it today since I only played my one lineup in everything.

But yeah when I multi enter the slam or whatever I'll leave a decent chuck on the table for differentiation purposes. I'm sure there are better tournament strategies though but I've tried to primarily be a cash player.

Also I only feel confident in MLB DFS
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Old 07-31-2015, 11:34 PM   #4874
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

Ownership is (mostly) overrated.

Last edited by SA16; 07-31-2015 at 11:59 PM.
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Old 08-01-2015, 12:24 AM   #4875
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by SA16 View Post
Ownership is (mostly) overrated.
agree with this. people get to concerned with low owned guys instead of just taking the best play. now if i think two guys rate out very similar i'll take the lower owned one. just leaving large amounts out there in a gpp however when i see clear upgrades just is awful to me. only time i think i've done this was the few times i had 20 or 30 tickets to a tourney and mostly stacking but wanting to get certain plays with top stacks
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