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Old 08-11-2015, 07:50 PM   #5376
LetsGambool
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

Harper and Dom Brown scratched in the later games
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Old 08-11-2015, 08:09 PM   #5377
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by TheNonPareil View Post
I scored 49 and didn't cash all double ups on FD yesterday. Most notably the BIG $10.
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Originally Posted by dereku View Post
Last night it was around 46.5 in my 5050s, but other nights it can be 25. So the real answer is it depends on the night
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I've got a couple hundred games in 1$ 5050's. So far its been around the 40/42 point average with the low nights being in the early mid 30's and the high nights being high 40's plus.
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The average score in H2H is 33.9. I'd expect 5050 to be a bit higher than that. 34.X

Thanks guys. Just trying out the free stuff for the ROS, just wanted some ideas of what good scores are.
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Old 08-11-2015, 08:48 PM   #5378
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

Funny how the yanks starter for $5500 got 25% owned in the 400k DK. Good play? safeplay? or too much exposure. Must have been all over the cheat sheats. LOL. Maybe its normal, seemed a little wack that he was 25% owned.
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Old 08-11-2015, 08:52 PM   #5379
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

Severino must be allergic to Ks tonight.. Blah blah Indians don't K against righties
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Old 08-11-2015, 09:52 PM   #5380
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

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Harper and Dom Brown scratched in the later games

Franco injured in the top 1st. my Phillies stack took it in the ass.
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Old 08-11-2015, 10:07 PM   #5381
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

That's pretty Ruf.
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Old 08-12-2015, 12:19 AM   #5382
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

so much free money tonight. Im not sure how people have bad lineups when literally every SP you thought could be good ended up with a great game, plus mandatory starts like salty and peralta came up huge.
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Old 08-12-2015, 12:40 AM   #5383
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

Hot take: MadBum was a worse play than Harvey and Greinke tonight.
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Old 08-12-2015, 12:44 AM   #5384
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

cmon out for the ninth madbum and get me top ten in the 20k
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Old 08-12-2015, 12:59 AM   #5385
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

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Hot take: MadBum was a worse play than Harvey and Greinke tonight.
On FD Harvey (ignoring weather) > Bum > Greinke (pre-Harper news) tonight IMO.
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Old 08-12-2015, 01:25 AM   #5386
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

But Rea 3.3x'd value on FD!
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Old 08-12-2015, 01:36 AM   #5387
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

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But Rea 3.3x'd value on FD!
I faced one guy with Rea. He had Pujols Dozier Donaldson Tulo Trout Harper combine to go 0-20 lol.
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Old 08-12-2015, 02:28 AM   #5388
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

lol Confirmed no variance in this game
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Old 08-12-2015, 04:41 AM   #5389
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

In a big 50/50 (ex. 1000+ lineups), what would be the max number of lineups that you'd put in it that are the exact same? Each one after the first has diminished value of course, but it still could be +EV up to a certain point. Curious what you DFS experts limit yourself too? 1? More?
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Old 08-12-2015, 06:29 AM   #5390
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

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In a big 50/50 (ex. 1000+ lineups), what would be the max number of lineups that you'd put in it that are the exact same? Each one after the first has diminished value of course, but it still could be +EV up to a certain point. Curious what you DFS experts limit yourself too? 1? More?
About 500
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Old 08-12-2015, 07:39 AM   #5391
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

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About 500

ahhh knew I had been doing something wrong this whole time.
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Old 08-12-2015, 08:52 AM   #5392
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

shipped my first top ten gpp last night, plus a bunch of mid-cashes in it. feelsgoodman
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Old 08-12-2015, 09:04 AM   #5393
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

pics or gtfo

Spoiler:
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Old 08-12-2015, 09:33 AM   #5394
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

I've been high on Rodon all year and I think last night was first night I didn't have him at all. Standard
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Old 08-12-2015, 11:24 AM   #5395
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

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I've been high on Rodon all year and I think last night was first night I didn't have him at all. Standard
Why on earth would you be high on Rodon?
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Old 08-12-2015, 11:30 AM   #5396
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

Read about him in the offseason when I picked up a few of his autographed rookie cards. Saw he was averaging more than a k per inning. Was hoping he could translate to the majors. He's had a few pretty good starts, and I typically have a lineup with him.
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Old 08-12-2015, 11:38 AM   #5397
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

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Originally Posted by Priptonite View Post
Why on earth would you be high on Rodon?
He was a bad option in cash last night, but a good option in GPPs if you wanted to load up on bats because of his ceiling, imo. I had a little Rodon exposure last night, and loaded up on bats that didn't hit, lol tulo, donaldson, etc. As long as Rodon is so cheaply priced he will always be a viable GPP target if you can load up on value bats.
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Old 08-12-2015, 11:49 AM   #5398
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

Rodon doesn't really have a high ceiling because he is so wild he almost never goes deep in games. Last night was the first time all year he completed 7 innings. In 7 of his 16 starts he hasn't even recorded an out in the 6th inning. So his "high ceiling" is really what like 5 innings 7-8 strikeouts and a bunch of walks that get him pulled. And in a win and that's 16-17 points or so. Very unlikely that he scores more than that.
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Old 08-12-2015, 11:55 AM   #5399
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

Agreed that K upside puts him in play in GPPs, but I don't think you can really be "high" on him. His walk rate is obscene.
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Old 08-12-2015, 01:03 PM   #5400
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Re: MLB 2015 DFS Thread

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Originally Posted by SA16 View Post
Rodon doesn't really have a high ceiling because he is so wild he almost never goes deep in games. Last night was the first time all year he completed 7 innings. In 7 of his 16 starts he hasn't even recorded an out in the 6th inning. So his "high ceiling" is really what like 5 innings 7-8 strikeouts and a bunch of walks that get him pulled. And in a win and that's 16-17 points or so. Very unlikely that he scores more than that.
Wait he's scored 18+ 7/16 starts, and 20+ 6/16 starts and 24+ 4/16 starts and for 5-6k range that's not bad, obviously I wouldn't leave money on the table with him in my lineup, but I was chosing between him, Graveman and Severino, I took a tiny bit of Severino as well. I also downgraded a couple of bats and took Hellickson in some, and maybe that was the right play tbh, and I had more of that play, but I felt the upgrade at bats and the variance Rodon brought was worth the risk.

EDIT: Also, if I had seen the high ownership of Severino, no chance I would have chosen him over Rodon's low ownership, the plays were similar with equal ownerships imo.
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