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2023 Fantasy Football Thread 2023 Fantasy Football Thread

09-18-2023 , 12:38 AM
stacker:

(1) The Juwan Johnson owner very likely drafted Juwan because he punted TE in the draft; therefore, I don't think that offering him Hunter Henry is going to get a trade done (even if Henry is looking like one of the few late round TEs that could pay off in 2023). You'll probably have to offer Andrews (and even then, owner's injury-risk-aversion might make Andrews a hard no)...in which case, you should seek a better WR than Pittman. Just speculating of course.

(2) Moss for Nacua would be a hard no for me...though the Taylor/Kupp timelines are similar and make it interesting. Let's say both Taylor + Kupp return healthy in week 5 -- Nacua is likely to have a lot more ROS value than Moss in that scenario.
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09-18-2023 , 01:51 AM
Thanks for the feedback PocketInfinities.

1) Maybe I'm over estimating the value Hunter Henry has based on hearing good things about him on fantasy football shows and that he has scored TDs in two straight weeks. His value is probably as a low end TE1 and I would normally think that Pittman's value is too high to give him up for Henry. Only way that wouldn't be the case is if he found Pittman expendable because of his strength at TE. But ya, I could see this not being likely.

I could be open to trading Andrews, but I'd probably want to be more certain I have a quality replacement so I'm not scrambling to keep filling my TE spot. Two good games from Henry is a good sign, but it isn't certainty.

2) I'd agree that Nacua would maintain more of his value when Kupp returns, while Moss's would mostly go away. But there is the case that Taylor gets traded and Moss maintains that starter role for the whole season. 18 carries and 4 catches was pretty sweet production to get and pretty much won my matchup today, so maybe that is something I can just use going forward.
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09-18-2023 , 03:17 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by PocketInfinities
If you're a Kelce owner who:

(1) has 0-2 record (and is bottom half in total points),
(2) is weak at WR (in a 2RB/3WR/1Flx league, 12-teamer),


-- would you accept two high WR2s as a trade for Kelce? e.g. say Devonta Smith + Calvin Ridley...assuming you'd easily start them (this Kelce owner's current 3 WR starters for week 2 were Godwin, Gabe Davis, Elijah Moore).

Is Ridley + DeVonta too much to offer?
I think it's an overpay but a fair one. Week 2 the draft is still fresh and people still value so much on where their players were drafted but that is a hard offer to turn down for the Kelce owner.
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09-18-2023 , 05:43 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by PocketInfinities
If you're a Kelce owner who:

(1) has 0-2 record (and is bottom half in total points),
(2) is weak at WR (in a 2RB/3WR/1Flx league, 12-teamer),


-- would you accept two high WR2s as a trade for Kelce? e.g. say Devonta Smith + Calvin Ridley...assuming you'd easily start them (this Kelce owner's current 3 WR starters for week 2 were Godwin, Gabe Davis, Elijah Moore).

Is Ridley + DeVonta too much to offer?
No required TE start?
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09-18-2023 , 06:02 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jimmymcgill8
Feeling pretty great about dropping 70% faab on Puka and Kyren right now
Yeah, I pulled the trigger on both but got reasonably outbid. Getting both feels awesome!


Supposed to be Van Jefferson and Higbee leading the way. Atwell and Puka just step in and dominate and leave the former guys mentioned in the dust. Is this a McVay thing, or does Stafford just hook onto certain players and make it happen?


Fun with numbers!
Projected 16 game stats (let's say he misses 1 game):

Puka - 200-2128, 280 targets

Last edited by Brad22; 09-18-2023 at 06:13 AM.
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09-18-2023 , 06:36 AM
Random thoughts / questions:


-Kyle Pitts - Wtf do you even say?

-Garrett Wilson - Do I try to trade immediately and get some value back if I can, or do we think the next Jets QB signed will save his fantasy season?

-If there is a CAR receiver to own this yr., which one is it?

-GB - similar question - Watson, Reed or Doubs, who finishes with the best season - Would you try to acquire any in a trade right now before the price goes up?

Last edited by Brad22; 09-18-2023 at 06:45 AM.
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09-18-2023 , 08:13 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by sixfour
I'd grab Nacua personally, kid is really good and could easily surpass Jefferson for the Rams WR2 spot in the next four weeks
Quote:
Originally Posted by boscoboy
Saw this tepid endorsement - doesn't really sound like a must-add player but what do I know?

Puka Nacua
Beyond Jefferson, the only other name of interest is rookie fifth-rounder Puka Nacua. The BYU product was relatively unproductive in college and has one of the worst athletic profiles you will ever see. At the same time, he generated considerable buzz during training camp and could just be one of those guys who outperforms his athleticism.
Credit where credit is due - sixfour called Nacua before the Rams first game
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09-18-2023 , 08:15 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Brad22
Random thoughts / questions:


-Kyle Pitts - Wtf do you even say?

-Garrett Wilson - Do I try to trade immediately and get some value back if I can, or do we think the next Jets QB signed will save his fantasy season?

-If there is a CAR receiver to own this yr., which one is it?

-GB - similar question - Watson, Reed or Doubs, who finishes with the best season - Would you try to acquire any in a trade right now before the price goes up?
You may be screwed on Pitts & Wilson - nobody is buying them off you anywhere near draft day values so selling now seems like a lose or lose more situation for you.
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09-18-2023 , 09:14 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by sixfour
No required TE start?
My bad - it’s 2RB/3WR/1TE/1Flx...been punting TE on almost every roster, easy to forget it’s required sometimes

5 south: thanks - I appreciate your thoughts!
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09-18-2023 , 09:27 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by PocketInfinities
If you're a Kelce owner who:

(1) has 0-2 record (and is bottom half in total points),
(2) is weak at WR (in a 2RB/3WR/1Flx league, 12-teamer),


-- would you accept two high WR2s as a trade for Kelce? e.g. say Devonta Smith + Calvin Ridley...assuming you'd easily start them (this Kelce owner's current 3 WR starters for week 2 were Godwin, Gabe Davis, Elijah Moore).

Is Ridley + DeVonta too much to offer?
Trading away ridley and Devonta for Kelce seems pretty bad.
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09-18-2023 , 09:29 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Brad22
Random thoughts / questions:


-Kyle Pitts - Wtf do you even say?

-Garrett Wilson - Do I try to trade immediately and get some value back if I can, or do we think the next Jets QB signed will save his fantasy season?

-If there is a CAR receiver to own this yr., which one is it?

-GB - similar question - Watson, Reed or Doubs, who finishes with the best season - Would you try to acquire any in a trade right now before the price goes up?
Pitts is probably droppable, depending on league size and what’s available. I’d rather have all high snap count rookie TEs over him, plus guys like Hunter Henry, Juwan, Ertz, Hurst, etc.

I expect Pitts to have a couple boom games, but you won’t know when they will come, and he’s going to be scoring low to mid single digits in all the others.

Wilson is a hold.

Probably no Car receiver to own. I’d rank them Mingo > Thielen > Chark, but I wouldn’t be excited to start any right now. Mingo is at least the upside rookie who could come on at the end of the year. Don’t think any of the others will matter if those 3 are playing.

Watson > Reed > Doubs. I might throw a low ball offer for Watson. Reed is going to be expensive after yesterday. Doubs is JAG and I’m not interested.
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09-18-2023 , 09:38 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by PocketInfinities
My bad - it’s 2RB/3WR/1TE/1Flx...been punting TE on almost every roster, easy to forget it’s required sometimes
It does make a huge difference to Kelce's positional value if he's a fixed TE or just a generic receiver, comparing to TE12 or WR/TE36 when looking from a VBD perspective is kind of important
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09-18-2023 , 09:46 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by boscoboy
Credit where credit is due - sixfour called Nacua before the Rams first game
I just wish I had as good a hitrate on RB's as I do on WR's in rookie drafts, Pierce looks like regressing like mad and Charbonnet's done nowt yet, but I'm pretty happy with my Olave/Flowers/Nacua returns so far. I'm just a sucker for those who I see described as running a good route tree, I may never get a true top 3-5 receiver but I can live with what I've been getting of late
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09-18-2023 , 10:27 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by rafiki
Things I'm most curious to see today

1) Imagine the Bengals brick again?

2) Monty vs Gibbs fantasy outcome

3) Imagine Fields/Moore brick again?

4) The Falcons RB splits

5) Is Kelley about to have dynasty value, or na?

6) Ridley vs Chiefs. That's my favorite matchup of the day.

7) Imagine Allen bricks again?

8) Jets D vs Dallas D should be fun (I hope...)

Well Chase DID brick again, certainly relative to ADP. That's fun! He certainly cost me a W in dynasty.

Gibbs probably unstartable in standard. PPR looks like he'll be just fine

Fields bricked again! The talk of him not even being a starting QB inside a few years seems legit to me. He looks awful.

The RB splits in Atlanta are still super funny. Look at the ypc difference lol. But hey they're 2-0!

Kelley is a JAG afterall

The Jags game was a shock I thought. Etienne cost me my week, and the WR use was very random. That Ridley brick was shocking.
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09-18-2023 , 10:37 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Timogen
Nico and Puka scoring more in a game and a quarter than my starters Diggs, Hopkins and Godwin in 3 games. Going to win the golden bench award again this year.
Ya grabbed Collins and feel like he may absolutely save my season. Wasn't able to get Puka shares.

Suddenly this 1QB ppr redraft team of mine might BE something.

Josh Allen / Murray
Diggs / Cooper/ Collins / trash
Jacobs (ehhhh) / Brian Robinson / Kamara / trash
Engram / Hunter Henry


The Collins, Puka, Hunter Henry, Tutu, Bourne (targerts?), Robert Woods, Ertz etc... waiver bunch are looking like they're going to bail out a lot of teams.


Reed, Reynolds, Tank Dell, Hayden Hurst are the next crop to probably do the same?
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09-18-2023 , 10:50 AM
Things I'm talkin bout:


Can you even put Pitts in your lineup?

Dalton Schultz is such a drop, and should have taken the deal Dallas offered back when they did

You guys calling to fade Kittle were right. So glad I got no shares

The "experts" who said Kellen Moore would make TE's for the Chargers do anything were pretty mistaken, so far

DK and Waddle buy lows?

Kyren Williams, Brian Robinson, Mostert, James Conner, James Cook....all league winners?

Tank Bigsby hype was so lol

Vikings are going to draft a RB for SURE. Mattison looks aweful

Dalvin Cook can't be started anymore

Mixon's done too. In dynasty if you're the one still holding that hot potato, good luck
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09-18-2023 , 11:04 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by rafiki
Things I'm talkin bout:


Can you even put Pitts in your lineup? Nope.

Dalton Schultz is such a drop, and should have taken the deal Dallas offered back when they did Yup

You guys calling to fade Kittle were right. So glad I got no shares Definitely rough so far, but if one of CMC, Aiyuk or Deebo go down, and especially if 2, Kittle's value will pop. I targeted in best ball but faded in managed leagues.

The "experts" who said Kellen Moore would make TE's for the Chargers do anything were pretty mistaken, so far Turns out it's more about Dak than Moore's scheme. See Jake Ferguson.

DK and Waddle buy lows? Waddle yes. DK, meh. He did get tackled at the one, but he's going to be uneven week to week. If you can get Waddle, I'd do it.

Kyren Williams, Brian Robinson, Mostert, James Conner, James Cook....all league winners?
Kyren, it looks like yes.
BRob is going to get the touches, but I still think he has a low weekly floor. Still only played 54% of the snaps.
Mostert, maybe, but only if Jeff Wilson doesn't return.
Conner was always undervalued as the only competent back on that team. Unfortunately, we've never seen his body hold up for a full season. Currently on pace for 350 touches. The most he's ever had in a season is 270. That was the Le'Veon season.
James Cook is frustrating. He's getting so much work, but TDs are simply not going to be there. So he's going to have to get there on receptions and yards, and I don't think that's enough to call him a league winner.


Tank Bigsby hype was so lol I think his role will grow.

Vikings are going to draft a RB for SURE. Mattison looks aweful I dropped Mattison in my 8 man league. The fact the Vikings were willing to roll with him over Cook tells you everything you need to know about Cook.

Dalvin Cook can't be started anymore Dude is exactly washed like all of the sharps were saying as he was sitting out there as a FA. The only reason he's a Jet is because of Rodgers, which is pretty lol at this point. If the Jets have any aspirations of playoffing with Zach Wilson, Breece needs 65%+ of the snaps starting next week. But, ultimately, it's probably not going to matter.

Mixon's done too. In dynasty if you're the one still holding that hot potato, good luck Mixon is definitely a dying asset in dynasty, but he'll be fine this year once that offense finds itself. He played 78% of the snaps yesterday and basically got all of the RB opportunities.
Nice bullet points summing up the week!

Last edited by tarheels2222; 09-18-2023 at 11:13 AM.
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09-18-2023 , 11:07 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by rafiki
Things I'm talkin bout:


Can you even put Pitts in your lineup?

Dalton Schultz is such a drop, and should have taken the deal Dallas offered back when they did

You guys calling to fade Kittle were right. So glad I got no shares

The "experts" who said Kellen Moore would make TE's for the Chargers do anything were pretty mistaken, so far

DK and Waddle buy lows?

Kyren Williams, Brian Robinson, Mostert, James Conner, James Cook....all league winners?

Tank Bigsby hype was so lol

Vikings are going to draft a RB for SURE. Mattison looks aweful

Dalvin Cook can't be started anymore

Mixon's done too. In dynasty if you're the one still holding that hot potato, good luck
Kwillaims,BRob, Cook do look like potential league winners..Conner looks good, but the tank is coming, and no way mostert stays healthy all year
2023 Fantasy Football Thread Quote
09-18-2023 , 11:33 AM
This is the most frustrating part about Pitts.



Unfortunately, it’s just tough to get there when he’s already, at best, third behind Bijan and London. Then you have Hollins and Jonnu getting targets, while Allgeier is still getting 15 touches too.

And while Ridder threw it 32x, he also had 10 rushes himself.
2023 Fantasy Football Thread Quote
09-18-2023 , 01:21 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by rafiki
Kyren Williams, Brian Robinson, Mostert, James Conner, James Cook....all league winners?
I mean, the real value of guys like this is you should be STACKED at WR/TE or QB if you are starting any of them.
2023 Fantasy Football Thread Quote
09-18-2023 , 01:47 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by boscoboy
I mean, the real value of guys like this is you should be STACKED at WR/TE or QB if you are starting any of them.
I sorta disagree! Where I started them all my starting RB or flex guys were already hurt, lol. It's been a bloodbath already. But for some sure, the zero RB thing may have worked super well. Granted if you got some kind of Chase/QB/Waddle setup you're 0-2 right now most likely lol
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09-18-2023 , 01:50 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by tarheels2222
This is the most frustrating part about Pitts.



Unfortunately, it’s just tough to get there when he’s already, at best, third behind Bijan and London. Then you have Hollins and Jonnu getting targets, while Allgeier is still getting 15 touches too.

And while Ridder threw it 32x, he also had 10 rushes himself.
I'd love love love to see back testing from the last 3 seasons for PPR on TE's for route involvement relative to their final scores. I mean it stands to reason you can't score if you don't run routes. I just wonder if certain schemes have them out there running useless routes (see Pitts). Musgrave ran a lot of routes for 3 targets yesterday.

Ferguson in Dallas is going to be interesting. They like Schoonmaker a lot. 2nd round pedigree is nothing to sneer at. I haven't seen the 2023 breakdowns yet, but 2022 for example Dallas ran 12 personnel like a third of the time on first down. Gallup/Tolbert/Cooks is what is is. I have no idea what the Texas Coast offence looks like yet, I've not been able to enjoy a full game. But it's very obviously much shorter passes (so less DAK INTs) which is showing up on Lamb, Pollard and TE targets. Could be there's enough targets for both TE's.

I think Cooks and Gallup are gonna both be drops. Cooks is a hold for now. I'd love to see Jerry go get a really sure handed route runner. I think that might be what's between them and a SB appearance.

Last edited by rafiki; 09-18-2023 at 02:02 PM.
2023 Fantasy Football Thread Quote
09-18-2023 , 02:08 PM
Yeah, Cooks and Gallup are not the answer. They probably should have kept Amari. Speaking of Amari, **** the reporting that said he was unlikely to play right before kickoff yesterday. I switched to Zay Jones and got his goose egg, and now it sounds like Amari is going to go. I need to fade 24 from Chubb, and I'd feel a lot better about that if I had Amari in the lineup going too.
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09-18-2023 , 02:21 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by tarheels2222
Yeah, Cooks and Gallup are not the answer. They probably should have kept Amari. Speaking of Amari, **** the reporting that said he was unlikely to play right before kickoff yesterday. I switched to Zay Jones and got his goose egg, and now it sounds like Amari is going to go. I need to fade 24 from Chubb, and I'd feel a lot better about that if I had Amari in the lineup going too.
Jones was unlucky - if a couple of balls were thrown a yard shorter he scores twice
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09-18-2023 , 02:28 PM
He was. 6 targets, and I saw both end zone catches where he was just out. Ridley had one too. Just annoying variance. Tough game all around for the Jags. The KC defense looks pretty good after the first 2 weeks.
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