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NL100 rush : AA facing a turn raise 2QQ6 NL100 rush : AA facing a turn raise 2QQ6

04-10-2010 , 05:37 PM
Hi,

Vilain is unknown.


Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1(BB) Replayer
SB ($147)
BB ($83.40)
UTG ($252)
UTG+1 ($54.75)
Hero ($106)
MP1 ($109)
MP2 ($103)
CO ($103)
BTN ($141)

Dealt to Hero A A

fold, fold, Hero raises to $3.50, MP1 calls $3.50, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold

FLOP ($8.50) 2 Q Q

Hero bets $5.50, MP1 calls $5.50

TURN ($19.50) 2 Q Q 6

[color=red]Hero bets $12, MP1 raises to $37.50, Hero ?

Raising will make him fold everything but 66 22 Qx.
Calling will make the river very hard to fold since vilain will only have 60left and the pot will be nearly $100.

Fold ?
04-10-2010 , 08:02 PM
Another tough one.

This is a really bad spot for villain to bluff (which kinda makes it a good one if he's thinking) as your hand is relatively face up as a big pair or AQ after you barrel turn.

Folding turn is probably best. Do we really think Villain would be turning pairs into bluffs with 77-JJ here? Did he float flop with air to take it away? At 100NL rush i think the more likely explanation is that he has a Q or floated with 66 and turned a boat.


Choice
04-12-2010 , 01:05 PM
Thanks for your help ChoiceAsBro.
04-12-2010 , 01:11 PM
Fold. He is repping a queen, and you really have no reason not to believe him after you barrelled strong on every street on a board that is hopeless to bluff on.
04-12-2010 , 01:42 PM
Let's have a look at his possible range here. The player is unknown so at these limits lets just assume that he probably knows what he's doing.

22, 66 : These hands are possible, but it would not be a very good play to call with those hands against a player in MP1 position preflop. Especially not 22. The villain probably didn't have 66 either, since it would have been a very bad play not to raise you on the flop with the 66 after you bet 2/3 the pot.

AQs : This would have been possible too, and this is probably the hand I'd be most scared of here.

88,99,1010,JJ, KK : These hands would be pretty likely. Personally I'd say about 55% of the time he has one of these hands, especially the KK. My reasoning is that it wouldn't be more than about 55% since a good player would have probably raised the flop with these hands.

Therefore I think the two most likely holdings would be AQ or KK. I would personally just call here, and then check/call the river, knowing that about 45% of the time you will lose. Tough decision either way.
04-12-2010 , 01:52 PM
Any thoughts to check calling on all flop and turn?

If I had A-Q here why raise board is soft no draws and he shuts you down.

As played I fold

      
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