11-03-2009
, 10:12 PM
Hi,
I've just started the table, very first hand. Villian is unknown.
Probably a bigger 4bet would have been better, but I like to keep my 4bets smallish for balancing reasons and I also had position. At this time I didn't know if villian is competent or fishy.
Poker Stars $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em - 2 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com
Hero (BTN/SB): $100.00
BB: $100.00
Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is BTN/SB with K
K
Hero raises to $3, BB raises to $9, Hero raises to $21, BB calls $12
Flop: ($42.00) 2 A Q (2 players)
BB bets $27, Hero ???
I don't think calling is an option, but can we profitably push here?
I've just started the table, very first hand. Villian is unknown.
Probably a bigger 4bet would have been better, but I like to keep my 4bets smallish for balancing reasons and I also had position. At this time I didn't know if villian is competent or fishy.
Poker Stars $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em - 2 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com
Hero (BTN/SB): $100.00
BB: $100.00
Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is BTN/SB with K
KHero raises to $3, BB raises to $9, Hero raises to $21, BB calls $12
Flop: ($42.00) 2
A Q (2 players)BB bets $27, Hero ???
I don't think calling is an option, but can we profitably push here?
Last edited by Goertsy; 11-03-2009 at 10:19 PM.
11-03-2009
, 10:41 PM
11-03-2009
, 11:00 PM
11-03-2009
, 11:01 PM
forget range. you are betting 79 to win 59. you have about 30% equity when called. so,
you need to fold him out some x percent of the time when you win,
x(59)+(1-x)(-79+30%200)
x59 + (1-x)(-19)
x(78)-19
x>19/78>24%. Do you really think he folds 24% of the time???????? ffs. snap fold. if you think you have more than 30% equity when called, nice try!! and also you think he lead folding or lead calling JJ:x:, no way.
insta muck.
you need to fold him out some x percent of the time when you win,
x(59)+(1-x)(-79+30%200)
x59 + (1-x)(-19)
x(78)-19
x>19/78>24%. Do you really think he folds 24% of the time???????? ffs. snap fold. if you think you have more than 30% equity when called, nice try!! and also you think he lead folding or lead calling J
J:x:, no way. insta muck.
11-03-2009
, 11:10 PM
11-03-2009
, 11:20 PM
11-04-2009
, 03:49 PM
Ok guys, thanks for the replies.
Here is the result. My thinking process was like:
Oh, ****. I think I should fold... yeah, I should fold here... fold, fold ... Crap, I can't fold this! F u I shove!
Poker Stars $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em - 2 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com
Hero (BTN/SB): $100.00
BB: $100.00
Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is BTN/SB with K K
Hero raises to $3, BB raises to $9, Hero raises to $21, BB calls $12
Flop: ($42.00) 2 A Q (2 players)
BB bets $27, Hero raises to $79 all in, BB folds
Final Pot: $96.00
Hero wins $95.00
(Rake: $1.00)
Here is the result. My thinking process was like:
Oh, ****. I think I should fold... yeah, I should fold here... fold, fold ... Crap, I can't fold this! F u I shove!
Poker Stars $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em - 2 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com
Hero (BTN/SB): $100.00
BB: $100.00
Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is BTN/SB with K
KHero raises to $3, BB raises to $9, Hero raises to $21, BB calls $12
Flop: ($42.00) 2
A Q (2 players)BB bets $27, Hero raises to $79 all in, BB folds
Final Pot: $96.00
Hero wins $95.00
(Rake: $1.00)
11-04-2009
, 03:55 PM
11-04-2009
, 03:55 PM
11-04-2009
, 04:25 PM
11-04-2009
, 04:33 PM
11-04-2009
, 05:15 PM
11-04-2009
, 06:05 PM
Quote:
forget range. you are betting 79 to win 59. you have about 30% equity when called. so,
you need to fold him out some x percent of the time when you win,
x(59)+(1-x)(-79+30%200)
x59 + (1-x)(-19)
x(78)-19
x>19/78>24%. Do you really think he folds 24% of the time???????? ffs. snap fold. if you think you have more than 30% equity when called, nice try!! and also you think he lead folding or lead calling JJ:x:, no way.
insta muck.
you need to fold him out some x percent of the time when you win,
x(59)+(1-x)(-79+30%200)
x59 + (1-x)(-19)
x(78)-19
x>19/78>24%. Do you really think he folds 24% of the time???????? ffs. snap fold. if you think you have more than 30% equity when called, nice try!! and also you think he lead folding or lead calling J
J:x:, no way. insta muck.
You have way more than 30% equity when called. You have 38.5% equity against an LOLTIGHT range of AA/QQ/22, AQs, AQo, AxJs.
.385(200) = $77 EV when called. He has to fold > 3% of the time for this to be profitable. (.03)(69) = $2.07.
Snap-shove.
11-04-2009
, 08:27 PM
11-04-2009
, 08:35 PM
Quote:
forget range. you are betting 79 to win 59. you have about 30% equity when called. so,
you need to fold him out some x percent of the time when you win,
x(59)+(1-x)(-79+30%200)
x59 + (1-x)(-19)
x(78)-19
x>19/78>24%. Do you really think he folds 24% of the time???????? ffs. snap fold. if you think you have more than 30% equity when called, nice try!! and also you think he lead folding or lead calling JJ:x:, no way.
insta muck.
you need to fold him out some x percent of the time when you win,
x(59)+(1-x)(-79+30%200)
x59 + (1-x)(-19)
x(78)-19
x>19/78>24%. Do you really think he folds 24% of the time???????? ffs. snap fold. if you think you have more than 30% equity when called, nice try!! and also you think he lead folding or lead calling J
J:x:, no way. insta muck.
11-04-2009
, 08:59 PM
