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KK on sick river spot KK on sick river spot

10-06-2009 , 05:40 PM
villain is 38/6/175 hands

FCB 38, AF flop 1/turn 4/river 5


Full Tilt Poker $100.00 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

UTG: $205.00
UTG+1: $100.00
UTG+2: $109.05
MP1: $223.30
MP2: $249.60
CO: $125.95
Hero (BTN): $112.45
SB: $164.70
BB: $123.25

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is BTN with K K
2 folds, UTG+2 raises to $2, 3 folds, Hero raises to $9, 2 folds, UTG+2 calls $7

Flop: ($19.50) 5 5 9 (2 players)
UTG+2 checks, Hero bets $14.00, UTG+2 calls $14

Turn: ($47.50) A (2 players)
UTG+2 checks, Hero bets $17.00, UTG+2 calls $17

River: ($81.50) A (2 players)
UTG+2 bets $69.05, Hero ?
10-06-2009 , 05:54 PM
easy fold, what could you possibly give him credit for? You bet it like you had it and then he shoves into you. muck, muck, muck

Next time check the turn and possibly call the river
10-06-2009 , 06:00 PM
you only have a bluff catcher... easy fold.

I bet more like halfpot on the turn though. dont feel like inducing a difficult spot and if hes got a lower PP/ or some suited 9 then he's still gonna call half pot = you make more.. that is why you are betting turn afterall. if he checked the river id bet 33% of pot or so.

he didnt miss a draw.. so him bluffing over 50% of the time here is highly unlikely.
can pretty much always put him on a boat here whether its 9s or aces full.
hes not bluffing enough of the time to make a call profitable.
that hed check call down with QQ-TT to valuebet that much is near impossible.
these are the two factors you consider when making a call.. n they do not add up to make it +ev to call here.

Last edited by MrDrTurtleRick; 10-06-2009 at 06:08 PM.
10-06-2009 , 06:50 PM
Why even bother betting the turn if your just gonna bet 17?...just check turn.
10-07-2009 , 12:23 AM
Wow, really? 17 on the turn?? what does the 17 bet on the turn accomplish?
10-07-2009 , 01:05 AM
I just check turn planning to snap off a bet on the river, or if checked to, bet for value.
10-07-2009 , 06:33 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jamos
I just check turn planning to snap off a bet on the river, or if checked to, bet for value.
Fold. And this^^^.
10-12-2009 , 01:34 PM
bet more on the turn, A could have hit you since lfop bet could have been a basic c-bet. find out where he is. he could be going crazy with 66 or 77, but fold on the river seems to make sense
10-12-2009 , 03:20 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by HighPockets
Fold. And this^^^.
+1
10-12-2009 , 05:27 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jamos
I just check turn planning to snap off a bet on the river, or if checked to, bet for value.
+2
10-12-2009 , 06:10 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jamos
I just check turn planning to snap off a bet on the river, or if checked to, bet for value.
This time one mirrion.
10-12-2009 , 06:58 PM
sick, this is def a bluff
10-12-2009 , 09:46 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by OMGitsCheddar
sick, this is def a bluff
I couldn't couldn't disagree more. Villain is a passive dude. He's a 38/6. I expect him to call the turn w/ an A hoping "you dont has da 5". Then he hits the nuts and bets the **** out of it... because even passive players bet the nuts.

He has an A here 90% of the time. The other 10% he has a 5.
10-12-2009 , 10:39 PM
[ ] sick spot
[x] IMO
10-12-2009 , 11:44 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by OMGitsCheddar
sick, this is def a bluff
10-13-2009 , 12:22 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by brocksavage1

oh. well now I feel stupid.



not as stupid as OP ldo
10-14-2009 , 05:09 AM
i dont see any A in his range after calling your cbet
i am calling here specially coz his AF on the river is 5

      
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