PokerStars - $1.00 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BB: 42.18 BB (VPIP: 12.21, PFR: 5.13, 3Bet Preflop: 4.98, Hands: 576)
UTG: 49.44 BB (VPIP: 15.30, PFR: 11.85, 3Bet Preflop: 4.32, Hands: 531)
UTG+1: 40 BB (VPIP: 16.66, PFR: 14.47, 3Bet Preflop: 5.92, Hands: 1,531)
MP: 45.46 BB (VPIP: 12.50, PFR: 6.25, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 81)
MP+1: 100 BB (VPIP: 18.94, PFR: 15.64, 3Bet Preflop: 5.62, Hands: 1,530)
CO: 100 BB (VPIP: 16.79, PFR: 13.49, 3Bet Preflop: 10.54, Hands: 1,479)
Hero (BTN): 125.64 BB
SB: 55.04 BB (VPIP: 16.25, PFR: 13.63, 3Bet Preflop: 5.21, Hands: 2,568)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 7 A

fold, fold, fold, fold, CO raises to 3 BB, Hero raises to 9 BB, fold, fold, CO calls 6 BB

Flop: (19.5 BB, 2 players) 8 K 3
CO checks, Hero bets 10.5 BB, CO raises to 25 BB, Hero calls 14.5 BB

Turn: (69.5 BB, 2 players) 6
CO checks, Hero checks

River: (69.5 BB, 2 players) K
CO bets 31 BB, fold

PRE-FLOP

Villain opens 20% from the CO. His overall Fold vs 3bet is 59%. His Fold vs Flop Cbet is 67% (10/15). With position and A7s, a 3bet looks fine.

Range we rep: QQ+/AXs+/KQ (Am I OK here?)
Villain's range: 88+/AQ+ (Am I OK here?)

THE FLOP

We should be C-betting this board with most of our range. Probably checking back KQ/QQ. So, when we CBet, we have a good amount of air in our range, making a call from villain's 88+ profitable (by this token, we should C-bet QQ and KQ for value?!?!) But, since we have a NFD+OC, we can afford that. Moreover, we can double barrel (with 12outs) villain off his weakest pairs.

We Cbet and villain raise. When he raises, I think he has either 88 or KK or air (TT-99 and AQ). Actually, raising KK here isn't too good, since him holding 2 Kings makes it hard for us to have a K, thus we aren't continuing too often to this raise. Plus, since we have a decent amout of air in our range, it doesn't make much sense for him to x/r his value OTF.

- 3betshove: seems like a good play here (Stove + FE calculator confirms it, if my assumptions are right).

- call: seems also a good play. When we call here, our range is strong (AK,KK+,AXs), so not too likely for villain to keep on bluffing. So, when he checks to us OTT, we can bet and take the pot. When he bets, we make a math decision.

- fold: getting 3.79:1 IP, when he can have air in his range, looks like folding isn't an option.

THE TURN

Villain checks a brick, like he would do with his air and possibly with some part of his value range. Regardless, we have the green light to bet here and take down the pot the times he has air. BUT!, since we know that his range is weak, and if he knows he's repping a weak range, we wouldn't be betting our strong stuff here. So we would only be bluffing on this spot. (Jeeeeeez!)

Bet: I think I'm probably overthinking here, but if we bet, we rep a weak range, and villain can shove on us?

Check: We get a free card, realize our equity when villain has checked a strong hand. And we would do this with our strong range?

THE RIVER

I find it soooooo weird when villain bets the K. The only hand that makes sense to me is 88. I can't see villain bluffing on this spot, because our repped range is strong.