Villain is 15/11/2.4 winning at $400NL. 3bet 3.6%. Raise cbet 1 of 11. I've seen him call in position preflop with 87s and flat call a nut straight.

I find it hard to fold to the raise on the flop. I know he's saying he's got a set, and I know I'm meant to fold an overpair there. That's why it makes a lot of sense for him to raise. So I figure he can do that with some nice draws, and obviously it's also possible he's doing this with a Queen.

At this point I'm expecting his turn play to tell me whether he has a draw or a set.

On the river, I'm obviously concerned that he might have a queen, but I bet for the sake of aggression with the intention of folding to even a minraise. At this point I'm hoping to get called by pairs from 88 to JJ.

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $2(BB) Full Tilt
SB ($220)
BB ($294)
UTG ($127)
Hero ($202)
UTG+2 ($225)
MP1 ($325)
CO ($77)
BTN ($61)

Dealt to Hero K K

fold, Hero raises to $7, fold, MP1 calls $7, fold, fold, fold, fold

FLOP ($17) 7 Q 5

Hero bets $12, MP1 raises to $33, Hero calls $21

TURN ($83) 7 Q 5 9

Hero checks, MP1 checks

RIVER ($83) 7 Q 5 9 Q

Hero bets $40

check river. there is no way he's calling with worse because the hands you're targeting aren't in his range. i don't think you're beaten here unless it's Qxss but there's just no value.

zero reason to bet

If you were betting to induce then ok but betting with the intention of folding to a raise is terrible. std is to c/c