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100NL: KK in Squeezed 4way pot 100NL: KK in Squeezed 4way pot

08-19-2011 , 10:43 AM
Main villain is 13/10, 3% cbet and has cold called almost 5% of hands in EP (so I guess this which I guess this could be all small + medium pairs and some premium hands) and has 20% raise flop cbet which certainly means he is not only raising flop with the goods. The villain that flatted my squeeze is a fish.

After his shove we are getting 2.6:1 and I am sure he'd raise with some FDs but I don't see many in his range. So vs AKdd, AQdd, KQdd, 99, 88, 33 we are 3.8:1 behind. But is there a chance he'd shove here with an overpair, ie. TT-QQ? If he was to do that with, say, with QQ in addition to the above then we are only 1.3:1 behind and need to call. If he'd do it with TT-QQ in addition to the above (I know a bit unrealistic) then we are 1.5:1 favourite

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1(BB) Replayer
SB ($187)
BB ($130)
UTG ($141)
UTG+1 ($152)
UTG+2 ($180)
MP1 ($100)
MP2 ($100)
CO ($160)
Hero ($119)

Dealt to Hero K K

fold, fold, UTG+2 raises to $3, MP1 calls $3, fold, fold, Hero raises to $12, fold, BB calls $11, UTG+2 calls $9, MP1 calls $9

FLOP ($48.50) 8 5 3

BB checks, UTG+2 checks, MP1 checks, Hero bets $25.35, BB folds, UTG+2 folds, MP1 raises to $88 (AI), Hero folds

MP1 wins $96.20
08-19-2011 , 10:48 AM
BB big drooler? I'd consider $19 b/f tbh. FWIW you're super dead here obv.
08-19-2011 , 11:10 AM
You have like a 7% 3bet from the button right? mp1 is probably playing JJ-QQ exactly like this imo
08-19-2011 , 11:21 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by hard2tel
You have like a 7% 3bet from the button right? mp1 is probably playing JJ-QQ exactly like this imo
Yeah, maybe even 8% and we have over 3K on each other. And my cbet % is high but surely he cannot expect me to cbet here with anything that is not ahead of JJ
08-19-2011 , 11:40 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Xela
Yeah, maybe even 8% and we have over 3K on each other. And my cbet % is high but surely he cannot expect me to cbet here with anything that is not ahead of JJ
I dunno..people are dumb and that board's really drawy.
08-19-2011 , 03:46 PM
I doubt a 13/10 with 5% cold call has 55 or 33 in his range. I'd assume its more 88-QQ, AQ, AK and maybe KQs. That's a 5.4% range.

So i think its only 88 that you're beat by. I'd maybe expect him to just flat the flop with top set though. So IMO his range is probably 2 combos of 88, AKdd, AQdd and KQdd. If you agree with that range then it's a call.
08-19-2011 , 03:47 PM
On second thoughts he'd probably back-raise AK with your button 3b%. Meh seems marginal either way. I doubt either a call or fold is much worse than the other.
08-19-2011 , 03:51 PM
i mean, i'm pretty sure that you aren't supposed to fold here once you've put almost 40$ into this pot. MP1 was the last overcaller, which means he can have a lot of random hands here.
08-19-2011 , 03:58 PM
Never b/f'ing
08-19-2011 , 05:42 PM
What discobiscuit said
08-19-2011 , 09:51 PM
I agree with Grumpy and **********, plus i'd expect most half decent regs to be flatting if u flop the nuts..?
08-20-2011 , 02:13 PM
I agree with RKi. This is nitring, you've shown massive strength in a 4-way reraised pot and he still comes over the top. I b/f about 19$ as well here and I don't feel bad about folding to a raise, which indicates a ridiculous amount of strength.

      
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