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100 NL QQ facing a 4-bet 100 NL QQ facing a 4-bet

08-05-2008 , 04:46 PM
No history with opponent

Full Tilt Poker, $0.50/$1 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 9 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

BTN: $97.10
Hero (SB): $134.40
BB: $47.05
UTG: $113.20
UTG+1: $47.30
UTG+2: $20
MP1: $104.55
MP2: $51.90
CO: $101.50

Pre-Flop: Q Q dealt to Hero (SB)
UTG folds, UTG+1 calls $1, 2 folds, MP2 raises to $4, 2 folds, Hero raises to $14, 2 folds, MP2 raises to $51.90 and is All-In

Thoughts? How do you tend to respond in this situation when you don't have any reliable stats or reads?
08-05-2008 , 04:55 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hollywade
How do you tend to respond in this situation when you don't have any reliable stats or reads?
try to put them on ranges anyway. And be aware of how often you have to be good.

Letīs say itīs AA-JJ, AK, AQs.

Now stove this and play around with different likelihoods for each hand. For instance, I donīt think this is AQs more than 10% they get dealt this hand. JJ not more than 33%. AK 50% of the time they get AK. We now have 38.4% equity, while we need 37.5% (assuming FT has the same rake structure as Stars, which I donīt know).
08-05-2008 , 05:11 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hollywade
How do you tend to respond in this situation when you don't have any reliable stats or reads?
try calling every single time.
08-05-2008 , 05:13 PM
after the 3bet, you cant fold, especially for a halfstack
08-05-2008 , 05:14 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by KakiTee
try calling every single time.
MP2: $51.90.

3 bet/folding with QQ and these effective stack sizes would be very very bad
08-05-2008 , 05:15 PM
He has half of a stack, we have no read, we have Queens, we're arrr in.
08-05-2008 , 05:48 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by WantToLearn
try to put them on ranges anyway. And be aware of how often you have to be good.

Letīs say itīs AA-JJ, AK, AQs.
This is very close to the range I put him on, except I left out AQs.
08-05-2008 , 05:50 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Chargers In 08
He has half of a stack, we have no read, we have Queens, we're arrr in.
Even with half a stack, I can't imagine making this play with anything less than JJ. Am I wrong, or am I missing the point?
08-05-2008 , 05:59 PM
I don't use PokerStove that much, but this is what I came up with.

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

59,930,640 games 0.281 secs 213,276,298 games/sec

Board:
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 47.366% 45.79% 01.58% 27440794 945878.00 { QhQs }
Hand 1: 52.634% 51.06% 01.58% 30598090 945878.00 { JJ+, AKs, AKo }
08-05-2008 , 06:02 PM
i think his shoving range is alot wider then u are giving him credit for this is an ista call
08-05-2008 , 06:08 PM
I think it's an pretty easy call because of his stack size. You get decent odds.

One similar hand - similar in betting pattern and presumed big hands - I watched at my table some days ago was played like this. One 2+2 regular raised utg, mp re-raised, 2+2 3bet, mp tanked for a long time and shoved all in for the last 60BB or so; 2+2 called. Effective stacks for the players was 100BB. 2+2 had AK and imo when the stack size are big like this and the opponent shove in full ring 100NL, you should muck AK (Normally, even QQ should be mucked) when the price to call is very high. Opponent had him crushed with KK.
08-05-2008 , 06:10 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hollywade
I don't use PokerStove that much, but this is what I came up with.

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

59,930,640 games 0.281 secs 213,276,298 games/sec

Board:
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 47.366% 45.79% 01.58% 27440794 945878.00 { QhQs }
Hand 1: 52.634% 51.06% 01.58% 30598090 945878.00 { JJ+, AKs, AKo }
That range is too narrow for a random half stacker and even against that range it's an easy call.
08-05-2008 , 08:03 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Baja15
That range is too narrow for a random half stacker and even against that range it's an easy call.
Really? People actually 4-bet with worse hands in full ring games. Apparently I am giving my opponents way too much credit.
08-05-2008 , 08:05 PM
Turbo call.
08-05-2008 , 08:10 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hollywade
Really? People actually 4-bet with worse hands in full ring games. Apparently I am giving my opponents way too much credit.
Random half stacks do yeah.
08-05-2008 , 08:49 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hollywade
Really? People actually 4-bet with worse hands in full ring games. Apparently I am giving my opponents way too much credit.
You'd be surprised the number of times you see 88-TT (or worse here). I think the thought process is "I've got a pocket pair, I'm totally the favorite here if he just has AK!"
08-05-2008 , 09:15 PM
He's a half stack, he can have JJ, AQs/AKo/AKs/random TT or worse pretty often here. You are getting reasonable odds to call, and it's pretty weak to muck QQ here for this price to a short stack. Call, live with result.
08-05-2008 , 09:21 PM
Thread is a level or what?
08-05-2008 , 10:18 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hollywade
Even with half a stack, I can't imagine making this play with anything less than JJ. Am I wrong, or am I missing the point?
This is from last night so I think you're wrong. I had around no read...something like 10 hands with him. I just don't respect these half stacked unknowns.

Poker Stars $0.50/$1.00 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

SB: $100.60
BB: $109.40
UTG: $40.65
UTG+1: $97.00
Hero (MP1): $160.90
MP2: $170.15
CO: $84.00
BTN: $25.55

Pre Flop: Hero is MP1 with K A
UTG raises to $3, 1 fold, Hero raises to $11, 5 folds, UTG raises to $40.65 all in, Hero calls $29.65

Flop: ($82.80) 9 6 7 (2 players - 1 is all in)

Turn: ($82.80) Q (2 players - 1 is all in)

River: ($82.80) K (2 players - 1 is all in)

Spoiler:
Final Pot: $82.80
UTG shows Ts Tc (a pair of Tens)
Hero shows Kh As (a pair of Kings)
Hero wins $79.80
(Rake: $3.00)
08-06-2008 , 10:03 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sodom
One similar hand - similar in betting pattern and presumed big hands - I watched at my table some days ago was played like this. One 2+2 regular raised utg, mp re-raised, 2+2 3bet, mp tanked for a long time and shoved all in for the last 60BB or so; 2+2 called. Effective stacks for the players was 100BB. 2+2 had AK and imo when the stack size are big like this and the opponent shove in full ring 100NL, you should muck AK (Normally, even QQ should be mucked) when the price to call is very high. Opponent had him crushed with KK.
AK is not "crushed" by KK, as AK has 30% equity and the final call had been correct or close to it even if the ai bettor had turned his KK face up.

The inital 3bet w/ AK (2+2īers UTG raise gets reraised by 2+2īer in MP) might be debatable though.
08-06-2008 , 01:32 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by WantToLearn
AK is not "crushed" by KK, as AK has 30% equity and the final call had been correct or close to it even if the ai bettor had turned his KK face up.
Not really but the problem is actually the 4bet.

Why some people want to play deep stack and then urge to push it in preflop anyway is not very logical to me. They should benefit more if they started to short stack when there post flop skills obv are bad.
08-06-2008 , 01:35 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by marimba man
Thread is a level or what?
This entire forum is a level.
08-06-2008 , 01:56 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BigBiceps
This entire forum is a level.
it all fits...
08-06-2008 , 02:03 PM
Against a guy you have no reads on who only has a half-stack (and considering the money you've already put in), you've got to send it in without too much thought.
08-06-2008 , 02:06 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BigBiceps
This entire forum is a level.
This entire forum is a forum full of people who donīt play NL200 and above.

Maybe just accept the recreational player as a legitimate life form and all is well.

      
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