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US Open

View Poll Results: Who wins?

Tiger Woods

31 38.75%

Phil Mickelson

9 11.25%

field

40 50.00%

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06-06-2008 , 11:36 AM

#26

sandycove

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2005 Posts: 585

Even money none of the four break a buck from the tips, if they play strict rules of golf. (And how would we know that?)

Quote

06-06-2008 , 11:53 AM

#27

sandycove

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2005 Posts: 585

At the moment, there is no market on Tiger missing / making the cut at PaddyPower.

Tiger is (1) at 2-1

Phil is (2) at 8-1

Scott is (7) at 33-1

Surely the market is a testament to Tiger's extraordinary reputation. I'd say he's 2-1 to withdraw, 5-1 to make the cut (no lads, I'm not making book), and off the board to win. Rusty? Coming off knee surgery? U.S. Open set-up? My word, even Superman was vulnerable to kryptonite...

Quote

06-06-2008 , 11:59 AM

#28

fatshaft

token Scotsman

Join Date: Mar 2004 Posts: 5,607

Quote:

Originally Posted by sandycove

I am of similar mind, and delighted at all the value to be had becasue of Tiger skewing the betting.

Quote

06-06-2008 , 12:22 PM

#29

sandycove

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2005 Posts: 585

Thank you for contacting Paddy Power Customer Support.

Our trading department has informed me that we can offer
6/1 on Tiger Woods to miss the cut at US Open
next week.

Quote

06-06-2008 , 01:05 PM

#30

sandycove

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2005 Posts: 585

Bet placed 6 PM GMT Friday...

I do not know whether it will be voided if he withdraws prior to his start...

Quote

06-06-2008 , 02:57 PM

#31

dzh90

old hand

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 1,529

Tickets are available for under face value. I just got a thursday ticket for $50.

I'm excited for this to start.

-15 minutes from my house
-couple guys from my hometown qualified. one was my high school teammate (tomasulo), other went to crosstown school (merrick)

Quote

06-06-2008 , 04:04 PM

#32

loK2thabrain

Tiger > Jack

Join Date: Apr 2006 Posts: 23,203

Quote:

Originally Posted by sandycove

Thank you for contacting Paddy Power Customer Support.

Our trading department has informed me that we can offer
6/1 on Tiger Woods to miss the cut at US Open
next week.

So how much action did you book

Quote

06-06-2008 , 04:13 PM

#33

Acein8ter

veteran

Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 2,131

I'll take the field... Wonder how long they are going to let the rough grow this year... 5"+??? In any case, it's going to be nasty

Quote

06-06-2008 , 04:15 PM

#34

thisnamedoesntfi

old hand

Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 1,433

Quote:

Originally Posted by sandycove

Thank you for contacting Paddy Power Customer Support.

Our trading department has informed me that we can offer
6/1 on Tiger Woods to miss the cut at US Open
next week.

Ouch. Terrible odds Sandy.

Quote

06-06-2008 , 04:48 PM

#35

ryanmack

veteran

Join Date: Oct 2006 Posts: 2,892

Quote:

Originally Posted by Troll_Inc

For a single round of this threesome this is who wins not considering Tiger's surgery and layoff:

68% Tiger
22% Phil
10% Sergio

Tiger started the year strong but declined up until the Masters. I would hazard a guess that the time he has taken off and fixing his knee should counteract the downsides of not playing for that length of time. Basically - it's all a wash.

Phil and Sergio have been playing well of late, so you could probably bump up their numbers a bit. Other than that, that should give you a pretty good strength rating.

ur retarted its lik 36 33 31

Quote

06-06-2008 , 11:33 PM

#36

WLVRYN

adept

Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 1,166

Quote:

Originally Posted by WLVRYN

Today is the day that Matt Lauer, Tony Romo, Justin Timberlake and the amateur guy play the course from the tips. I predit Romo breaks 100, but none of the other guys.

I missed by 2 shots:

Romo shot 84

Timberlake shot 98

Lauer shot 100

8.1 amateur guy shot 114

Quote

06-06-2008 , 11:45 PM

#37

dinopoker

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 9,437

^ Spoiler alert would have been nice

Quote

06-07-2008 , 06:19 AM

#38

thisnamedoesntfi

old hand

Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 1,433

84 is pretty solid, what is Romos' HC?

Quote

06-07-2008 , 08:23 AM

#39

sandycove

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2005 Posts: 585

Quote:

Romo shot 84

Wow.

He's the guy I was worried about, on the ground that he's a professional competitor, comfortable under pressure (the toughest cash players I ever competed -- poorly -- against were a pro hockey player and a pro baseball player.

But 84 is just totally, off-the-wall impressive...

Quote

06-07-2008 , 12:22 PM

#40

Troll_Inc

Ninja Tarp Inventor

Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 4,187

Quote:

Originally Posted by thisnamedoesntfi

84 is pretty solid, what is Romos' HC?

I think he almost qualified (or played reasonably in a US open Qual?)

"Romo, a 3-handicapper, led the pack with a jaw-dropping 84"

http://www.omaha.com/index.php?u_pag...u_sid=10352425

I'd guess if he only played golf he'd be at least a borderline pro/Nationwide tour/ok chance at Q school?

Edit:I can't find Tiger's exact quote from last year as to any amateur or 10 hdcp, but I'm guessing that he didn't have a football pro with a 3 hcp in mind.

Quote

06-07-2008 , 01:25 PM

#41

jogsxyz

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 6,362

Quote:

Originally Posted by WLVRYN

I missed by 2 shots:

Romo shot 84

Timberlake shot 98

Lauer shot 100

8.1 amateur guy shot 114

Tiger was right. He said a 10 handicapper couldn't break a hundred on this course. Timberlake and Lauer are both 6 handicapper.

Quote

06-07-2008 , 02:31 PM

#42

Micro Donk

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2007 Posts: 7,581

Quote:

Originally Posted by Troll_Inc

i thought romo was a scratch golfer?

yes he did attempt to qualify, shot a 75 i think, didnt make it

Quote

06-07-2008 , 03:48 PM

#43

BigSoonerFan

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2004 Posts: 11,214

Article that I read said he's a 2.2

Quote

06-07-2008 , 05:56 PM

#44

WLVRYN

adept

Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 1,166

Its a little strange that he tried to qualify, because I thought you had to be 1.4 or below. I've seen 2.2 also in a few different articles, so I'm not sure how he was able to try. Must have gotten an exemption or something.

Quote

06-08-2008 , 02:49 PM

#45

fatshaft

token Scotsman

Join Date: Mar 2004 Posts: 5,607

Quote:

Originally Posted by thisnamedoesntfi

Ouch. Terrible odds Sandy.

I would agree, but is it a worse bet than backing Tiger to win at 2/1?

Quote

06-08-2008 , 03:52 PM

#46

thisnamedoesntfi

old hand

Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 1,433

Quote:

Originally Posted by fatshaft

I would agree, but is it a worse bet than backing Tiger to win at 2/1?

It's slightly worse. With the interruption to his preparation I'd put Tiger at 5/1 to win and 25/1 to miss the cut. If he had a normal prep. then 2/1 would be about the right price given where the tournament is being played.

Quote

06-08-2008 , 05:28 PM

#47

sandycove

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2005 Posts: 585

Here's why it's bad:

1. If he doesn't start, the bet is void.

2. If he doesn't finish 36 holes, it's void, too.

3. I can't take it back...

(I'd reckoned the most likely scenario was that he'd withdraw, sometime between two days ago and hole 35. Probably Friday morning... Still do...)