WPT Foxwoods vs Juan Juanda - Page 2 - High Stakes MTT Strategy

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WPT Foxwoods vs Juan Juanda

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04-08-2008 , 03:21 PM

#26

Cornell Fiji

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2004 Posts: 6,875

Quote:

Originally Posted by vm1124

Ya its harder to answer now that we know he had a TT.

or QT.

In fact, given that we know he had the Ts and assuming that QT and TT get to the river the same way and that he always turns QT into a bluff, it is twice as likely that he had QT than TT.

But that shouldn't make it hard to answer anything because both hands were in his range and both hands would be betting the river. The crux of this question is what other hands are making it to the river as played and which of those hands he is value betting and which hands he is turning into a bluff.

04-23-2008 , 02:59 AM

#27

redshift83

grinder

Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 623

Its hard to expect better than a chop. But anyone last to act would definately bet an 8 like this. and maybe some sets/two pairs. I think most of the time you chop or he shows you a bluff. Odds are too good to fold here, he's probably bluffing 15% choping 60% and wining 25%.

04-23-2008 , 08:28 AM

#28

Foucault

Philosopher of Poker

Join Date: Jul 2005 Posts: 4,730

Quote:

Originally Posted by dw2006

I thought for a little while and folded. Juanda showed the Ts, which makes me think he had TT. I asked him the next day and he still refused to tell me if he had tens full. I like betting the flop now that I think about it. If it was hu I probably would have, the sb calling kind of threw me off.

I think betting flop is much better 3-way than HU. For one thing, he's far less likely to bet worse hands for you on the flop into two people.