just gonna get these up before I go to sleep don't have much to say but feel free to discuss. villain is a reg I think from central europe-ish, he's been here for a few orbits and played somewhat aggro but nothing crazy

Poker Stars $5000+$200 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t300/t600 Blinds + t70 - 8 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

MP1: t34063 M = 23.33
MP2: t12661 M = 8.67
Hero (CO): t44651 M = 30.58
BTN: t41117 M = 28.16
SB: t35235 M = 24.13
BB: t56256 M = 38.53
UTG: t47427 M = 32.48
UTG+1: t53002 M = 36.30

Pre Flop: (t1460) Hero is CO with J Q
4 folds, Hero raises to t1500, BTN calls t1500, 2 folds

Flop: (t4460) T 4 9 (2 players)
Hero bets t3000, BTN raises to t8153, Hero calls t5153

Turn: (t20766) K (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets t8536

i would go all in. i think there are a lot of hands he bets the turn with that you beat.

I would call with the intention of mostly folding to a river bet.

Seems about right.

this, jamming now is bad

I think this is a jam. It's a spot where people will still bet call sets and you have a blocker to most of the really strong flush draws that would raise the flop. I really don't think he is raising the bare NFD on the flop. So his only real flush combos are like 76ss and 87ss, even throwing in an an occasional 9xss or Axss i still can't give him a range where i don't feel shoving is best. If I were to call the turn i'd probably call every non board pairing river. This is a spot where people think they can rep flushes a lot better than they actually can.

I think the flop is really close and if he made it say 9500 i'd probably fold.

Just call.

Pudge, why don't you think he's raising NFD on the flop? Isn't this a good spot for doing so? A pretty standard line from NHFunkki here, he could pretty much get a fold from him.

why are people so sure we are beat and check folding river?

tbf i think i know why.............. but just to put my mind at rest?