super tuesday - weird river spot - High Stakes MTT Strategy

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super tuesday - weird river spot

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10-30-2011 , 09:03 AM

Big-Lebowski

newbie

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 49

Villian is a solid player with good results.no further reads on his game. I think his range is pretty polarized. Bluff or Monster... What would you do?

Poker Stars, $1,000 Buy-in (800/1,600 blinds, 200 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 7 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #10930182

BB: 100,848 (63 bb)
Hero (MP1): 59,000 (36.9 bb)
MP2: 69,025 (43.1 bb)
MP3: 53,740 (33.6 bb)
CO: 72,255 (45.2 bb)
BTN: 78,207 (48.9 bb)
SB: 47,902 (29.9 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with 6

Hero raises to 3,200, MP2 calls 3,200, 5 folds

Flop: (10,200) 9

(2 players)
Hero checks, MP2 checks

Turn: (10,200) 6

(2 players)
Hero bets 3,200, MP2 calls 3,200

River: (16,600) 5

(2 players)
Hero bets 8,000, MP2 raises to 22,150

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10-30-2011 , 09:58 AM

MartinGuthOBV

veteran

Join Date: Nov 2010 Posts: 2,007

c/f otf is fine
bet 6666 OTT
bet river bigger ~13333

as played call

10-30-2011 , 10:17 AM

Name Changed

banned

Join Date: May 2010 Posts: 2,074

any specific reason u made it 3200 OTT?
his raising range is way more bluffs than Monsters dont see folding best in longterm

10-30-2011 , 11:49 AM

Big-Lebowski

newbie

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 49

yes there is a reason. I like to vary my betting sizes to keep them guessing. River could be bigger thats true. If he decides to bluff why not on turn or flop??His hand looks weak and im pretty sure he knows it too...

10-30-2011 , 08:01 PM

busto23

veteran

Join Date: Jan 2011 Posts: 2,955

Bad sizing on all streets IMO. Snap call river as played. If he slowplayed the KQ so be it.

10-30-2011 , 09:50 PM

CaliStyle

See my staking thread

Join Date: Mar 2004 Posts: 4,356

Quote:

Originally Posted by MartinGuthOBV

c/f otf is fine
bet 6666 OTT
bet river bigger ~13333

as played call

exactly this

10-31-2011 , 01:36 AM

mbe3

veteran

Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 2,969

River seems like a really close call. It's basically how often does a solid player try to rep very little / value worse vs how often does a solid player take this line w like KQs/99. One problem is that on this board, there aren't going to be many combos in his range that do not have showdown value => fewer combos he could potentially spaz with. Sick spot.

Last edited by mbe3; 10-31-2011 at 01:42 AM.

10-31-2011 , 08:57 AM

Keeper1125

veteran

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 2,913

he never has a bigger set or 78, easy call

turn sizing is pretty bad

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