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seriousley questioning the merit of the stop'n'go play. seriousley questioning the merit of the stop'n'go play.

11-27-2011 , 01:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Chuck Bass
thread quality was equal to what i was expecting after seeing the title
I don't understand what you're saying.

I think we've hit on some good points here and the thread has been very good.
It seems you're poking fun, but on what grounds? Is everything I said just obvious?
Is something wrong with my logic?
I'd love to know if either of those are true. No offense to me at all. I am pretty new to these forums, maybe you guys figured out the stop and go is an error long ago. I haven't heard about that and there are still people advocating the play, even in this thread. Either I'm right and the play is backwards, or I'm wrong and I'm missing something very fundamental. I'd like to know either way.
I am pretty sure this thread got people thinking, and that's always a quality thing.
11-27-2011 , 01:41 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by andressoprano
Which means you read it? I'd have to be offered a BJ by a group of playmates to make me read all that, and even so I'd have to give it a serious thought.
but you had time to troll. very good attitude.
11-28-2011 , 11:58 AM
Donovan,

I think you are missing a key element of the stop-n-go, which is getting MORE folds on the flop than you expect pf. This is a short stack move in MTTs that also impacts tournamnet life. You are willing to "go" with your hand expecting a flip most of the time. If you get any fold otf, you win the chips and survive. A Stop N Go isn't about winning the max (always doubling up) as it is increacing your chances of winning the hand.
11-28-2011 , 02:43 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Donovan
If he never folds after the flop its EXACTLY the same as "all in, call"
The problem is he will sometimes fold post flop, like when he should=bad for you. And he will call when he should=bad for you.

Yes it reduces variance, but at what cost? Too much to be correct in most situations (again assuming smallish pair).
yeah agree with bolded part...people used to fold way to much, so the stop n go worked a lot better in 2009 than it does now...theoretically tho, the advantage of being first in mitigates being OOP, so it's technically still a flip...it's just that you survive the flip a little more often and bust less albeit at the expense of a corresponding amount of chips...less $$ but also less variance

it also used to work better when ppl raised AK>AA but now with the 2.5x or less std raising it's much harder to get stack sizes right and then they aint really commited a lot of the time...so you just have to pick your shove flop spots well...stop n eval imo
11-29-2011 , 11:19 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Beachman42
Donovan,

I think you are missing a key element of the stop-n-go, which is getting MORE folds on the flop than you expect pf. This is a short stack move in MTTs that also impacts tournamnet life. You are willing to "go" with your hand expecting a flip most of the time. If you get any fold otf, you win the chips and survive. A Stop N Go isn't about winning the max (always doubling up) as it is increacing your chances of winning the hand.
Do you really think I'm missing that? I don't wanna sound like a jerk but that's what the entire conversations been about. Did you read the OP. I understand that it's going to win more often than a flip. If you have a PP vs 2 overs it will work about 16% more often, the difference between 1 to 1 and 2 to 1. But you win a lot less when you win and you still get stacked when you lose. In my example I used stacks of 1200 and a 400 raise. If you shove preflop your laying two to one and getting called, if you stop and go with a PP vs overs your opponent only spends 400 to win your stack of 1200. He's going to stack you about 1/3 when he hits the flop and get away with his stack in tact when he misses the flop. Two out of three times you'll win 400, one out of three you'll lose 1200.
using those three out of three;400+400-1200 = -800. You lose 800 over three trials, the play is - 233 EV.

Is the EV loss made up for or recouped in TEV? I think the answer is almost always no, unless maybe you're on a very significant money bubble with a very particular pay out structure.
Its ironic that i'm coming down on this side now. I have been locking horns in a medium stakes thread about TEV vs EV. Mostly people disagree with me that TEV is not equal to EV. Now, I do know better than that but the stop and go play, in its original form just seems to be SO bad in terms of EV that it can't be right often in TEV.

Last edited by Donovan; 11-29-2011 at 11:24 PM.
11-30-2011 , 11:42 AM
Dont do it online. Over-do it live. You'll be printing money.

      
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