Implied odds with a draw OOP
Join Date: Apr 2006
Posts: 433
Hand is from a $500 live buyin event. 99 runners, top 10 get paid, first is about 15k. Starting stack is 10k. Nine players at the table, you were moved to the table six hands ago and so far the table seems to be playing tight. Your only action so far is raising 3xbb from HJ PF and got no callers. There are 34 players left so average chip stack is about 29k. Blinds are 600-1200 with a 150 ante.
Relevant stacks:
Villain (in highjack): 47k
Button: 21k
Hero: 43k
Reads: Villain in the hand is a tourney regular and from the little you know of him you perceive him as a solid player, yet capable of making moves occasionally. You gather villain probably perceives you as an aggressive and capable payer. Button is a PF fish who calls with any pp, any suited ace and any big cards, and any reasonable suited cards; seems to always fold on flop unless he hits hard.
PF: Folded to Villain in HJ who makes it 3600. CO folds, Button calls, SB folds. You call with the 89 of hearts.
Flop: 2h 6s 7c (pot 12750)
Hero leads for 6000, villain in HJ calls, button folds.
Turn: Ks (pot 24750)
Hero checks, villain bets 10k. Hero?
Comment on all streets but I have a couple of questions I hope people will consider:
Do you have the implied odds to continue with this hand? How would this change if you flopped a flush draw, but not a str8 draw? Would your decision to continue with hand change if you had position?
What is your plan on the River (for both hit and missing draw)?
Join Date: Oct 2006
Posts: 27,428
Well you can't call on the turn. If he won't call flop with AK, then a c/r allin wouldn't be bad.
Join Date: Apr 2006
Posts: 433
if you were pretty certain he was genuinely strong would you just drop the hand? What about other questions; does your plan change based on your position, type of draw?