Quote:
Originally Posted by apestyles
Yes, Moorman is aggressive but competent. After we call the flop he has to expect we have an A with a decent but not nut kicker most of the time. I think that blind versus blind especially (since random players are way more likely to get stubborn blind vs blind) he continuation bets and then gives up on most of his bluffs. Folding to his flop bet is a mistake in my opinion since he is in fact firing flop with 100 percent of his range (except some of his value range).
I think its pretty unreasonable to think that moorman is auto 2 barrelling this board 100 percent of the time in fact. And, if that were the case wouldn't that make it a call, not a fold?
The reason I think fold turn above all is that he is almost always betting river after betting this turn since all of his value hands that were strong enough to bet the turn bomb the river and all of his bluffs would bomb river as well. I don't think there are very many hand combinations of reasonable bluffs in his range since I dont expect he would 3 bet QJ and KQ preflop and the flush draw got there... I would say in this particular scenario he could show up with random bluffs but not near as often as he shows up with value hands.
ya, i said i liked call better on turn than fold if we got there, i think he is barreling a ton, if not always, on this board where the top of hero's range is like A8s, which most people don't call 3 bets oop with Ax type hands, so i think its even more likely moorman bombs. i agree moorman is obv competent, i think he is one of the best online mtt players for sure, but that doesnt mean he isnt super aggressive, and sometimes overly so, and i think we're gonna get owned a ton if our plan is c/c once and give up.