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Dumbest JJ spot ever very early vs Michael Craig. Dumbest JJ spot ever very early vs Michael Craig.

02-20-2009 , 08:32 PM
If this needs to be moved to SSMTT go for it, but felt I'd get better advice here.
Full Tilt Poker $40,000 Guarantee No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t15/t30 Blinds - 9 players - View hand 44714
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

UTG+2: t3210 M = 71.33
MP1: t3115 M = 69.22
MP2: t2585 M = 57.44
CO: t3325 M = 73.89
BTN: t2715 M = 60.33
Hero (SB): t3000 M = 66.67
BB: t2910 M = 64.67
UTG: t3540 M = 78.67
UTG+1: t2600 M = 57.78

Pre Flop: (t45) Hero is SB with J J
1 fold, UTG+1 raises to t90, 2 folds, MP2 calls t90, 2 folds, Hero calls t75, BB calls t60

Flop: (t360) 5 8 4 (4 players)
Hero bets t205, BB folds, UTG+1 folds, MP2 calls t205

Turn: (t770) T (2 players)
Hero checks, MP2 bets t450, Hero requests TIME


Really dumb spot. I don't really know where I'm at here and really confused on what the best turn line is...?


What is an appropriate range here?
02-20-2009 , 09:10 PM
Why did you lead flop? What's your plan there?
02-20-2009 , 09:12 PM
Probably for a b3b.

As played, call-call seems optimal.

Could be wrong tho. There are some dodgy rivers.
02-20-2009 , 09:14 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bond18
Why did you lead flop? What's your plan there?
Because I hate c/r'ing and I hate c/c'ing.

Is that bad? If so, why do you think so.

Is this just a trivially easy c/r; c/rai or something and I'm just that lost?
02-20-2009 , 09:28 PM
wow i've never seen a hand posted while i'm currently sitting at this exact table that's kinda cool

I usually c/c the flop here and take a pretty passive line. As played, I think I call here. He raises the flop with sets and probably fires here if he floated with overs/fd type hands. Reeval river.

Last edited by fsoyars; 02-20-2009 at 09:37 PM.
02-20-2009 , 09:30 PM
remember that you get your buy-in back if you knock him out, pretty important imo.
02-20-2009 , 09:35 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by fsoyars
wow i've never seen a hand posted while i'm currently sitting at this exact table that's kinda cool

edit: sry to not post content gimme a sec
The HH is doctored.

I'm really a big lagtard
02-20-2009 , 10:17 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by rmthawk64
Because I hate c/r'ing and I hate c/c'ing.

Is that bad? If so, why do you think so.

Is this just a trivially easy c/r; c/rai or something and I'm just that lost?
No your lead is absolutely fine although I'd make it a bit more. You are almost never going to win this pot if you check.
02-21-2009 , 12:05 AM
Would it be better to lead twice? Can QQ-AA really stand heat on this board with 2 leads, the first of which was into the rest of the table? Chking on turn just seems like hey i got decent hand but now I need pot control HU and I'm not too strong...just my thoughts.
02-21-2009 , 12:07 AM
id c/r, i would think michael craig is not the type to slowroll and he most likely has worse
02-21-2009 , 12:31 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by youcanhaveitall
remember that you get your buy-in back if you knock him out, pretty important imo.
yeah vs red pros you can't actually fold anything ever.
02-21-2009 , 12:59 AM
I've played with him a handful in the past and he didn't see anything really off the wall from him... I know he like to see flops, though.
02-21-2009 , 03:02 PM
bump for some more reasponses
02-21-2009 , 03:15 PM
Leading is fine but yeah I'd make it a bit bigger. I think you can bet turn as played. Other line is to c/c. Whoever said bet 3/bet has suicidal tendencies.
02-21-2009 , 03:19 PM
As played I probably flat the turn bet and reval river.
02-21-2009 , 05:31 PM
If you c/c the turn, the river is a brick, you check and he ships you are gonna be getting over 3:1 effective ($ + tshirt) so you're pretty much always calling.
02-21-2009 , 06:34 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bef99hwk
Would it be better to lead twice? Can QQ-AA really stand heat on this board with 2 leads, .
these hands are never folding
02-21-2009 , 07:05 PM
i don't think i'd ever expect michael craig to have JJ beat here unless he has TT or 67.

i'd def just bet the turn and bet most rivs.

as played check-call is fine both on turn and riv at this point.
02-21-2009 , 09:45 PM
michael craig is also theeee worst fwiw
02-21-2009 , 09:53 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by prolax13
michael craig is also theeee worst fwiw

When I first started playing w/ him I didn't think much of his game, but I had a few people tell me he was really solid, etc (and I OPR'd him and it was good). So then I guess my image of him was wrong b/c of this.


So I guess concensus is folding turn is bad. We need to at least be calling here cause MC is a clown?

Trying to stop spewing.

lol
02-22-2009 , 05:08 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Margin Of Error
As played I probably flat the turn bet and reval river.
You'll probably have to call OTR.
02-22-2009 , 05:29 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Backstroker41
You'll probably have to call OTR.
Bingo.

And so, I folded.
02-22-2009 , 10:27 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by rmthawk64
Bingo.

And so, I folded.
You probably have to call because of the t-shirt and the bounty not because he is bluffing that often. I really dont think I'd ever fold an overpair vs a pro here
02-22-2009 , 11:27 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by sketchy1
i don't think i'd ever expect michael craig to have JJ beat here unless he has TT or 67.

i'd def just bet the turn and bet most rivs.

as played check-call is fine both on turn and riv at this point.
If he can have 67 he can also have 44/88/55, 45,. T8 etc.
Idk how Michael Craig plays but it seems like if c/c turn is good it is because his range is weighted very heavily to draws. If that is the case you should c/c turn and c/c blank rivers, but if it's not the case turn is prob a c/f. Unless he is terrible enough to bet like 87s here.
02-22-2009 , 01:07 PM
Betting turn is way better than checking. He has a lot of hands that are worse than a pair of jacks that will always call a bet but will check back most of the time.

      
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