Bubble broke, UTG shoves for 6.5BB, three hands. - High Stakes MTT Strategy

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Bubble broke, UTG shoves for 6.5BB, three hands.

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11-17-2008 , 06:49 PM

JooWish622

veteran

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 2,128

100 cubed in FTP.

1. Bubble just burst, blinds are 500-1k, 9 handed.

Villain shoves for 6.5k UTG, He's about 11/8 over 75 hands, Folds to me in MP and I have 11k in MP with A

, Muck?

2. Same situation but I have 5

.

3. Now I have A

11-17-2008 , 06:53 PM

PokerPro1234565

Guest

Posts: n/a

call

call

call

11-17-2008 , 06:59 PM

Billy Bibbit

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 5,286

ATo probably fold unless it's a really tough table
55 probably call unless it's a really soft table
AJo call always

11-17-2008 , 07:28 PM

draw2aflush

grinder

Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 469

well rarely ever just call, but i assume you meant RR AI. A10o well it depends on the table as poster before mentioned. Also what are payouts and very and important and maybe most important, what are the other stack sizes

11-17-2008 , 08:57 PM

JesseB_11

old hand

Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 1,301

How can you fold a10 but call ajo always? I prob get it in here in all 3 because we crush his range and we can get some midpairs and and depending on player, aj,aq to fold.

11-17-2008 , 09:06 PM

JooWish622

veteran

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 2,128

Quote:

Originally Posted by Billy Bibbit

ATo probably fold unless it's a really tough table
55 probably call unless it's a really soft table
AJo call always

sorry can you explain a bit more billy? I am not a tourney player...

11-17-2008 , 09:31 PM

draw2aflush

grinder

Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 469

how can you expect real input when there is no payout structure mentioned nor stack sizes.

11-17-2008 , 09:37 PM

JooWish622

veteran

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 2,128

Quote:

Originally Posted by draw2aflush

how can you expect real input when there is no payout structure mentioned nor stack sizes.

The bubble just burst, there's like 60 left and so it's not that important I think.

he has 6.5k, I have 11k, nobody has much more than 15-25bb. The blinds have about 25bb each.

11-17-2008 , 09:48 PM

PokerPro1234565

Guest

Posts: n/a

am i ******ed in thinking his range is literally and truly ATC?

All three of these are snap iso-shoves no?

11-17-2008 , 09:48 PM

#10

Bakes

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 15,980

all 3 of thse are very easy shoves

11-17-2008 , 09:49 PM

#11

draw2aflush

grinder

Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 469

Quote:

Originally Posted by JooWish622

The bubble just burst, there's like 60 left and so it's not that important I think.

he has 6.5k, I have 11k, nobody has much more than 15-25bb. The blinds have about 25bb each.

i didn't see the 100 cubed at top of your post. A10 is a shove with SB and BB having 25bb stacks. if sb and bb have smallish stacks i say fold cause obv they call and 3-4 action sucks here

11-18-2008 , 03:35 AM

#12

JooWish622

veteran

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 2,128

can someone do the math? if i shove here there's like a 75% chance that someone wakes up behind us with 99+ and AQ+. (99+AQ+=5% of hands, and .95^7 is approx .75. How does this factor in our decision?

11-18-2008 , 04:31 AM

#13

AGame18

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 7,837

Quote:

Originally Posted by JooWish622

if i shove here there's like a 75% chance that someone wakes up behind us with 99+ and AQ+. (99+AQ+=5% of hands, and .95^7 is approx .75.

Jeff I suck at poker math, but this sounds very wrong.

11-18-2008 , 10:51 AM

#14

RandomGuy2

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jan 2008 Posts: 4,179

Quote:

Originally Posted by JooWish622

You mean 25%, not 75%. 75% chance nobody has 99+, AQ+.

11-19-2008 , 03:56 AM

#15

JooWish622

veteran

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 2,128

sorry yes thats what i meant, there's a 75% chance that nobody has it since the .95 in the .95^7 refers to when they have uncallable hands.

I didn't want to have to do this but..

Todd Terry, Todd Terry, TODD TERRY!

I just need to see the math once and I'll remember it 4 life. How do I factor in the 7 people behind me into the equation?

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