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Brawl bounty spot vs sketchy1 and friends Brawl bounty spot vs sketchy1 and friends

09-05-2010 , 07:49 PM
We are like 30-40 spots from the money. I am fairly certain even if I lose this hand I can limp it to a min cash.

I think I'm about break even to slightly ahead of sketchy1's iso range here. Add in the three potential bounties and this is a close but juicy spot right?

Full Tilt Poker The Sunday Brawl No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t500/t1000 Blinds + t125 - 9 players - View hand 906358
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

UTG+1: t33376 M = 12.71
UTG+2: t6285 M = 2.39
MP1: t12471 M = 4.75
MP2: t28407 M = 10.82
CO: t5673 M = 2.16
BTN: t28520 M = 10.86
SB: t25310 M = 9.64
Hero (BB): t34423 M = 13.11
UTG: t41259 M = 15.72

Pre Flop: (t2625) Hero is BB with Q A
2 folds, UTG+2 raises to t6160 all in, 1 fold, MP2 raises to t28282 all in, CO calls t5548 all in, 2 folds, Hero calls t27282

MP2= sketchy btw. I don't even want to talk about his tendencies but more a generic high stakes regular's iso range.
09-05-2010 , 08:31 PM
Without doing calculations this looks like a call with bounties for sure.
09-05-2010 , 08:53 PM
unless bounties are huge they're not really going to matter much. It's a pain to run numbers for that many pots, so...yeah, probably pretty close, probably a call
09-05-2010 , 09:22 PM
Bounties are $40. I think it's a decent chunk if we look at chips according to buy in equity. Of course we have much bigger stacks by now so it's hard to tell what a $40 bounty is worth at this point.
09-05-2010 , 10:32 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jjyykk
Bounties are $40. I think it's a decent chunk if we look at chips according to buy in equity. Of course we have much bigger stacks by now so it's hard to tell what a $40 bounty is worth at this point.
buyin is $200+40? So a bounty is worth like 500 chips, 3 bounties is worth 1500 chips. Say when you call you win an average of 1.5 bounties (seems reasonable/optimistic), it's worth about .75bb. So yeah pretty important but it's not going to drastically change the range you can profitably get it in with
09-06-2010 , 03:28 PM
I probably overrated the bounties. For those who are interested I ran the numbers for a potential range for isoing 28bb vs a 6.1k ep ship. The original jammer was jamming pretty correctly.

I think I would be comfortable isoing 99+, AQ+ in sketchy's spot. Does that sound about right? 28bb near the money in a major seems like a good stack so I don't think I would be isoing stuff like 7's. But I know I have tighter ranges than a lot of HSMTT regs.

AQo has 35.599% vs this iso range. When it came back to me I had 39% versus three other hands.
09-06-2010 , 06:19 PM
id call and i think he's isoing wider then 99+, AQ+ here
09-06-2010 , 08:21 PM
i expec him to be isoing something like 66/ats/ajo/kqs

so i call
09-06-2010 , 09:27 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by higher_energy
id call and i think he's isoing wider then 99+, AQ+ here

      
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