idk how good he is i just know he's a reg. i assume he sees me as a nitty random. he flatted my utg raise earlier with similar stack sizes with QQ. my stats on him are 15/8 with 4.2% 3b and 2.5 AF over a couple of hundred hands.

i guess i'm repping a narrow range, but is that enough to make it an unprofitable bluff?

Full Tilt Poker $750,000 Guarantee No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t50/t100 Blinds - 9 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

MP1: t4564 45.64 BBs
MP2: t1634 16.34 BBs
CO: t9191 91.91 BBs
BTN: t828 8.28 BBs
SB: t4915 49.15 BBs
BB: t2841 28.41 BBs
Hero (UTG): t5209 52.09 BBs
UTG+1: t7706 77.06 BBs
UTG+2: t10191 101.91 BBs

Pre Flop: (t150) Hero is UTG with A K
Hero raises to t300, 4 folds, CO calls t300, 3 folds

Flop: (t750) 4 6 5 (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets t400, Hero calls t400

Turn: (t1550) 5 (2 players)
Hero checks, CO checks

River: (t1550) 2 (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets t800, Hero raises to t4509 all in,

If he sees you as a nitty random that looks like a good bluff.

I think you played the turn right?

What are you trying to accomplish with your flop c/c?

You don't rep a boat very well fwiw. Seems like you're repping exactly 33?

This is an awful bluff, but it probably works pretty well because people think "Well he has to be a ****ing ****** to be bluffing here, so I guess he has a tricky boat"

Flop is an abortion.

Damo,

FWIW, flop decision is worst of your possible options. With the Ah you can feel good just betting.

I also don't care for river. His check behind range on the turn is mostly made up of draws, air, and monsters. He'd be betting most of his mid pairs on such a safe card pretty often.

On the river he'll bet air/missed draws, his monsters, and the occasional mid pair that folds here. So basically by shoving you get the same result as C/C against his bluffs, spew hard the times he has a monster, and every now and then fold out the range you're hoping for.

uh huh

i guess the flop was fairly FPS. i think given how strong he perceived my range to be (evidenced by the fact he's flatting QQ vs me) made me think that he'll check back on the flop a lot and we'll get free turns and possibly rivers with decent equity. like i don't really see how checking flop can be all that bad when no worse hands call and no better hands fold? main argument for betting flop seems to be for protection.