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55 1r1a, Bottom set facing big river bet 55 1r1a, Bottom set facing big river bet

10-28-2009 , 05:51 PM
Poker Stars $50+$5 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t15/t30 Blinds - 9 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

MP2: t5895 M = 131
CO: t4911 M = 109.13
BTN: t6430 M = 142.89
SB: t5905 M = 131.22
BB: t5835 M = 129.67
Hero (UTG): t6090 M = 135.33
UTG+1: t6280 M = 139.56
UTG+2: t6090 M = 135.33
MP1: t5805 M = 129

Pre Flop: (t45) Hero is UTG with 2 2
Hero raises to t90, 6 folds, SB calls t75, 1 fold

Flop: (t210) 5 8 2 (2 players)
SB bets t144, Hero raises to t444, SB calls t300

Turn: (t1098) K (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets t656, SB calls t656

River: (t2410) 9 (2 players)
SB bets t2222 Hero?

Is there any value in raising the river? Villain is a random to me, his picture is some asian lettering and he is from Garbsen. He's been fairly active pre opening, but I havent seen many oop flats.
10-28-2009 , 06:00 PM
its pretty close i think, it looks like a draw rather than a bigger set to me.

so he has got 34 and missed, fl draw and missed or 67 and got there imo. i guess could have like 98 sometimes as well but i dont really think he bets it too big on the river, this bet looks like a bluff without knowledge of the player, i call a lot here never raise.
10-28-2009 , 07:31 PM
I call like 100% of the time. Tho look like a busted draw decent time , still 99 is possible as well as 67. He might be value betting 89 if he somehow get there , which is about the only hand that will pay us(Or Ks9s? looks a bit stupid if he called preflop with that) ,so really cant find any value by raising the river
10-28-2009 , 08:38 PM
easy call to me
10-29-2009 , 02:28 AM
Flat Cawl, if he's bluffin, he wont call, and this could be 99 that got lucky on the river...

bet sizing looks fine except maybe abit more on turn.
10-29-2009 , 04:46 PM
nice hand. call is going to be the overwhelming obv answer. but i think i like a jam here. villain is german, has been active pre, it's a 1r+a and i see people monkey around in cubes all time on stars cuz you are so deep, and he would've had to put in more money on flop/turn w/ 88 or 55 to get stacks in, so seems to me like he has 99, a pretty unlikely 67, or something u beat. jam gets same result as call vs bluffs, but gives you chance for him to hand you stacks w/ somethin like KQss.
10-29-2009 , 09:17 PM
just call.. only thing hes gonna call a raise on riv with is the strt...unless hes really awful and we cannot assume a random is that bad. where was he from?
10-30-2009 , 10:15 PM
i think just call here because open ender and another pair/set just got there
he is bluffing missed flush and the only thing that might even pay u off r weird 2 pair 89 or Kx
also - def bet more on turn!!

      
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