50r - bluff catcher - High Stakes MTT Strategy

Two Plus Two Forums Archived Forums Strategy High Stakes MTT

50r - bluff catcher

...

10-16-2013 , 08:22 PM

SNGplayer24

banned

Join Date: Mar 2007 Posts: 3,582

hey guys - this is the party 50r - 2 tables left......villan is an unknown cl - he came to my table for the first time about 20ish hands ago and hasn't been too crazy thus far......

the open isn't standard but had the dynamics where I could open this profitably imo......I think there's an argument for b/f flop but decided to call......river is interesting - I'm clueless on his bluffing tendencies and his value combos are severely limited....I also don't expect him to be bluffing better hands - thoughts?

Party, $50 Buy-in (2,000/4,000 blinds, 400 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 8 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #20035101

MP1: 85,128 (21.3 bb)
Hero (MP3): 136,491 (34.1 bb)
BB: 278,400 (69.6 bb)
SB: 147,970 (37 bb)
MP2: 44,442 (11.1 bb)
UTG+2: 61,931 (15.5 bb)
CO: 52,264 (13.1 bb)
BTN: 79,692 (19.9 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with 5

3 folds, Hero raises to 8,155, 3 folds, BB calls 4,155

Flop: (17,514) J

(2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets 8,000, BB raises to 19,550, Hero calls 11,550

Turn: (56,614) Q

(2 players)
BB bets 23,900, Hero calls 23,900

River: (104,414) T

(2 players)
BB bets 226,395

Spoiler:

Get the Flash Player to use the Hold'em Manager Replayer.

10-19-2013 , 02:21 AM

MakingMoves

grinder

Join Date: Sep 2012 Posts: 589

I don't see how you can possibly call. Most of his bluffs that he decided to check raise flop and barrel off with now beat a pair of 5s. If you're assuming that villian won't shove with single paired hands on the river I still think he has enough two pair and straight combos to make calling here not profitable.

10-19-2013 , 05:30 AM

emteetee

enthusiast

Join Date: Feb 2013 Posts: 63

actually im kinda fine with calling
first he doesnt represent much otf so that im never ever folding (jj->3bet pre ; 55->1combo ; 33->should 3bet)

he has some ch/raised Qx but i dont think we can fold

otr i think that he doesnt vbet AJ so we are basically calling against QT, some kq maybe and random bluffs

so im fine with the calldown

10-19-2013 , 02:11 PM

MartinGuthOBV

veteran

Join Date: Nov 2010 Posts: 2,007

well i think if u bet flop ur line looks fine to me
call river

Last edited by MartinGuthOBV; 10-19-2013 at 02:37 PM.

...