Amazing how it is possible to be fit while having precisely zero self-control to not post about politics in a fitness forum.

He posts once and it fills him up. He's not a donk.

Bit late, but I'm sorry you had to go through that, Syn; I'm glad your wife is ok.

It's a gambling post bro. -520 at that time means you risk 520 to win 100 on Biden. It's -400 now. So 400 to win 100. Maybe you want to get some action down.

Ironically, the lynchpin state appears to be Nevada. Not to be confused with the Keystone state, which idk why they haven't called for Trump after they prematurely called Arizona for Biden. #librulmedia

Fox News is liberal media? That might be the biggest flip I've heard of in this election!

Arizona still likely for Biden (obv shouldn't be called yet) but Pennsylvania is going to him so it won't matter. He's likely to end up with 306 or something like that. Not any sort of crushing victory but with a margin potentially that high it doesn't leave much room for Trump to "win" the election through legal means.

Best bit for me by far has been the freedom party supporters chanting "stop the count" at a vote counting place. Land of the free?? ****.

LOL, wat?

Yeah, this.

I've spent most of the last day and a have glued to new politardia, glad I checked back here or I would have missed this nugget. If I couldn't see poster's names, I'd have snap bet a ton it was jdock post.

The "idk why they haven't called Pennsylvania for Trump" is the cherry on top.

You're leaving out the best part. They're doing that at a place (AZ) where their horse is behind and literally his only outs (which are live) involve counting more votes.

They called Arizona for Biden with loads of votes left to count that are projected to be Trump-leaning. Biden was likely to win the state, but not likely enough to call it. Thus it was inconsistent for them to not also call Pennsylvania for Trump, since he was farther ahead than Biden was in Arizona, with a similar figure of votes left to count. It's just a subtle example of the left-lean of the associated press.

It matters where the votes left to count are. For instance, Ohio only has 90% of its votes counted (as of the last I checked) and Mississippi has only 77% and both have been called for Trump. Is that an example of the "right-lean of the Associated Press"?

He was so far ahead in those states that Biden would have had to win more than 100% of the remaining votes.

The demographics in the areas with votes left to count were Trump-leaning in the case of AZ and Biden-leaning in the case of PA. They were able to apply dispassionate logic to PA but not to AZ.

Fox News called Arizona. So it seems you are still implying that Fox News is left-leaning?

If your point is that Arizona was called way too early. Of course it was! I don't really understand why they didn't uncall it but I guess they have some sort of reasons.

In these two examples, "Biden leaning" in PA is projected to be (and is) 90% in a big portion of those areas (Philadelphia). In Arizona "Trump leaning" is projected to be in the low to mid 50s. Very possible it could be much higher and the Arizona call will be embarrassing (it already is though). But none of this has anything to do with liberal media or the media in general. Fox News called Arizona, and then a couple places jumped the gun too. But a bunch have never called Arizona.

I either don't understand what you're trying to say or I have no idea how you can look at how the situation has played out and arrived at the narrative that you have. I guess it's most likely that you have a narrative and are trying to fit things into it? But I don't really understand that very well either.

Renton, you're right but not for the reasons you think. Biden is more of a favourite in PA (1.17) than he is in AZ (1.35). It's not left wing media, it's pure incompetence. If they called AZ for Biden, they should now call PA for Biden. But really, neither of them is close to being called.

If I started a log posting my efforts to increase clubhead speed (golf) and weight loss:

Would anyone care?
Would it likely devolve into nonsense?

Thinking about it as a way to track my progress but really don't want to add a bunch of noise to my life...also if no one is particularly interested in golf may not be the target audience.

WUG?

The vast majority of votes left to count in AZ are in Maricopa and Pima counties. Both are/will be heavily for Biden. You understand that most of the rest of the state is pretty empty, right?

If you truly believe that Arizona should be called, there is free money for you. You win 35 cents for every dollar you bet. I suspect you don't actually know that, and you definitely don't know more than the market does.

I wasn't aware that it was Fox. I guess it's more likely incompetence than bias in this case.

Very few golfers around here. If people don't know your sport, that stay quiet and listen. Look at montecore and arjun, almost zero comments on their logs about rowing. They have become too good at it for anyone to even comment. We read and take in, not post nonsense.

Spy on the other hand makes outrageous comments like he is going to strict press 315. He is also a complete noob to health and fitness, guy was killing himself the last decade. So obviously more experienced folks are going to chime in with realities.

So yeah, as far as dieting you might get some comments. But they will backed by science, authorities, and tons of experience from around here. If you have Trumpian egomaniac tendencies, you shouldnt start a log. If you want to live longer and better yourself, you should. It's that simple.

arjun,
Are you suggesting this betting market is comprised of cold, rational thinkers with no hot, emotional political types mixed in? That the odds given accurately reflect reality?

Definitely start one. I played golf for a long time, but I'm out of the loop now. There is no downside to it. Just stop posting if it's not giving you any benefit. You will definitely get lots of help with the weight loss part though.

I'm sure there are some emotional people in the market. But when it's basically a math problem with some estimates - x number of votes left in each county, y% democratic, etc, it's pretty hard to get it totally wrong. 1.35 might be wrong - it could be 1.15 or 1.55, but it is definitely not a lock and 1.001.

Are you going to start posting to your log again?

No. Corona killed my sport. It's off-season for a while.

I am also a blistering jacked 167lbs now, it's all lifting now baby. Unfortunately I saw some old blood work from the last decade and most likely over 200 total cholesterol now.

Pima is but isn't Maricopa the largest republican county in the US? I don't think the votes coming in from Maricopa are going Biden. It's a matter of whether or not they go slightly Trump or shift more than expected towards Trump.

Renton - if you want to complain about states not getting called:

Biden has no chances in Alaska. Trump doesn't really have any in Nevada but places like Fox News and AP can't call that without retracting Arizona, so they will probably just pretend Trump has some chance there.

Again, this is all likely irrelevant. It's just a matter of which winning domino hits first (Arizona + Nevada, Pennsylvania, or Georgia).