H&F Werewolf Game Thread - Blue-chippers vs. Busts - Page 31

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H&F Werewolf Game Thread - Blue-chippers vs. Busts

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01-04-2013 , 01:05 PM

#751

allinontheturn

'Merican Dullard

Join Date: Nov 2008 Posts: 22,648

Quote:

Originally Posted by KhalynYohrk

That's all you got for villa aiott??

Well since I'm confirmed villa everyone else is >rand to be wolf right. Maybe not so much on d2 tho ... more available reads.

Quote

01-04-2013 , 01:05 PM

#752

aura

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2005 Posts: 10,048

Quote:

Originally Posted by allinontheturn

No offense Aura but I'm inclined to go against your reads bc of how wildly inaccurate you were last game and with nugz reads for the same reason. Which could really be awful for me if Nugz is a wolf, but I don't think he is.

I'm not offended. I'd like to think that I'm getting a little bit better, though. I'm still trying to figure out this game. Remember that nearly all of us were wrong a bunch last time. I just happened to be wrong almost all the time (until the end, if you want to check it).

Sample size, ldo.

Quote

01-04-2013 , 01:09 PM

#753

KhalynYohrk

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2007 Posts: 7,720

Fair point.

Sog was wafting me wolfy stink a fair bit yesterday. just like dt said jr was a bit confusing but still felt like wolfy mcwolferson throwing the towel in. that could look bad for dt if he winds up vein wolfy as no one had defended him up to then but dt not on my list yet

Quote

01-04-2013 , 01:13 PM

#754

aura

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2005 Posts: 10,048

Wow, that was confusing, KC.

I didn't notice that you changed Aidan's list.

Here's Aidan's list and here is KC's list for reference.

Care to explain anything on your list, KC?

Quote

01-04-2013 , 01:15 PM

#755

aura

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2005 Posts: 10,048

Quote:

Originally Posted by KhalynYohrk

What does your list look like?

Quote

01-04-2013 , 01:17 PM

#756

nuggetz87

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 15,728

Quote:

Originally Posted by Country Roads

I already said this but we should leave him alone for now and focus on jr and sog. if kc isn't nk'd tonight or tomorrow he's prob a wolf.

I dunno about this. If we all decide on this then the wolves just shouldn't night kill him. It's not the same situation as last game with you because we have no reason to believe he's the seer.

I know KC has extra value because he's experienced but I think his wolfiness has more than canceled that out.

Again it's hard to really say anyone is like 50%+ likely to be wolf this early. I'm just going with my read.

Quote

01-04-2013 , 01:24 PM

#757

downtown

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Dec 2004 Posts: 12,446

Here's my mid d2 list:

allinontheturn
crashjr
KhalynYohrk
nuggetz87
Montecore

pageh656
Aura

The Yugoslavian
uscpf
suckoutgenius
Weasel45
Country Roads

kidcolin (note, very unlikely SOG & KC, likely an either/or and I'm more up in the air on SOG)
JohnnyRyall, could be convinced he is falling as first lynch though. Irrational actions leaves him here for the time being.

Quote

01-04-2013 , 01:24 PM

#758

KhalynYohrk

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2007 Posts: 7,720

Quote:

Originally Posted by aura

What does your list look like?

I have and kc as top 2

Prob sog and got a little vibe from monte but I might be missing some stuff haven't gone through everyone's posts in full detail just posting suspicions as they pop up

Quote

01-04-2013 , 01:27 PM

#759

KhalynYohrk

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2007 Posts: 7,720

Jr was the other for my top 2 phoane post ftl

Quote

01-04-2013 , 01:40 PM

#760

crashjr

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2006 Posts: 12,917

lol @ anyone having me on a wolf list. I mean I guess I could have fifth level bussed Aidan out the gate yesterday but that seems kinda unlikely.

KC heat is fine with me, but I'm inclined to go Johnny today unless convinced otherwise.

SOG has the HIV. Might be a good EOD bandwagon lynch if today goes weird.

Quote

01-04-2013 , 01:47 PM

#761

kidcolin

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 109,094

Quote:

Originally Posted by aura

Wow, that was confusing, KC.

I didn't notice that you changed Aidan's list.

Here's Aidan's list and here is KC's list for reference.

Care to explain anything on your list, KC?

We'll do top 3.

Wolf leans:
Johnny - ldo
SOG - didn't post at EOD despite being here and being off wagon.
uscpf - super UTR. odd drop in yesterday.

Villas:
Weasel - found his d1 heat aids. Sticking up for a wronged UTR.
page - explained yesterday. Pretty much cleared himself on d1.
DT - pretty obv.

Quote

01-04-2013 , 01:56 PM

#762

kidcolin

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 109,094

to elaborate more about SOG, just look at what he's done today.

Quote:

Originally Posted by suckoutgenius

you jumping on the JR bandwagon right before you wolf buddy Aidan was about to get lynched is AIDS.

pretty obv you're a wolf this time. I could have easily changed my vote from you to JR and got it tied if I was a wolf.

KidColin

lol. k brah.

Quote:

Originally Posted by suckoutgenius

I was just getting home from the casino. Left the casino a little after 8 and got home ~8:30 and started cooking dinner (barely ate anything all day). I was on my iphone in the kitchen trying to keep up but I didn't have a gut feeling about either of the bandwagons so I just stayed neutral (2nd time playing so I didn't realize this was a big deal).

plays the newb card.

Leaves never to be heard from again.

He's tunneled on me and he's not actually participating in the game at all. I made a thin case on KY, he quickly comes up with a huge theory that I'm right about KY, BUT that i'm also a wolf. It's awful.

he then lays low and does **** all the rest of day, but comes back to EOD only to not participate in the wagons.

He comes in today only to answer for his AIDS effort and leaves. He's a shook wolf.

Quote

01-04-2013 , 01:57 PM

#763

downtown

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Dec 2004 Posts: 12,446

Quote:

Originally Posted by downtown

Just want to note re: my list. I am very solid on my greens. If you pay attention to how the d1 Aidan wagon loaded, it's very unlikely that any above green-marked player is a wolf.

Quote

01-04-2013 , 01:58 PM

#764

pageh656

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2006 Posts: 9,988

whether johnny is a wolf or not he sure isnt playing to help the village

Quote

01-04-2013 , 02:00 PM

#765

LKJ

Smugly Contemptuous

Join Date: Aug 2003 Posts: 93,732

Votes from post 644 to post 764
Night in 08:00:56
---

Votes	Lynch	Voters
3	kidcolin	downtown (22), nuggetz87 (6), suckoutgenius (2)
3	JohnnyRyall	allinontheturn (7), KhalynYohrk (10), aura (12)
1	suckoutgenius	kidcolin (19)
1	pageh656	JohnnyRyall (4)
2	unvote	Country Roads (5), The Yugoslavian (3)
5	not voting	crashjr (1), Montecore (14), pageh656 (5), uscpf (0), Weasel45 (1)

Quote

01-04-2013 , 02:05 PM

#766

downtown

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Dec 2004 Posts: 12,446

Quote:

Originally Posted by LKJ

Votes from post 2 to post 642
It is night
---

Votes	Lynch	Voters
7	Aidan	Shark Sandwich (104), allinontheturn (22), downtown (57), KhalynYohrk (44), Montecore (94), nuggetz87 (18), crashjr (18)
6	JohnnyRyall	pageh656 (73), kidcolin (59), Aidan (30), The Yugoslavian (14), Country Roads (8), aura (13)
1	pageh656	JohnnyRyall (17)
1	kidcolin	suckoutgenius (42)
1	Shark Sandwich	Weasel45 (3)
1	not voting	uscpf (5)

quoting EOD1 for my own review and comparison with today's early wagons

Quote

01-04-2013 , 02:07 PM

#767

downtown

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Dec 2004 Posts: 12,446

Well only one thing is clear 100% lock.

Villas need to post more.

Quote

01-04-2013 , 02:14 PM

#768

crashjr

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2006 Posts: 12,917

It would be easier to post moar if day didn't start at 4 am.

kidcollin for the giggles.

Quote

01-04-2013 , 02:24 PM

#769

KhalynYohrk

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2007 Posts: 7,720

Is it just me or are there like 8 people mia today

Quote

01-04-2013 , 02:25 PM

#770

downtown

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Dec 2004 Posts: 12,446

Quote:

Originally Posted by KhalynYohrk

Is it just me or are there like 8 people mia today

It's not just you and it's really a problem.

Quote

01-04-2013 , 02:35 PM

#771

nuggetz87

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 15,728

KC, I don't like the SOG claiming noob every post either. Same with him not posting much useful village help/analysis. But it is consistent with how he played last game iirc and he was a villager (pretty sure?)

Quote

01-04-2013 , 02:37 PM

#772

downtown

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Dec 2004 Posts: 12,446

Paging Yugo.

Paging Monte.

Quote

01-04-2013 , 02:38 PM

#773

KhalynYohrk

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2007 Posts: 7,720

He cant be useless forever and its also convenient and decent cover.

Quote

01-04-2013 , 02:41 PM

#774

nuggetz87

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 15,728

Quote:

Originally Posted by KhalynYohrk

He cant be useless forever and its also convenient and decent cover.

Well yeah my post was meant to hopefully push him in that direction. But also, especially with new players, there will be some differences in play style with a role change. It's just hard to help unless youre a really good beginner.

Quote

01-04-2013 , 02:44 PM

#775

Montecore

RPElf = +EV

Join Date: Mar 2011 Posts: 82,371

Sorry guys, my day got kind of ****ed up when my nanny called out (the wifeacore got her sick with the stomach flu). My day has been spent feeding babies and changing diapers; I should have some time after they go down for good (~6 pm).

In the meantime, I agree with the general sentiment that Aidan voters are relatively likely to be clear; I think a JR lynch tells us the most about the wagon formation last night, but I'm not going to fight a KC or SOG lynch either

Quote

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