Would you take this combo 'all the way'? Would you play it the same vs reg or fish?


PokerStars - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 235 BB
SB: 87 BB
Hero (BB): 103 BB
UTG: 100 BB
MP: 114 BB
CO: 189 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 8 7

fold, MP raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls 2 BB

Flop: (6.5 BB, 2 players) 9 6 4
Hero checks, MP bets 2 BB, Hero raises to 8 BB, MP calls 6 BB

Turn: (22.5 BB, 2 players) A
Hero bets 14 BB, MP calls 14 BB

River: (50.5 BB, 2 players) 9
Hero bets 75 BB and is all-in

Turn should be an OB you pretty much are polarizing to set on this turn. You also make sure to fold out hands like JJ.

River is fairly bad for you, it also looks like nice spot to bluff catch everything missed and you have less value. Hand selection is fine, main bluff are probably 4x and 6x.

Pot the turn

Well I aint bluffcatching with 8 high..

My solve says river is nice. Any non club T,9,8,7,5 is good.

I like the idea of sizing up OTT exploitatively. But more inclined to shut down river then

Whether you bet 75%, 100%, or 125% on the turn isn't very important besides changing how you should play river

River is terrible vs fish, probably okay vs regs

I assume Haizemberg means that it's good for Villain to bluffcatch since all draws missed and there are fewer combos of 96 and 99 available.

I think the line and hand choice is theoretically fine. As haizem alluded to it would be more theoretically correct to use a turn sizing closer to being geometric, but not super duper important... As for what you should do in practice it basically boils down to how often you think villain folds river. He needs to fold 75/125 or about 60%+ for you to have a profitable jam. Your value range is effectively only 99/66/44 as you shouldn't have 96s or 64s from preflop node, 64s got counterfeit anyway, and A9s might raise flop here vs 30%, but its only two combos. So, on the river you are repping a maximum of 9 value combos where you have a plethora of bluffs to choose from and the river brought a card reducing your perceived value range. Generally speaking, I would recommend not following through on this bluff on this card.

Flop seems like a x/c some % of the time.

As played, we have too many bluffs and too few value hands here. Also, ott we have a decent number of strong draws to OB with. If we do decide to use 2 sizings ott, our hand fits well into that category or even the x/c bucket imo, assuming we are prepared to lead some rivers.



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Can i know what we are targetting here to fold? I just feel like when he calls he has Ax, i thought you could just end the bluff on the turn. Probably bet the turn a bit bigger then check fold the river.
On another note, Are you overbetting your Ax hands for value here?