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WPN 2NL - Fold Turn w/ JJJ WPN 2NL - Fold Turn w/ JJJ

01-05-2017 , 07:12 AM
Winning Poker Network (Yatahay) - $0.02 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

CO: $2.06 (VPIP: 29.41, PFR: 17.65, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 17)
Hero (BTN): $2.00
SB: $1.49 (VPIP: 16.67, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 6)
BB: $2.97 (VPIP: 33.87, PFR: 27.42, 3Bet Preflop: 4.35, Hands: 63)
UTG: $4.37 (VPIP: 23.85, PFR: 21.10, 3Bet Preflop: 8.16, Hands: 109)

SB posts SB $0.01, BB posts BB $0.02

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.03) Hero has J J

fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.06, fold, BB calls $0.04

Flop: ($0.13, 2 players) J K Q
BB checks, Hero bets $0.08, BB calls $0.08

Turn: ($0.29, 2 players) 4
BB checks, Hero bets $0.14, BB raises to $0.60, fold

BB wins $0.55

BB appeared to be a decent lag reg and I had relatively limited information on him. With the two over cards and the draws that were out there, I didn't want to grow the pot any bigger here. I realize my turn bet should have been bigger (pot? 2/3rd pot?) but I don't think it would have changed much on this one. I'm pretty sure he had it.
WPN 2NL - Fold Turn w/ JJJ Quote
01-05-2017 , 07:35 AM
[Flopzilla v1.8.3]
[Use Ctrl+I to import into Flopzilla]
[www.flopzilla.com ]
[hPPt5f+T7MZ5dNOOkyQRCFd73DEAJIgF7obt55SJmyjhL+0hHR]
[+fOlt4A0VhwmtuQQ8+XOOA7TFswlOl74SixpLcB6cnTHJOj2wV]
[If022w2JBbPLKhD+yniUnJoD2lx66VOtrPdESzjD8XdUlNiFcT]
[dwkoqaB4T0ae1dOlI1aaJcFGiwLKBbbADXQinQW35kMLlaiLzT]
[g9uRTZb5qCb1rjYbqlyh1Ox1Oph543lmS4gycFQdwM4UkF1daS]

There's the Flopzilla export if anyone wants to check it out. Against a 32-34% range (villain's VPIP) I basically had 80% equity. It says the hand is best 89.266% of the time. Once again, villain seemed reg and tight on later streets and considering it's WPN, I didn't want to get the money in with what wasn't even top set on a wet board.
WPN 2NL - Fold Turn w/ JJJ Quote
01-05-2017 , 08:38 AM
xb turn to call non heart rivers and value bet/raise when you fill up.
EDIT: This is what I'd but when I think about it b/f is good too
WPN 2NL - Fold Turn w/ JJJ Quote
01-05-2017 , 09:30 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by GreenBliss420
I'm pretty sure he had it.
The story doesn't end there. You still have 10 outs against a straight or a flush, so you need to get around $.70 more on average on the river if you hit to have sufficient implied odds to call the turn (10/47 vs .46/(.29+2*.60+.70)).

Quote:
wasn't even top set
Do you think he'd flat QQ/KK pre in BU vs BB?
WPN 2NL - Fold Turn w/ JJJ Quote
01-05-2017 , 09:30 AM
Our equity vs Vs vpip won't help us in this spot. You should also ignore V's stats w/ that sample, unless he plays and barrels off 100% or some ****.

Def not giiott. I think betting turn for value is good, plus you are protecting your hand which is quite vulnerable. I'd bet bigger however. Turn, V will basically never be bluffing so figure out if chasing the boat will profitable.
WPN 2NL - Fold Turn w/ JJJ Quote
01-05-2017 , 09:58 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mrno1324
xb turn to call non heart rivers and value bet/raise when you fill up.
EDIT: This is what I'd but when I think about it b/f is good too
Nope, you need to call turn AP
WPN 2NL - Fold Turn w/ JJJ Quote

      
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