Yatahay Network - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BTN: 108.7 BB
SB: 207.4 BB
BB: 120 BB
Hero (UTG): 260.1 BB
MP: 123.6 BB
CO: 118.6 BB
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has K
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Q
Hero raises to 2.8 BB,
fold,
fold, BTN calls 2.8 BB,
fold,
fold
Flop: (7.1 BB, 2 players) J
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5
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A
Hero bets 3.5 BB, BTN calls 3.5 BB
Turn: (14.1 BB, 2 players) 4
Hero bets 10.5 BB, BTN calls 10.5 BB
River: (35.1 BB, 2 players) Q
Hero bets 35.1 BB,
BTN raises to 91.9 BB and is all-in,
fold
BTN wins 100.1 BB
This is such a perfect spot to river overbet jam imo, but I made a mistake of looking at my stack size rather than the villains and thought potsized bet should do just fine.
His raise, however, made me curious. With his range, if he had me beat, I'd assume he'd just call. What raises the river here?
Villain is vpip/pfr/3b 17/12/8.
QQ+ AK AQ 3bet pre, we can assume he also 3bets some JJ AJ A5 A4.
On the turn with such dynamic board where I have made hands and large amount of nut draws, I suspect he'd want to reraise sets and two pairs and even if he didnt, wouldnt those hands just call on the that specific river?
would he call double barrel with KT for a straight, and would he still reraise on that river when I have my own flushes/straights in my range?
With such large gap between his vpip/pfr, I can only imagine something like 9h8h type hand that would play that way.
Thoughts?