Villain is a winning reg although I've seen him make some crazy senseless bluffs in random spots. First, do you like my 3 barrels here? On the river, I was torn between betting 150 and shoving. Betting $150 has to work 46% of the time while shoving has to work about 64%. I feel like the bet size can change a lot in this spot what do you think?

edit : I guess I should add some info on villain and myself. His stats are 22/18/3.5. He's quite aggro, floats a decent amount and has a wide range for raising this turn, that's why the 3rd barrel came naturally. I just changed screenname so I'm unknown to him.

Party Poker $400 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

Hero (SB): $547.60
BB: $401.60
UTG: $412.95
MP: $603.55
CO: $400.00
BTN: $448.70

Pre Flop: ($6.00) Hero is SB with 9 8
4 folds, Hero raises to $14, BB calls $10

Flop: ($28.00) J K 4 (2 players)
Hero bets $21, BB calls $21

Turn: ($70.00) T (2 players)
Hero bets $52, BB calls $52

River: ($174.00) 4 (2 players)
Hero bets $??? There's $314.60 left to play for

"Betting $150 has to work 46% of the time while shoving has to work about 64%"

How do u come up with this btw?

Id bet 150ish on the river

If you played enough under the new screenname for him to know that you're a reg then 120 will have the same f/e as 150, obv might have to balance that in the future but in a vaccum something like that is best. Oh and yes firing this river is 100% standard after you bet the turn.

I don't think you need to shove here as his 2p (well, 3p!) range is a pretty small portion of his whole range due to card removal and no raisements earlier. It also doesn't make much sense for you to do it for value with a good hand so if villain's really good he might hero call.

not a fan of turn barrel at all but as played i guess you have to bluff on end

this is a spot where if you fire 2 i think you gotta fire a third because he'll have alot of 1pair + a draw hands that wont fold to just the turn bet.

$138 on the river