Hi guys!
@craghack shared his small base for analysis (25k). Let's help him improve his results.
1. Results zoom and reg tables
Overall:
By positions:
In my opinion, the main problem is blind defense.
Target win rates by positions:
2. Select
Merely 17% of hands come into play when a recreational player is present at the table. Given this relatively low percentage, I advise you not to play Zoom.
When a recreational player is involved, the aim is to achieve a target win rate of 10bb/100.
Enhancing your gameplay against these players is crucial, as they constitute the primary source of our earnings.
This is especially pertinent due to the substantial rake we face at these limits.
3. Preflop
Overall, your preflop approach seems reasonable.
However, calling open raises from the big blind looks not good.
It appears that you're employing a consistent calling range against a variety of positions, ranging from early position to the button.
It's important to tailor our defensive range to match our opponents' open-raising range.
For instance, if they open-raise around 15% of the time, our calling range should fall within the range of 10-15%.
If they're opening around 45% of the time, our calling range would be 35-40%.
3Bets look ok.
3. Postflop
The sample is small and the results cannot be considered representative.
I'd suggest widening your continuation betting range when you're in a position as the aggressor, aiming for a range of 75-80%.
Currently, your continuation bet rate stands at 62%, with instances of checking the flop and folding on the turn is 62%.
This can give your opponents the opportunity to adjust their pre-flop defense, knowing that they can exploit an auto-profit situation on the turn by capitalizing on their weaker hands.
CBet/Fold 60% is high but only 15 samples and I didn't find any of the hands you folded worth defending.
DelCBet on the Turn is also low (37%). Feel free to take down the pot more often with non-SDV hands when you get a second check from your opponent.
There are also many fundamental leaks.
Your current continuation betting stat is low, accompanied by a mere 3.4% check-raise frequency and a 67% check-fold tendency on the flop.
These statistics could potentially present a favorable scenario for your opponents, as they can exploit these numbers to their advantage.
There are usually two approaches to this spot:
- Play from a high Cbet (easier but effective especially at low stakes)
- Play from a low Cbet but with a high check/raise (12-15%).
Look for materials to improve your strategy.
High folds on CBet, but the sample is small.
Low Float on the Turn.
Let's summarize
- Opt for regular tables with careful table selection.
Even at your current limits, you can find tables that offer a promising expectation.
This straightforward approach can be both effortless and highly effective in boosting your win rate.
- Focus on engaging with recreational players.
Enhancing your skills when playing against recreational players can significantly impact your success.
- Work on your defense when in the blinds.
Your performance in these positions can have a substantial influence on your overall game.
- Pay attention to your flop strategy in single raised pots, whether you're in position or out of position.
Making the correct decisions on the flop is vital as incorrect plays at this stage can lead to costly errors on the later streets.
- Increase your aggression level when opponents display signs of weakness.
At the stakes you're currently playing, opponents often struggle to defend their checking ranges effectively.
This vulnerability presents an opportunity for you to capitalize on their weaknesses and exploit them profitably.