Villian is 42/26/1 112 hands




Merge - $0.04 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 2 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

Hero (SB): $4.17
BB: $5.56

Hero posts SB $0.02, BB posts BB $0.04

Pre Flop: ($0.06) Hero has A A

Hero raises to $0.14, BB calls $0.10

Flop: ($0.28, 2 players) 7 5 J
BB checks, Hero bets $0.27, BB calls $0.27

Turn: ($0.82, 2 players) T
BB checks, Hero bets $0.82, BB raises to $2.66, Hero raises to $3.76 and is all-in, BB calls $1.10

River: ($8.34, 2 players) 5

I've read the COTW on AA but I still just don't really get it. I think the main problem is I wasn't able to get more than a standard raise in PF, so probably needed to chill. Advice?

Is villain's AF really 1 (over a decent sample - i.e., were a good portion of the hands HU)? If so, he's a passive station and when he mashes the 3/4 pot raise button on a turn card that completes a flush draw (as well as a 98 double-gutter draw), that should tell you something. Big bluffs on the turn or river to win the pot without a showdown also aren't consistent with a station's style - their goal is to get to showdown and see if their hand is good. Also, a villain an AF of 1 is very unlikely to be semi-bluffing (if he semi-bluffed, his AF would be higher). Since a bluff or semibluff is pretty unlikely here, it is very likely that villain is value betting.

If villain is value betting, there is 0% chance he is going crazy with top pair here - stations by definition do not do that - so if his turn raise is a value bet, he's beating an overpair. You are likely drawing dead. At best you have 8 outs if villain has JT (which he didn't, because you wouldn't have posted the hand if you had sucked out on the river).

Now, if you have seen him make moves post-flop, then that's a different story, especially head's up. But without any such reads, this is a baluga theorem instafold.

Not exactly sure how to figure out if they were HU; you're saying that has an effect on AF. Hmm. I'm atrocious with stats so any links (probably a sticky)...

That's a really nice thing to know. I need to work on putting villains on ranges, it's a gaping hole in my game. All I do is play my cards. Advice/ Link?

I'll search for the baluga theorem

Thanks

Villain is a nit, that doesnt fold to cbets, and when IP, becomes really bluffy, saw him call down light before. So I value bet, any chance to avoid this?

Vil is 26/4 over 23 hands. Should I be raising anywhere here? Obviously the pot odds mean that folding is out of the question.

PartyGaming - $0.02 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

BB: $0.57
Hero (UTG): $2.41
UTG+1: $0.31
MP: $2.00
MP+1: $0.42
CO: $2.54
BTN: $2.05
SB: $1.70

SB posts SB $0.01, BB posts BB $0.02

Pre Flop: ($0.03) Hero has 9 9

Hero raises to $0.06, UTG+1 calls $0.06, fold, fold, fold, fold, SB calls $0.05, fold

Flop: ($0.20, 3 players) 4 7 7
SB bets $0.14, Hero calls $0.14, fold

Turn: ($0.48, 2 players) 2
SB bets $0.10, Hero calls $0.10

River: ($0.68, 2 players) 5
SB bets $0.10, Hero calls $0.10

The sticky should keep you busy on all of these topics:
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/69...hreads-430489/

Baluga theorum = Gold.

I've been thinking a lot about folding pairs on the turn and you just codified it. Weird.

I've got one more before I go trolling

I feel like I had to get all in here, not even really that scared of a set.

Merge - $0.04 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

BTN: $6.47
SB: $5.82
BB: $3.79
Hero (UTG): $4.31
MP: $4.55
CO: $5.07

SB posts SB $0.02, BB posts BB $0.04

Pre Flop: ($0.06) Hero has T A

Hero raises to $0.14, fold, fold, BTN calls $0.14, SB calls $0.12, BB calls $0.10

Flop: ($0.56, 4 players) 4 T A
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $0.56, BTN raises to $1.12, fold, fold, Hero raises to $3.92, BTN raises to $6.33 and is all-in, Hero calls $0.25 and is all-in

Turn: ($8.90, 2 players) K

River: ($8.90, 2 players) 5

Actually Baluga Whale codified it a number of years ago.

Entirely read dependent. First, we need his preflop stats to get a sense of what he flats with. For example, if he 3bets a decent amount the button, you should only be behind 44.

The board is very dry (only gut shots possible as draws), so he should have a made hand here. The question is what he is willing to stack off with. Some players will stack off with TPTK here, in which case it's a fist pump get it in. If you don't think that's the case, there are relatively few hands better than TPTK that you are beating here, but on the positive side, there are also relatively few hands that are beating you.

This guy is unknown, but seems like a fish on a weak hand/draw.. idk, do you approve?


Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.05(BB) Replayer
SB ($3.91)
BB ($4.68)
UTG ($14.04)
UTG+1 ($2.39)
Hero ($2.50)
BTN ($3.84)

Dealt to Hero Q K

fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.15, fold, SB calls $0.13, fold

FLOP ($0.35) 6 5 7

SB bets $0.05, Hero calls $0.05

TURN ($0.45) 6 5 7 A

SB bets $0.05, Hero raises to $0.45

lol

This is either a weak hand or the nuts. I think a raise is fine, but I think a smaller raise (.30-.35) gets the job done. He either believes the A hit you or he doesn't - he doesn't seem smart enough to consider that an Ax hand is going to raise big to protect against a draw. Obv. folding if he 3bets.

Poker Stars $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 4 players
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

BB: $20.49
CO: $32.62
BTN: $25.30
Hero (SB): $33.66

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is SB with K J
1 fold, BTN raises to $0.75, Hero calls $0.65, BB calls $0.50

Flop: ($2.25) 5 Q 9 (3 players)
Hero checks, BB checks, BTN checks

Turn: ($2.25) T (3 players)
Hero bets $1.75, BB calls $1.75, BTN raises to $6.85, Hero calls $5.10, BB calls $5.10

River: ($22.80) 4 (3 players)
Hero checks, BB bets $12.89 all in, BTN folds, Hero folds

BB : 52 / 22/ 3bet 25 over 26 hands


Button: 30 /27/12.5 over 65 hands
Post Flop agg: 0.7
Flop agg % 0
Turn agg %17

Hero is MP with AhAc
BTN was loose passive preflop and postflop, is this standard or should i have folded to the flop (min?)raise on this wet board?

UTG: $8.28 (82.8 bb)
MP: $10.96 (109.6 bb)
CO: $15.19 (151.9 bb)
BTN: $9.75 (97.5 bb)
SB: $18.87 (188.7 bb)
BB: $11.02 (110.2 bb)

Preflop:
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.40, CO folds, BTN calls $0.40, 2 folds

Flop: ($0.95) 8 T 7 (2 players)
MP bets $0.95, BTN raises to $2, MP calls $1.05

Turn: ($4.95) 9 (2 players)
MP checks, BTN bets $4.95, MP folds

[/hand_history][/converted_hand]

Villain is 34/15/.89 / 723h


Merge - $0.04 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

Hero (MP): $4.00
CO: $5.45
BTN: $1.21
SB: $4.00
BB: $1.12
UTG: $5.07

SB posts SB $0.02, BB posts BB $0.04

Pre Flop: ($0.06) Hero has T J

fold, Hero raises to $0.15, CO calls $0.15, fold, fold, fold

Flop: ($0.36, 2 players) 7 J J
Hero bets $0.36, CO calls $0.36

Turn: ($1.08, 2 players) 6
Hero bets $0.81, CO raises to $3.51, Hero calls $2.68 and is all-in

River: ($8.06, 2 players) 8

Not TP but, Baluga theorum again? He's obviously quite passive. Do I need to not raise this PF?


---------


Same villain. Baluga?

Merge - $0.04 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

Hero (SB): $4.58
BB: $4.06
UTG: $6.77
MP: $6.69
CO: $4.00
BTN: $7.72

Hero posts SB $0.02, BB posts BB $0.04

Pre Flop: ($0.06) Hero has A A

fold, MP raises to $0.14, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.66, fold, MP calls $0.52

Flop: ($1.36, 2 players) 6 Q K
Hero bets $1.36, MP calls $1.36

Turn: ($4.08, 2 players) 7
Hero bets $2.50, MP raises to $4.67 and is all-in, Hero calls $0.06 and is all-in

River: ($9.20, 2 players) Q



Thanks

F.ck baluga I'm calling first one.

Second one is really weird, I cant see him doing it worse. Unless you have very weird dynamics I'm folding it.

From the hijack seat, I raise suited and fold offsuit. Could be too nitty though. JTo is a hard hand to play well imo, particularly OOP.

Villain is 39/19/2/57h

Merge - $0.04 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

SB: $2.07
Hero (BB): $4.00
UTG: $4.00
CO: $5.90
BTN: $4.07

SB posts SB $0.02, Hero posts BB $0.04

Pre Flop: ($0.06) Hero has Q Q

UTG raises to $0.14, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.48, UTG raises to $1.46, Hero raises to $2.44, UTG raises to $4.00 and is all-in, Hero calls $1.56 and is all-in

Flop: ($8.02, 2 players) 9 7 K

Turn: ($8.02, 2 players) 5

River: ($8.02, 2 players) 6

Fold to the shove, call down at some point? QQ is a weird hand, I think I break even doing this. Against a small range I fold or call down at some point here but I had no read so I just decided "It's 4NL, he's got j9s"

Thanx again

First hand is close. It's not Baluga, but when a passive player wakes up and raises, you obviously need to think carefully. This villain obviously has a strong hand, the question is whether it could be a worse hand than yours. The villain is not absurdly loose pre, so any worse jack than J8 is probably not in his preflop calling range. How often does he 3bet? If he never 3bets preflop, you can consider adding a slow-played AA or KK to his range. If he 3-bets 3%+, then he probably doesn't have an overpair you are beating.

Second hand - you have $0.06 behind after betting turn (lol), so you have to call. The real question is whether you should have just shoved the turn to begin with and with this villain, the answer is a clear "yes." He's calling with any spade or king and maybe a queen. If he turns up with a made flush, just reload.

P.S. JTo is borderline. With tight players in CO and BTN and loose players in the blinds, I will open it and frequently be playing in position. With loose players in CO and/or BTN, it becomes much more dicey. However, if you are asking if you should consider limping it, the answer is "no."

I've been sticking to the Poker Blueprint PF charts and it says JTo from this Position is no good, so I'm chalking it up to PF mistake.

Barfunkel says JTs only there, and I have to agree. Once again a PF mistake escalates into Postflop pwnage. (not to give results)

Screw Limping. Gotta maintain my infinite Agg.

Thanks

(should I not be responding here, clogging the thread? sorry / IMAnoob)

Villan is VPIP 6/ PFR 4 over 54 hands.

PokerStars - $0.05 NL (6 max) ZOOM - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

BTN: $8.13
SB: $11.45
BB: $22.79
Hero (UTG): $5.58
MP: $8.47
CO: $5.00

SB posts SB $0.02, BB posts BB $0.05

Pre Flop: ($0.07) Hero has K K

Hero raises to $0.20, MP raises to $0.55, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $1.50, MP raises to $8.47 and is all-in

AND

Never saw this player before - no info.

PokerStars - $0.05 NL (6 max) ZOOM - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

BTN: $10.08
SB: $9.10
BB: $4.84
Hero (UTG): $5.44
MP: $5.45
CO: $3.02

SB posts SB $0.02, BB posts BB $0.05

Pre Flop: ($0.07) Hero has A A

Hero raises to $0.20, fold, fold, BTN calls $0.20, SB calls $0.18, fold

Flop: ($0.65, 3 players) 9 4 7
SB checks, Hero bets $0.50, fold, SB raises to $1.00, Hero raises to $1.50, SB calls $0.50

Turn: ($3.65, 2 players) 4
SB bets $1.40, Hero calls $1.40

River: ($6.45, 2 players) T
SB checks, Hero checks

Sorry to post so many, but I go along and everything is good until I hit a downturn and it all goes to hell. I see in the forums where people are "crushing" a particular limit, so the downturn is obviously my own fault and the previous successes are just periods of run good. I'm afraid I'm never going to be able to build a bankroll.

Do you think that the secret of playing in the micros is to fold to aggression and check/fold when your turn bet is called? I win lots and lots of small pots but some days cannot win a big pot to save my soul. And therein the problem must lie. I am a fish that can't fold. But I could learn to fold I think, if only I could figure out when.

I'm playing 14/10 over 50,000 hands. I really don't think that I need to tighten up for 6 max. It's not even about not being able to fold top pair because except for pocket AAs (which I can almost NEVER make myself fold). It's all about not knowing when I'm beat.


PokerStars - $0.05 NL (6 max) ZOOM - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

BTN: $4.43
SB: $5.00
BB: $9.38
Hero (UTG): $5.00
MP: $5.83
CO: $5.00

SB posts SB $0.02, BB posts BB $0.05

Pre Flop: ($0.07) Hero has T A

Hero raises to $0.20, MP calls $0.20, fold, fold, fold, fold

Flop: ($0.47, 2 players) K A A
Hero bets $0.30, MP calls $0.30

Turn: ($1.07, 2 players) 3
Hero bets $0.75, MP calls $0.75

River: ($2.57, 2 players) 5
Hero bets $1.75, MP calls $1.75

Just started playing again and want to double check if this is standard. Hoping he calls with AQ or AJ, and if he has a set or flush then god bless him right?


IPN (Boss Media) - kr4 NL - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

CO: k472.22
BTN: k291.47
SB: k220.85
Hero (BB): k835.76
UTG: k769.95

SB posts SB k2.00, Hero posts BB k4.00

Pre Flop: (k6.00) Hero has K A

fold, CO raises to k16.00, BTN calls k16.00, fold, Hero raises to k48.00, CO calls k32.00, fold

Flop: (k114.00, 2 players) T A 8
Hero bets k60.00, CO calls k60.00

Turn: (k234.00, 2 players) 4
Hero bets k150.00, CO calls k150.00

River: (k534.00, 2 players) 3
Hero bets k215.00, CO calls k214.22 and is all-in

Hand 1: Standard get it in - it doesn't matter that he is a nit, you're only 110bb deep. Sorry he had AA, but no need to post a cooler, even in quick check-up.

Hand 2: Don't min-3bet the flop. If you are going to 3bet it, raise to $2.25 and try to get it in. As played, get it in on the turn - after calling the turn you have only about 45bb behind and the pot is 130bb - are you really going to be able to fold getting almost 4:1 when he puts you in on the river? Incidentally, be happy the villain is a fish because his check on the river was absolutely horrible and saved you 45bb.

No. It's about developing reads on your opponents and using them to determine when you are behind you opponent's range. Against a 60/0 passive fish, yes, fold to aggression. Otherwise value bet, value bet, value bet. Against a maniac, call down. Sorry, but there is no magic bullet.

Actually, 14/10 is a nit for 6max. Loosen up, especially in position.

AA is an overpair. Depending upon the board run out and the villain that can be something that should never be folded or a weak hand that should hit the muck. Sound like you need to separate the concept of preflop absolute hand strength and relative hands strength on the final board.

You didn't post any reads, but against 95% of the villains you face, this was a cooler. That sucks, but that's poker.

Looking for line check here. Villain is 19/14 6% 3bet (8% from BB), Fold to cbet 0 (0/4), Raise cbet: 0 (0/4), AF 2.3 (Flop AF: 2.6, Turn AF: 4.0 River AF: 1.0) over 338 hands, buys in full, but does not use auto rebuy feature.

I've been running hot this session, 32/26, steal 50% (1/2), cbet 50% (1/2). If he is running a HUD, he likely sees me as 25/20 (att. steal 40%), 80% flop cbet, AF 3.

His check/raise, then checking the turn is a weird line. Thoughts on betting turn after he checks? My thinking at the time was that this was an obvious cbetting flop, I probably cbet too much and so this is a good spot for a bluff-raise by him.

Merge - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

SB: $11.77
BB: $8.65
UTG: $22.93
CO: $10.18
Hero (BTN): $13.91

SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has T A

fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.26, fold, BB calls $0.16

Flop: ($0.57, 2 players) 5 T 5
BB checks, Hero bets $0.28, BB raises to $1.12, Hero calls $0.84

Turn: ($2.81, 2 players) 2
BB checks, Hero checks

River: ($2.81, 2 players) 6
BB checks, Hero bets $1.40