Hi,everybody! As you can see this is my first post on this forum and i like to post some of my hands i've recently played . There is nothing special about the following hand, i think you guys saw a ton of this kind and definitely have been many times at similar spots, but i want to know your opinion about my decision, was it right or wrong.
Well, why did i shove? My reasoning were:
1. i have a tight image at this table , something near 17/15/3
2. the villain was tight 22/16/1 for nearly 50 hands
3.he reraised me only a bit more than 2 times(perhaps wanted to extract more value from his monster?)
4.i have a great combo draw and plenty of outs
5.the villain completed from the SB, so his range was very wide,no less than 20%
6. and last,but not least i was simply itching for gambling at this particular spot. A couple days before i raised the amazingly fishy player allin preflop with AJo,he called with 58s and hit his 8 on the river, i lost unimproved .
This time i knew for sure that the villain had at least a pair and put him on the set nearly 75%, but simply couldn't lay my hand here. Perhaps, he flopped only a pair and wanted to bust me out of the heavy drawy board? I played 6 tables and didn't have enough time for thinking at the table i simply push my big draw.
When analyzing this hand with Pokerstove i get only 40% equity against his sets:999 , TTT, JJJ. Against any pair i have nearly62%, against any broadway cards-57%,against any high cards-57%.
The question is :was my shove here an +EV decision or not?
The Pokestove says NO. And you,guys?
villain is 18/14/3.1 over 900 hands, we have an aggro dynamic. His 3bet vs. BTN is 12% (43 opportunities), normal 3bet is 4.7%.
It felt like when he checks back that flop he has QQ or KK because I think he bets his entire bluff and TPTK/TPGK range here. But trying to get rid of the MUBS because there's just so few combos of QQ. I think a call is standard, but does anyone ship?
Full Tilt Poker $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
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Villain is 43/9 over 70 hands, 30% AFq, somewhat passive.
Turn gives me a nice boat and pretty much the best hand. In this case, should I have bet less to induce his call? If yes, how much would be the ideal sizing?
Hi,everybody! As you can see this is my first post on this forum and i like to post some of my hands i've recently played . There is nothing special about the following hand, i think you guys saw a ton of this kind and definitely have been many times at similar spots, but i want to know your opinion about my decision, was it right or wrong.
Well, why did i shove? My reasoning were:
1. i have a tight image at this table , something near 17/15/3
2. the villain was tight 22/16/1 for nearly 50 hands
3.he reraised me only a bit more than 2 times(perhaps wanted to extract more value from his monster?)
4.i have a great combo draw and plenty of outs
5.the villain completed from the SB, so his range was very wide,no less than 20%
6. and last,but not least i was simply itching for gambling at this particular spot. A couple days before i raised the amazingly fishy player allin preflop with AJo,he called with 58s and hit his 8 on the river, i lost unimproved .
This time i knew for sure that the villain had at least a pair and put him on the set nearly 75%, but simply couldn't lay my hand here. Perhaps, he flopped only a pair and wanted to bust me out of the heavy drawy board? I played 6 tables and didn't have enough time for thinking at the table i simply push my big draw.
When analyzing this hand with Pokerstove i get only 40% equity against his sets:999 , TTT, JJJ. Against any pair i have nearly62%, against any broadway cards-57%,against any high cards-57%.
The question is :was my shove here an +EV decision or not?
The Pokestove says NO. And you,guys?
(hand)
good shove. I didn't understand why you said that pokerstove said no. you are the favourite against everything but sets. plus, they'll show bad stuff sometimes, and as you said you had the nut flush draw + 2 overcards. wp imo
good shove. I didn't understand why you said that pokerstove said no. you are the favourite against everything but sets. plus, they'll show bad stuff sometimes, and as you said you had the nut flush draw + 2 overcards. wp imo
nice analysis btw
I didn't calculate the exact EV against his ranges, but think it was a very close shove, thanks for feedback.
Villain is 43/9 over 70 hands, 30% AFq, somewhat passive.
Turn gives me a nice boat and pretty much the best hand. In this case, should I have bet less to induce his call? If yes, how much would be the ideal sizing?
He raised prf, so definitely he had something, but perhaps didn't give much credit to your reraise, because he might think you simply defend your blinds. On the flop he could call the bet with any pair, high broadway cards,high suited connectors, Ax. But to call your shove he need a very powerful hand-TPTK, set or two pairs, if he is not a complete moron, of course .I have some similar situation and it is very difficult extract value with your monster against a loose passive guy. Shove works better against the aggressive maniac, or against the calling station which hit his small pair, here you could have more chances to get more money in the pot simply to check turn. Hopefully the villain might hit the second pair, set or some kind of his draw on the river. This is a rare situation at microstakes when slowplaying the monster is good, IMHO. Anyway, you wouldn't loose much checking the turn and betting the river for value(perhaps, 1/3 of the pot),or even checking the river behind and really inducing the bluff on the river.But this is very,very villain dependent line.
Villain is...
26/18 Afq 45
3bet 7, has never folded to a 3bet 0/2 though.
ATS 24, FvS 67
WTSD 26
WSD 67
Flop check raise 0/7
FvCB 60%
200 hands. seems competent. no real notes/reads.
Tough spot.He might have two pairs, set or nothing. When he shoved instantly, then,perhaps he is not bluffing(obviously the bluff has to take some time to consider). You didn't say, how the villain saw you, what image you had at the table.Anyway, very cool fold, i am some kind married to the AA KK(as the most beginners,i daresay), and for me it would be tremendously hard to decide to fold or not to fold
This guy is a 38/31 supper moron w/ 50% 3bet... Thats right 50%.
Did i do something wrong? My head is still spinning
Its tough against a player like this. But when he raises river I really cant see what we beat...? He can have so many two pairs in his range its un-fricking-real.
Edit - Can we bet bigger on flop and just shove that turn? Would that make any difference....
Preflop: Hero is BB with A K
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.40, CO calls $0.40, BTN raises to $3.65 and is all-in, SB folds, Hero ????
MP was 29/17 over 76 hands
CO 17/13 3.7 3bet over 202 hands
BTN 38/38 over 17 hands
Do we shove here?
I'd shove. BTN shortstack 38/38 lolz, CO didn't 3bet so your hand should be better than his range (which exclude 4% premiums), we don't have much information about what MP could have but you'll be ahead of his raising range a lot of times too.
Its tough against a player like this. But when he raises river I really cant see what we beat...? He can have so many two pairs in his range its un-fricking-real.
Edit - Can we bet bigger on flop and just shove that turn? Would that make any difference....
Yeah now that i have cooled down i guess its my own fault. Once he called me pre i decided then and there that it was all goin in against this guy no matter how the board fell it was just a matter of how i was going to extract his stack from him.
The weak flop bet was to build the pot but when he saw that i guess he decided his 55's were good.
CO is an unknown. 0/0 over 3 hands. Against an unknown, I'll generally assume he is somewhat competent. I assume he is probably opening relateively wide from the CO. The flop is a Q-high and 2 low cards is begging for a cbet, so I think most villains are firing 100% of their range. On the turn, the Q doesn't change anything (except make it less likely he has Qx), though he could very well be value betting 99+. He could also be barreling a FD or air, though its not a great card to barrel. This seems marginal to either call or fold (raising seems likely to only fold out worse). Anyone have any thoughts on the turn?
On the river, when an unknown fires a 3rd barrel on a double-paired board, I'm think it is probably time to fold. I think most villains will check-back with 66+, 5x or any Ax which didn't connect, so I'm only beating a bluff.
Preflop: Hero is BB with A K
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.40, CO calls $0.40, BTN raises to $3.65 and is all-in, SB folds, Hero ????
MP was 29/17 over 76 hands
CO 17/13 3.7 3bet over 202 hands
BTN 38/38 over 17 hands
Do we shove here?
Yes, clear shove. You are significantly ahead of MP's 17% range here and he is going to fold most of it to a 3bet-squeeze and your cold 4bet. If you flat, though, you are giving him good odds to call - plus he has a decent sized gap between VPIP and PFR, so I could see him calling a fair amount (particularly with medium to small pocket pairs which you are currently behind). Moreover, if you flat and MP calls, CO will be getting insane odds to call with what is likely a pocket pair.
It goes without saying that you clearly can't fold AK here to the shorty's shove, as you are way ahead of his range. Any raise pot-commits you, so just shove. If MP (or BTN) has AA or KK, that's just unlucky.
Quick line check. Villains are basically unknowns. MP is 25/0 over 9 hands. SB is 0/0 over 2 hands. Question on the turn - is the call OK to try to keep MP in, or do I want to get it in with SB in case a scare card comes on the river? I think the call is good here, but wanted to check.
I would go for a c/r otf depending if btn is capable of betting postflop into a multiway pot.
Turn is a standard value/protection bet.
The donkbet otr makes me think he got us beat, even though almost no hand got there, apart from 87. In my experience donkbets otr are almost always extremly unbalanced and tend to be near the nuts. I think this time i would call though, since it looks kinda full of it.
Looks correct, barring very unusual reads (i.e., if villain has established himself as a drooler who does this with AT). No one except an aggrodonk does this much with TPTK or worse and you don't beat anything other than TPTK.
I'd like some opinions on a couple situations facing flop aggression.
25nl:
100bb deep, I open KK 3x in CO, BB (22/8) calls.
--965r Flop--
I cbet ~2/3 pot, BB checkraises 5x.
Spoiler:
I figured his range was sets, 78s, & JJ, because I'd expect QQ+ to 3bet pre & pairs under JJ to call the flop. I didn't include any bluffs because of his preflop stats, and hero-folded. I stoved the range afterwards & my equity vs it is 35%. I could have (and maybe should have) called the flop, but I don't mind the fold because making a read and sticking to it is something I've been working on. Any thoughts? I wouldn't consider it against a more aggressive player.
50nl:
100bb deep, I open QQ 3x in CO, SB (50/33 over 6) 3bets to $5.25.
I 4b to $12, SB flats.
--KT6ss Flop--
SB leads $15 (~3/5 pot with a 1.5 spr).
Spoiler:
I folded, he showed A9o. If I called I'd be committed, & I couldn't think of any value hands in his 4b-calling range that I could beat. Is this a good play vs an unknown, or should I be calling down because it makes no sense for him to lead for value? Do you think he leads to induce a raise often enough to cancel out the times he does it as a bluff?