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Turn nut straight, ugly river spot Turn nut straight, ugly river spot

09-28-2009 , 04:01 AM
Party Poker $10 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 302227
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

BB: $3.44
UTG: $9.48
MP: $11.26
Hero (CO): $10.00
BTN: $8.52
SB: $7.16

Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is CO with T J
1 fold, MP calls $0.10, Hero raises to $0.40, 3 folds, MP calls $0.30

Flop: ($0.95) K 9 7 (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $0.68, MP calls $0.68

Turn: ($2.31) Q (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $1.65, MP calls $1.65

River: ($5.61) Q (2 players)
MP bets $8.52, Hero ???


Villain is playing 44/22 with a 20% AF on the river

In my experience, massive river over-shoves are common place at 10NL and very rarely bluffs; usually just fish trying to maximize value when they hit a monster.

Thoughts?
Turn nut straight, ugly river spot Quote
09-28-2009 , 04:08 AM
looks like a flush to me, i probably fold
Turn nut straight, ugly river spot Quote
09-28-2009 , 04:09 AM
Villain is playing 44/22 with a 20% AF on the river


samplesize?
Turn nut straight, ugly river spot Quote
09-28-2009 , 07:13 AM
I fold there 99% of the time, even if he is a 44/22 or 80/60 or 5/1
Turn nut straight, ugly river spot Quote
09-28-2009 , 07:17 AM
I trow up a little and hit my gf, then I fold yo.
Turn nut straight, ugly river spot Quote
09-28-2009 , 07:21 AM
I don´t act like an idiot and fold.
Turn nut straight, ugly river spot Quote
09-28-2009 , 07:35 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by wishiewish
I don´t act like an idiot and fold.
This is also a good strategy
Turn nut straight, ugly river spot Quote
09-28-2009 , 07:39 AM
i dont raise TJo from cutoff , but thats just me... suited i may have raised it.

Also donks will pay you off alot, no reason to get fancy
Turn nut straight, ugly river spot Quote
09-29-2009 , 01:09 PM
Yeah agreed, I did fold it in the end and 99% sure he had the flush or better. The way I saw it if he keeps making donk moves like that I stack him soon enough.
Turn nut straight, ugly river spot Quote
09-29-2009 , 01:20 PM
JTo from CO is fine imo.

Fold river.
Turn nut straight, ugly river spot Quote
09-29-2009 , 03:50 PM
Chance of villain hitting flush or boat - 80%.
Chance of villain value betting a queen - 15%.
Chance of villain repping flush - 5%.

Good fold.
Turn nut straight, ugly river spot Quote

      
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