Open Side Menu Go to the Top
Register
TPTK OOP TPTK OOP

02-13-2010 , 09:59 AM
Villian is 20/17 over 25 hands which is a really small sample. He has a 75 AFq. I have no reads on him.

I was not happy playing this hand. I really had no clue what to do.

I thinking he could be trying to isolate the limper with a lot of aces that he called my raise in position with. And since I have no reads he could easily have a hand like KQ, KJ that made a pair and a gutshot that I am way ahead of. My bet sizing on the flop was really bad I think. I was asking him to make a play and put me in a bad spot. I think a decent % of the time he is making a play with hands like 77-99.

So considering my awful bet sizing I think I folding is the best choice here. I can not call and play two more streets OOP. Calling would be commiting to the pot when I might be drawing slim to AK, AT.




Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (5 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

SB ($25.87)
Hero (BB) ($41.13)
UTG ($59.15)
MP ($27.74)
Button ($27)

Preflop: Hero is BB with A, Q
1 fold, MP calls $0.25, Button bets $1, 1 fold, Hero raises to $3.25, 1 fold, Button calls $2.25

Flop: ($6.85) A, K, 10 (2 players)
Hero bets $3.50, Button raises to $8, Hero ????
TPTK OOP Quote
02-13-2010 , 10:10 AM
I ship this, it's a 3bet pot and i expect him to 4bet AK. He could do this with AT and a set obviously, but probably AJ as well.

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

2,013,148 games 1.765 secs 1,140,593 games/sec

Board: Ad Kh Ts
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 46.122% 41.31% 04.83% 831571 97263.00 { AhQd }
Hand 1: 53.878% 49.07% 04.83% 987916 97276.00 { TT, AJs-ATs, QJs, AJo-ATo }
TPTK OOP Quote
02-13-2010 , 10:51 AM
His raise is weak. He probably looked at your bet size and though you were weak so he re-raised you.

So, bet out more on the flop.
TPTK OOP Quote
02-13-2010 , 11:05 AM
I don't think this guy is calling a 3b with no history with AJ or KJ or AT or KT or any other dominated hand, however his in position calling range can be quite large.

I think his value raising range is AK, and obviously KK and TT. I think KK is the one of those that def 4bets you pre. I have seen a lot of people flatting AK in position in 3b pots and I would not be surprised if that is his holding. With that being said, I could also see QJs down to 67s or random pocket pairs maybe 77-JJ.

I think with no history you can fold this hand with minimal investment in the pot. I also don't like "shipping it" as there is nothing you beat that will call, just random junk that will go "hrm..guess his weak cb wasnt weak after all" and then his monsters that go "wooooooooooooeeeeeeeeeyyyyyy!!" as he gets a massive erection in his pants. Sorry, anyway, I think if you want to continue with the hand you call his raise and then lead any turn that either a.) improves your hand or b.) is safe and you don't think it helped him but just be warned, a card that improves your hand (a Q) is likely to make him a hand too. I just think overall --- fold and make mental note.
TPTK OOP Quote

      
m