TP vs river raise at 25nl - Micro Stakes Pot Limit and No Limit

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TP vs river raise at 25nl

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04-05-2011 , 05:46 PM

Acworth Mint

grinder

Join Date: May 2010 Posts: 465

villain is 13/9 over 189 hands

Cereus Network - $0.25 NL - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

BTN: $26.11
SB: $22.37
BB: $28.27
UTG: $26.76
Hero (MP): $37.02
CO: $26.16

SB posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.25

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero has A

fold, Hero raises to $1.00, CO calls $1.00, fold, fold, fold

Flop: ($2.35, 2 players) 5

Hero bets $1.75, CO calls $1.75

Turn: ($5.85, 2 players) J

Hero bets $2.50, CO calls $2.50

River: ($10.85, 2 players) 7

Hero bets $7.00, CO raises to $20.91, Hero???

are my odds to good to fold? does anyone think this can ever be a missed flush draw or a random bluff?
all thoughts and opinions are appreciated.

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04-05-2011 , 05:51 PM

qoNtrol

grinder

Join Date: Apr 2010 Posts: 498

Err, 'nit' raises your 3 barrel on the river?

Bluf? Nope. Fold? Yes!

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04-05-2011 , 05:57 PM

roipnol

enthusiast

Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 67

It's hard to put a 13/9 on bluff here without info or note on him
Imo he never bluff here and the flop is very good for is range
And i don't see many fd he can have tha u beat
what is his fold to cbet? He is aggro or passive?

I snap fold

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04-06-2011 , 12:55 AM

leproso88

old hand

Join Date: Feb 2011 Posts: 1,627

I would have check the turn. instead of betting and making a bigger pot oop, and if I bet the turn, I will almost always check the river. Which worse hand wiil call you when you bet?

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04-06-2011 , 01:25 AM

yousayparty

journeyman

Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 376

Quote:

TP vs river raise at 25nl

= FOLD

(in most situations, including this one)

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04-06-2011 , 01:27 AM

sharkbaitOHH

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Dec 2009 Posts: 7,170

The only question you need to ask yourself when facing a raise on the river is:

"Do I have the nuts/effective nuts?"

if the answer is no, you can fold

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04-06-2011 , 01:29 AM

abgtr

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Oct 2010 Posts: 5,855

b/c/b or b/b/c may be slightly better unless the nit is typically going to station with Ax here. if he doesn't station, 3 streets seems hopeful imo.

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04-06-2011 , 02:50 AM

Dumuzi

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 3,621

u should fold even if u were to get 10:1 odds, maybe call getting 20:1. 5% chance he has worse.

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