Top set vs fish on a wet board (NL5) - Micro Stakes Pot Limit and No Limit

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Top set vs fish on a wet board (NL5)

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03-24-2014 , 09:44 AM

Methqueen

stranger

Join Date: Jul 2013 Posts: 9

PokerStars - $0.05 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

SB: 286.2 BB (VPIP: 14.61, PFR: 8.56, 3Bet Preflop: 2.22, Hands: 402)
BB: 100 BB (VPIP: 13.26, PFR: 9.74, 3Bet Preflop: 1.75, Hands: 631)
UTG: 279.2 BB (VPIP: 21.62, PFR: 5.41, 3Bet Preflop: 3.57, Hands: 74)
UTG+1: 501 BB (VPIP: 29.33, PFR: 14.53, 3Bet Preflop: 5.06, Hands: 1,697)
MP: 166.6 BB (VPIP: 36.82, PFR: 2.49, 3Bet Preflop: 1.23, Hands: 203)
MP+1: 48.6 BB (VPIP: 16.34, PFR: 8.50, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 156)
Hero (CO): 100 BB
BTN: 103.6 BB (VPIP: 43.75, PFR: 28.13, 3Bet Preflop: 11.11, Hands: 32)

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has A

fold, fold, MP calls 1 BB, fold, Hero raises to 4 BB, BTN calls 4 BB, fold, fold, fold

Flop: (10.4 BB, 2 players) A

Hero bets 8 BB, BTN calls 8 BB

Turn: (26.4 BB, 2 players) 4

Hero bets 17 BB, BTN raises to 34 BB

Fold/call/reraise?

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03-24-2014 , 10:30 AM

Cerro

centurion

Join Date: Feb 2014 Posts: 128

Call. Aside from the fact that you are facing a fish, even if you are behind here you are getting the odds to call. Pot is roughly 4.5:1, you have 10 outs (20%) and your implied odds are good. That's without accounting for the times you are still ahead here. The only tough decision you will have here is if you miss and V bets the river.

A reraise won't do much, V is unlikely to fold (being a fish they tend to get sticky even with weak flushes) so the best you can hope for is set on set. The way I see it is, if you call and hit the stacks are likely to go in anyway so there is no need to force it and put yourself in a race.

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03-24-2014 , 11:38 AM

Methqueen

stranger

Join Date: Jul 2013 Posts: 9

Thanks, very informative!

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03-24-2014 , 12:05 PM

Dovidiu

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Dec 2009 Posts: 4,419

Call turn

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03-24-2014 , 11:12 PM

striiing

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Oct 2008 Posts: 4,402

Ship it in and shout 'pair the frickin board!!!!!'

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03-25-2014 , 06:06 AM

PokerRon247

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 11,192

Quote:

Originally Posted by striiing

Ship it in and shout 'pair the frickin board!!!!!'

Don't do this.

Call turn, evaluate river based on the river card and his bet size.

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03-26-2014 , 03:03 AM

LordRiverRat

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Mar 2014 Posts: 3,694

Depends on how big of a fish he is. If he'll stack many worse hands than 65 just get it in. Also like someone said above, folding is not an option.

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