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is this too weak? is this too weak?

01-04-2010 , 06:39 AM
Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Full Tilt
SB ($15.35)
Hero ($25)
UTG ($25)
UTG+1 ($25)
CO ($2.62)
BTN ($38.67)

Dealt to Hero A Q

fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to $0.75, fold, Hero calls $0.50

FLOP ($1.60) K A 8

Hero checks, BTN bets $1, Hero calls $1

TURN ($3.60) K A 8 A

Hero checks, BTN bets $2.25, Hero calls $2.25

RIVER ($8.10) K A 8 A 9

Hero checks, BTN bets $3.75, Hero calls $3.75

BTN shows 7 A
(Pre 32%, Flop 22.4%, Turn 13.6%)

Hero shows A Q
(Pre 68%, Flop 77.6%, Turn 86.4%)

Hero wins $14.82

Villain plays 40/40/inf but only 5 hands
is this too weak? Quote
01-04-2010 , 06:42 AM
I like leading river around potsize to rep busted fd´s. He´s usually not folding Kx but he is usually checking those behind
is this too weak? Quote
01-04-2010 , 06:53 AM
3bet preflop. bet flop, bet turn, bet river.
is this too weak? Quote
01-04-2010 , 06:58 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by gezAA
3bet preflop. bet flop, bet turn, bet river.
And as played...?
is this too weak? Quote
01-04-2010 , 07:01 AM
As played raise turn/river
is this too weak? Quote
01-04-2010 , 07:02 AM
Why would we raise flop, readless and w/o history?
is this too weak? Quote
01-04-2010 , 07:03 AM
I think this line is fine oop vs. an unknown villain.
Leading river is an option to get more value from weaker aces, but we would have to fold to a raise. A lot of villains think Ax is the nuts here and would raise it if we lead out, and we don't really want to be raised out of this pot so c/c isn't bad.
is this too weak? Quote
01-04-2010 , 07:05 AM
Raise turn, so you can set up river shove

As played Id lead river for close to pot
is this too weak? Quote
01-04-2010 , 07:08 AM
I think b/c the river seems like a good option as played.
is this too weak? Quote
01-04-2010 , 07:11 AM
i dont like c/c esp on all 3 streets!

so much value lost
is this too weak? Quote
01-04-2010 , 08:48 AM
This is pretty weak. Without any reads we can safely assume that villain's range is mostly for value on the turn. Since we have pretty much all value hands beat and those hand also continue we can raise. If he calls the turn raise shove the river even if it's an overbet.
is this too weak? Quote
01-04-2010 , 09:45 AM
i'd raise turn or at least Donk pot on river like tonitto said
is this too weak? Quote
01-04-2010 , 09:48 AM
Weak play. IMO 3-bet preflop.

As played I would raise turn/river
is this too weak? Quote
01-04-2010 , 09:58 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tonitto
I like leading river around potsize to rep busted fd´s. He´s usually not folding Kx but he is usually checking those behind
I think c/r might be slightly more profitable here. A lot of players would check either the flop or turn with a K and not bet both streets. Also, our donking pot on the river requires him to be able to hand read and act out on it without history. I think we will gain more value by c/ring the river and getting maximum value from Ace than hoping he makes a hero call with a king.
is this too weak? Quote
01-04-2010 , 10:01 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by fr_kevin01
is this too weak?
Yes!!!
is this too weak? Quote
01-04-2010 , 10:06 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by hi guys im link
I think c/r might be slightly more profitable here. A lot of players would check either the flop or turn with a K and not bet both streets. Also, our donking pot on the river requires him to be able to hand read and act out on it without history. I think we will gain more value by c/ring the river and getting maximum value from Ace than hoping he makes a hero call with a king.
Well, if villain is good he is betting stuff like QK ott because of the fd and to have a free sd (most of the time).

Since we don´t know how good he is it´s tough to figure out what´s the best line otr.

C/r river gets only called (or shoved on) by Ax but we could gain another bet from air to fold out a possible fd.

Oh well it´s close, I don´t mind either line
is this too weak? Quote
01-04-2010 , 10:15 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tonitto
Well, if villain is good he is betting stuff like QK ott because of the fd and to have a free sd (most of the time).

Since we don´t know how good he is it´s tough to figure out what´s the best line otr.

C/r river gets only called (or shoved on) by Ax but we could gain another bet from air to fold out a possible fd.

Oh well it´s close, I don´t mind either line
More I think about this I think I'm being influenced by OP showing the results because I know A7s is in his hand range so I know he can have a lot of weaker aces. There is good argument in donking the river not to rep busted flush draws but because there is a good chance vs a random that they might even check an ace on the river. And we guarantee that we get max value from his whole range.
is this too weak? Quote
01-04-2010 , 10:27 AM
3b pf cause most villain will 4b AK

raise somewhere cause most players are opening a tonne of Ax hands on the button and we are ony beat by AK - so much value lost just playing c/c 3 st
is this too weak? Quote
01-04-2010 , 10:41 AM
We are beat by more than just AK. I would 3 bet pre but post is ok, maybe lead river pot ish but raising is a bluff really unless we cib. Potting river is fine.
is this too weak? Quote
01-04-2010 , 10:59 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by uncle_chopchop
3b pf cause most villain will 4b AK

raise somewhere cause most players are opening a tonne of Ax hands on the button and we are ony beat by AK - so much value lost just playing c/c 3 st
lol, great reasoning.
is this too weak? Quote
01-04-2010 , 11:07 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tonitto
lol, great reasoning.
It's actually pretty solid. It means if he calls and we hit top pair we can be pretty confident we have tptk. ie the nuts
is this too weak? Quote
01-04-2010 , 11:16 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Greco
It's actually pretty solid. It means if he calls and we hit top pair we can be pretty confident we have tptk. ie the nuts
But this shouldn´t be a (main)reason to 3b. We are 3betting for value, so we think he calls w/ worse or folds small pp´s etc.
is this too weak? Quote
01-04-2010 , 11:19 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by uncle_chopchop
3b pf cause most villain will 4b AK

raise somewhere cause most players are opening a tonne of Ax hands on the button and we are ony beat by AK - so much value lost just playing c/c 3 st
3bet pre is prob fine here, but thats not a great reason to do it, equally lots of villains fold AJ

Also lots of hands other than AK beat us by the river
is this too weak? Quote
01-04-2010 , 11:25 AM
Lets hypothetically say that the villain 4bets AK and folds all other As. If the villain is opening all Ax from the button 3betting isn't as good as flatting. Keeping dominated As in has a lot of value.

I don't think most unknowns bet this turn when checked to without a hand so c/c the flop lead the turn and river doesn't look like a bad line to me. We get value from draws, worse Ax and likely some Kx hands without giving a free card to draws. If the villain folds to a turn lead I doubt we were getting another bet anyway.
is this too weak? Quote
01-04-2010 , 11:29 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tonitto
But this shouldn´t be a (main)reason to 3b. We are 3betting for value, so we think he calls w/ worse or folds small pp´s etc.
we realise that value when we 3bet and he folds pre, or calls with his pps and folds to our cbet.

By 3betting AQ we actually somewhat eliminate the domination issue we often run into with Ak as it almost 100% of the time 4bets. This means when we do flop we can be pretty confident we have tptk
is this too weak? Quote

      
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