Villain is 16/12/3 over 1300 hands. I was tilting slightly (after going AI with my set and running into a lower set that rivered his 4th card for 4 of a kind) so I shoved the open-ended straight draw on the flop (also had 2 overcards).
I am including results to show the surprising play by this solid TAG over many cards.
My questions: (1) Is my flop shove -EV long-term? and (2) why would a solid TAG play in this manner, especially from the small blind?
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Full Tilt Poker $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players
2+2 Hand Converter
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BTN: $80.80
SB: $20.85
BB: $59.90
UTG: $49.00
Hero (CO): $55.85
Pre Flop: Hero is CO with Q
K
1 fold,
Hero raises to $1.75, BTN calls $1.75, SB calls $1.50,
1 fold
Flop: ($5.75) 2
J
T
(3 players)
SB checks,
Hero bets $3.25, BTN folds,
SB raises to $10.50,
Hero raises to $37.25, SB calls $8.60 all in
Turn: ($43.95) 6
River: ($43.95) 9