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Hi,
I'm new to TwoPlusTwo forum and got realy happy with all this kind of infomation the forum offers.
I've played about 5,6k hands at NL30 FR and feel just a bit unconfortable with my results.
Now i wish to plug my possible leaks from beginning, not running deeper and becoming standard with my possible leakish play.
It's clear to me that such a small sample size will not reflect a true winning rate. It is more about the played stats.
Can anyone analyse my stats as played and explain the "Money Won $ Withot Showdown" graph a bit clearer ? I have currently no idea how to read them.
Any comments and suggestions would be very welcome
Thank's alot
YaN:
First, don't be uncomfortable with your results. A. your results are fine; and B. worry about making correct decisions, and the results will follow.
Second: The graph is straightforward. The blue line is the money you have won at showdown, when the hand is turned face up after the river, and we get to see who won. The red line is your (winnings) in hands that end with somebody folding, rather than a showdown. The green line is total winnings, in your case, the blue line minus the red line.
Don't worry too much about your red line--it looks good. Most players have losses in non-showdown pots. This is a function of the blinds--most of the time we lose our blinds, and we don't make enough in the small non-showdown pots that we win to make up for these losses. The idea for most players is to keep the slope of the red line as shallow as possible. Some really aggressive players have a positive red line just from pounding on every pot they are in, but this often comes at the expense of making the blue line break even or slightly negative (because a lot of the time the money goes in these players are behind). It is just a different way of making about the same amount of money.
You are doing very well in the small blind, but you are leaking a bit in the big blind. Your defense rate in the bb is pretty high, and you are getting yourself into a lot of tough spots there. I'm not going to suggest that you defend less, but, rather, that you study your hands and see what it is that you are doing that is costing you money. For example, you may be calling pretty light and then playing "fit or fold." If that's the case, then you will be losing most pots you defend, and, rather than losing 1 bb on these hands, you are averaging a 3 bb loss, say, 2 of 3 times you defend. Alternatively, you could be trying too hard to win a few hands you should have let go for a small loss. There is no way to tell from your stats exactly what you are doing wrong, but it is clear that you are losing a bit too much from the big blind.
As for the rest of your stats, I have to say two things before I talk about your potential leaks:
1. You are winning at the game you are playing. You probably could very easily make no changes to your game and go right on beating the game you are playing. Feel free, then to completely blow off all of the suggestions I am going to make--the bottom line is that what you are doing seems to be working at your game.
2. I don't know you, and I don't know why you play poker, and i don't know what your personality is. This is important in your case, because it is not obvious to me what style of play you want to be playing/are most suited to playing. You are right on the border; with a few tweaks, we could change you into a loose aggressive player, or we could change you into a tight aggressive player. Right now, you are sort of in between, what i would identify as "semi loose and passive preflop."
Consequently, I do not know which direction to send you--both LAg and TAg can be profitable styles. And if I have your stats analyzed correctly, I think you have the post-flop skills (relative to your competition) necessary to succeed as a loose aggressive player.
With that in mind, you need to get rid of the preflop passivity. You are limping and/or cold calling a preflop raise way too much. Your VPIP is 18, and your PFR is 9. Ideally, i would like to see 18/12 at least--this would have you raising some of the hands you are currently limping behind, open raising or folding with most any hands you are currently limping, and raising more in late position.
The reason i suggest these changes is because you show very little positional adjustment. In early position, where you are at a disadvantage, your vpip/pfr is 15/8, while on the button it is 21/10. You are playing far too many pots in early position, and not enough in late position. (just to contrast, a lot of TAgs play something like 6/6 under the gun, and 21/16 on the button.
If you are aiming for a LAg style, you should be folding the weakest hands in EP, the ones you are currently limping, and raising more of the hands you play in late position. LAgs have a smaller position differential than TAgs, but it should still be closer to playing 2 hands in LP for every hand you play in EP.
If you are aiming for a tight aggressive style, then you should be usually folding all of the hands that you are currently limping. It would be correct to raise or limp those hands on some occasions, depending on the table dynamics, for the purpose of deception, and things like that. Then, you should cold call less and open raise with about the top 30% of hands in LP.
(Your attempt to steal figure at 18% is far too low--aim for 30%)
Regardless of the style that you are aiming for, to make the early position changes I have suggested, use the filters in your tracking software. Filter for EP and MP and action "open limp" and see the hands you are doing this with. In EP, consider folding any hands you are open limping that have shown a loss to date; in MP, consider raising or folding them. Then filter for positions early and middle position, and action "cold called a PFR" and start folding the hands that have shown a loss to date.
Note: because your sample size is small, you will need to use some judgment here. For example, if you open limp 77 in EP, and it shows a huge loss, and, upon review, you see that this was the result of a bad beat, then obviously you could retain 77 as an open limping hand.
I mentioned your attempts to steal a bit earlier, but it deserves its own paragraph. In a 10 handed game, the hijack, cut off and button are all potential stealing positions. Your attempts to steal in these positions are 18 OTB, 16.6 CO, and 13 in the hijack. You need to ramp up your positional aggression, no matter which style (LAg or TAg) you opt for. Aim to bump these numbers up to 30/30/20. Use (or get and then use) Pokerstove to see what the top 30% hands are, fiddle with those--add some you like/win with, drop some you don't play well--and then start raising them when you are first in.
Because you play a 10 handed game, you will need to focus more attention on isolation raising than players in 9 handed games (and good players in 9 handed games focus on this A LOT). Most of the hands you currently limp behind are good candidates to isolate with (I am usually not crazy about isolating when holding a small pp). If you are not familiar with this play, search the forums and read up on the conditions under which you should be trying it.
Those are about all of the comments I can make without knowing whether you would prefer to play LAg or TAg.
Reply or PM me with any questions.