Quote:
Originally Posted by pM80
Okay just moved up to NL10, trying to beat the limit with the everywhere-mentioned "ABC-Game", playing TAGish.
I think one of the problems during the first 20k hands was the heater I went on at the beginning. Earning a profit of about 90 $ in just 3k Hands, gave me prob. the feeling that it just took 2 more weeks to easily beat the limit with
5ptBB / 100 + . But from that point on I couldn't get much going, I went on a little Downswing, running ~60$ below EV at the peak + coolers etc, and I lost the confidence in my game, wondering if I really would beat the limit so easy.
EV is catching up a bit, but there's no really positive trend which one could see, just chunking arround break-even.
I think I still sometimes have problems dealing with the shortys. Generally play tight, call/push them with a range of JJ+ AQ(s)+ sounds easy, but I think I perhabs tend to call to often after raising 4x with 99 and getting shoved on 20x from the shorty.
Would be nice you could just take a quick look and search for some major leaks.
1. Your loss rate in the big blind is too high. This could be because you are not making enough of a profit when you cold call to off set the fact that you fold 92% of the time. One thing you will want to do is to defend more often by 3 betting stealers more liberally than you do.
Your WTSD$ at 30% and your W$SD of 56% indicates that you are taking waaaay too many winning hands to showdown. This, in turn, suggests that you are not getting max value from your hands. You should be betting your top pair+ hands much more aggressively.
Your attempt to steal is way too low. You need to look for people who fold to steals and then steal close to 100% of the time against them until they adjust.
Your small blind vpip/pfr is unbalanced. you are cold calling and completing too much. run some filters to find out the unprofitable parts of your cold calling and completing ranges, and start folding them.
Your cut off win rate is too low. This is a combination of playing too tight (you need to be opening a much wider range of hands) and probably playing them too weak/tight post flop.
Your W$WSF is about 3% too low; this indicates that you are failing to win some pots when you have a medium strength hand that is ahead, but you fold to pressure, and some pots where you do not have the best hand, but your opponent cannot really call a bet.
The major problem I saw with your game was a significant lack of positional awareness, both preflop and postflop.
Look at your preflop stats: They basically hover around 8/7 until the hijack, go up to 11/9 or so on the cut off, and then jump all the way up to 16/10 or something on the button.
Look, there are two theoretical reasons to play adjust your opening range by position:
1. The likelihood that you will be last to act post flop. Obviously, this goes up as your position moves toward the button, and you are guaranteed to have position when you are playing the button. Based on this, we can correctly open our range a bit each position. It is not the main reason we open our range as we approach the button, but it is an important consideration.
2. The probability that you have the best hand. Oversimplifying a bit, but just look at it this way. If you are UTG in a 9-handed game, there are 9 hands dealt, and 8 hands left to act after you. In order to be reasonably confident you have the best hand UTG, you need to have a top 11% hand, more or less. The reason most TAg players don't play the top 11% of hands from UTG, though, is because of point 1--there are a lot of players left to act behind, most of whom can play the hand against you with a positional advantage. So TAgs tend to compensate for the disadvantage of playing out of position by tightening up their opening range some.
When you are UTG+1, and UTG has folded, there are now only 7 players left to act, so a top 14% hand rates to be the favorite.
When you are in the CO, there are only 3 people left to act, so a top 25% hand rates to be the best hand and can be opened for a value raise.
See? The fewer people left to act, the lighter we can open
for a value raise, not just on a steal.
So the bottom line is that the range you are playing is missing a lot of value. You are folding a lot of hands that are the best remaining hand in play. Doing so in the earlier positions is just a small leak, because the profitability of marginal hands goes down, and can become negative, due to the postflop positional disadvantage. But the later your position, the bigger the mistake you are making by keeping your preflop opening range as tight as it is.